NKE|Analyst Targets
NKE|Company Info
NKE|Insider Trading
NKE|Fundamentals
NKE|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $0.38 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $0.44 | $0.48 | +9.9% |
| Q4'26 | $0.13 | $0.72 | +466.1% |
| Q2'26 | $0.29 | $0.53 | +85.4% |
| Q4'25 | $0.37 | $0.53 | +41.9% |
| Q3'25 | $0.27 | $0.49 | +84.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $11.2B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $11.4B | $11.2B | -1.9% |
| Q4'26 | $10.8B | $11.0B | +1.1% |
| Q2'26 | $11.2B | $12.4B | +10.7% |
| Q4'25 | - | $12.4B | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $11.7B | - |
NKE|Monthly Returns
Market Data
NKE Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 59.22B
- P/E ratio
- 19.1
- Day range
- $37.96 – $39.18
- News sentiment
- 42/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $36.45 (-5.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 49 analysts
The signals on NKE lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into NKE?
At today's price, NIKE, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -7.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.42% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -1.1% a year, so the market is asking for 6.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis NKE looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -7.7%
- Growth trend
- -1.1%
- Growth gap
- -6.5 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.42%
- Beta
- 0.94
Behaviour On Record
What NKE's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 32.3% 76th pct
- Below its peak
- -77.5%
- vs 200-day average
- -12.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 44%
NIKE, Inc. is currently running 32.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NKE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 76th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.8%.
NKE is trading -77.5% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.9%, and the deepest was -51.6% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -12.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 18th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year NKE closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, NKE finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.4% and an average of +5.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.1% on average, its weakest March at -5.3%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: NKE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 39 of 3,268 sessions (1.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.0% and -5.8%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, NKE moved an average of 4.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +5.5% and a largest of +7.2%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NKE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of NKE's sector?
NIKE, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #5 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 91
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect NKE to earn?
Analysts expect NIKE, Inc. to earn $1.25 per share in the fiscal year ending May 2027 and $1.82 in the fiscal year ending May 2029, from 6 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on NKE?
Truist Securities most recently downgraded NIKE, Inc. to Sell on Nov 5, 2026 with a price target of $29. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 4 downgrades, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Truist Securities: Sell
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 4
- Net rating momentum
- -3
Earnings Release, Scored
What did NIKE, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Revenues are expected to decline high-single digits in fiscal 2027 .
New this quarterNegative tone - 2
NIKE expects Pace to deliver approximately $2.5 billion in cumulative savings through fiscal 2031, with approximately $1.0 billion of pre-tax charges, primarily consisting of employee-related costs, through fiscal 2031, in addition to approximately $0.3 billion of severance costs recognized in fiscal 2026.
New this quarter - 3
Gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 42.8 percent
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
NKE peers & ETF holders
Footwear & AccessoriesMarket cap · today
- NKEYou're here$59.2B-2.28%
- DECKDeckers Outdoor Corporation$11.9B-0.89%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about NKE?
NKE rose 11.5% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 31 and 66 from Oct 6 to Oct 9, then dropped to 33 on Oct 12.
- Oct 15 +6.1%same day: Woodlawn High School Basketball Scores $50,000 Investment from Hibbett and Nike in Birmingham
- Oct 29 +3.9%same day: NKE Stock Ticks Higher Overnight: Nike Unveils 'Vegam Run' For The World's Largest Population Amid China Sales Slump
- Nov 4 +5.8%same day: NIKE's Product Reset: Can Fresh Launches Revive Momentum?
Technical analysis
How strong is NKE's momentum right now?
On the daily chart NKE ranks at the 5th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling NKE?
103 of the 217 tracked managers added to NKE in their latest 13F and 112 trimmed. Together they own 53.7% of the company, worth $33.5B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 10.5%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.5.34%$3.4B positionTrimmed 10.9% last quarter
- $3.2B positionAdded 1.2% last quarter
- 3Capital World Investors4.70%$3.0B positionAdded 42.7% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp4.15%$2.6B positionAdded 6.8% last quarter
- $1.9B positionAdded 60.7% last quarter
- $1.2B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
- $911.7M positionTrimmed 42.1% last quarter
- 8FMR LLC (Fidelity)1.38%$868.9M positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
- 9Morgan Stanley1.31%$824.2M positionTrimmed 8.9% last quarter
- 10UBS Group AG1.14%$714.1M positionAdded 35.3% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading NKE?
15 members of Congress disclosed 24 NKE trades between Aug 8, 2014 and Aug 27, 2026: 11 buys and 13 sells, about $575.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has NKE done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, NKE returned −12.0%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by HLT at +15.7%.
- 1HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.up 15.7%+27.6 pts
- 2MARMarriott International, Inc.up 15.6%+27.5 pts
- 3RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.up 13.9%+25.9 pts
- 4HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 6.2%+18.2 pts
- 5ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.up 1.4%+13.4 pts
- 6RLRalph Lauren Corporationup 1.3%+13.3 pts
- 7SBUXStarbucks Corporationdown 0.9%+11.1 pts
- 8XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Funddown 1.4%+10.5 pts
- 13NKEThis stockdown 12.0%
- 16DECKDeckers Outdoor Corporationdown 16.9%−4.9 pts