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DailyIQ
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NKE·NIKE, Inc.

$38.66
-0.90 (-2.28%)
High
$39.18
Open
$38.27
Market Cap
59.22B
52W High
$69.14
Low
$37.96
P. Close
$38.66
P/E
19.15
52W Low
$31.32
Fwd P/E
24.84
DailyIQ Est.
$35.10
Inst. Own.
53.7%
Short Interest
6.77%
Days to Cover
1.9
Div. Yield
4.19%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 1
Div. Growth
24+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 1, 2026New outlook issued · tone -9.3 vs prior release · 41 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
5
BEARISH
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
On Nov 5, Truist Securities downgraded Nike to Sell from Hold, citing valuation worries and a lack of fundamental improvement despite a 19 % monthly rally, and maintained a $29 price target. The same day, UBS warned that Nike’s recovery could lag its 31‑times price‑to‑earnings ratio, keeping a neutral rating and a $34 price target based on an 18‑times multiple of fiscal 2029 earnings. Also on Nov 5, an article noted that Nike had announced a strategic reduction of its Dunk line, cutting about $200 million in revenue for the Sportswear segment in fiscal Q1 2027, a move framed as a cost‑control measure rather than a sign of weakening demand. That same day, another report said Nike would reduce the number of Jordan Retro releases to restore scarcity and brand value, potentially benefiting competitors such as On. On Nov 5, Bernstein kept an Outperform rating and a $45 price target for Nike, stating that earnings growth of roughly 22 % would be required to justify the level, while noting that current estimates had been cut, making a $36.50 target more realistic.
LOW TARGET
$19 -50.9%
6 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$36 -5.7%
31 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$60 +55.2%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$19.00 - $60.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/6/26/7/2
DAILYIQ EST.
$35.10 (-9.2%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Footwear & Accessories
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
NKE
Description
Nike, Inc. is a global leader in the athletic and casual apparel and footwear market, designing, developing, and selling a wide range of products for men, women, and children across numerous international markets. The company's diverse portfolio includes well-known brands such as Nike, Jordan, and Converse, offering a comprehensive selection of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Nike's value proposition extends beyond physical products, encompassing digital services, fitness apps, and sports-focused events, enhancing the consumer experience. Distribution channels are extensive, utilizing owned retail stores, wholesale accounts, and digital platforms to reach consumers, solidifying its competitive position in the industry. Founded in 1964 and headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon, Nike continues to innovate and maintain its brand recognition.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
90,816 shares
$3.8M
Hill ElliottPRESIDENT & CEO
Tax Withholding5,635 shares2026-10-14
Arnault Alexandre-
Award/Grant5,171 shares2026-09-15
Alagirisamy VenkateshEVP: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
Sell3,671 shares2026-09-09
Leinwand RobertEVP: Chief Legal Officer
Sell3,646 shares2026-09-09
McCartney PhilipEVP: CHIEF INN,PROD&DSG OFCR
Sell2,559 shares2026-09-09
60/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
42.9%
Net Margin
6.7%
Revenue CAGR
5.2%
Current Ratio
1.96x
Debt / Equity
0.53x
Return on Equity
20.9%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.04$0.23$0.42$0.62$0.81Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$0.38 - -
Q1'27$0.44$0.48+9.9%
Q4'26$0.13$0.72+466.1%
Q2'26$0.29$0.53+85.4%
Q4'25$0.37$0.53+41.9%
Q3'25$0.27$0.49+84.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$10.6B$11.1B$11.6B$12.2B$12.7BQ3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$11.2B - -
Q1'27$11.4B$11.2B-1.9%
Q4'26$10.8B$11.0B+1.1%
Q2'26$11.2B$12.4B+10.7%
Q4'25 - $12.4B -
Q3'25 - $11.7B -

Market Data

NKE Stock Snapshot

BEARISH5/100
$38.66−$0.90 (2.3%)
Market cap
59.22B
P/E ratio
19.1
Day range
$37.96 – $39.18
News sentiment
42/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$36.45 (-5.7%)
Consensus
Hold · 49 analysts
52-week range+23.4% off low · -44.1% from high
$31.32$69.14
Price $38.66 DailyIQ Est. $35.10

The signals on NKE lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into NKE?

CHEAP

At today's price, NIKE, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -7.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.42% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -1.1% a year, so the market is asking for 6.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis NKE looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-7.7%
Growth trend
-1.1%
Growth gap
-6.5 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.42%
Beta
0.94

Behaviour On Record

What NKE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
32.3% 76th pct
Below its peak
-77.5%
vs 200-day average
-12.6%
Up days (1y)
44%

NIKE, Inc. is currently running 32.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NKE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 76th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.8%.

NKE is trading -77.5% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.9%, and the deepest was -51.6% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -12.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 18th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year NKE closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, NKE finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.4% and an average of +5.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.1% on average, its weakest March at -5.3%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NKE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 39 of 3,268 sessions (1.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.0% and -5.8%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, NKE moved an average of 4.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +5.5% and a largest of +7.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NKE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of NKE's sector?

NIKE, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for NKE?

CallsPuts

For NIKE, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.61), with at-the-money implied volatility around 9.8%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
0.61
ATM implied volatility
9.8%
Total open interest
65,810

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect NKE to earn?

Analysts expect NIKE, Inc. to earn $1.25 per share in the fiscal year ending May 2027 and $1.82 in the fiscal year ending May 2029, from 6 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Nov 2026$0.37$0.29 to $0.5027$11.11B27
Feb 2027$0.25$0.18 to $0.3227$10.33B27
Aug 2027$0.46$0.31 to $0.575~$13.34B-
Nov 2027$0.39$0.31 to $0.465~$11.31B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
May 2027$1.25$1.01 to $1.5139$42.79B38
May 2028$1.53$1.10 to $2.3540$43.21B41
May 2029$1.82$1.50 to $2.116~$52.78B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on NKE?

Truist Securities most recently downgraded NIKE, Inc. to Sell on Nov 5, 2026 with a price target of $29. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 4 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Truist Securities: Sell
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
4
Net rating momentum
-3
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 5, 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold → Sell$29
Oct 22, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedBuy$50
Oct 22, 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatedUnderperform$28
Oct 22, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$37 → $45
Oct 22, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$50
Oct 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$48 → $37
Oct 2, 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeSell → Buy$54 → $51
Oct 2, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$42 → $34
Oct 2, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedMarket Perform$44 → $35
Oct 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$39 → $32
Oct 2, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$31 → $27
Oct 2, 2026BNP ParibasReiteratedUnderperform$23 → $19

Earnings Release, Scored

What did NIKE, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 1, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

New outlook issued
Tone48.7/ 100-9.3 vs prior release
Hedging words1.00per 100 words+0.12 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 43–63

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Revenues are expected to decline high-single digits in fiscal 2027 .

    New this quarterNegative tone
  2. 2

    NIKE expects Pace to deliver approximately $2.5 billion in cumulative savings through fiscal 2031, with approximately $1.0 billion of pre-tax charges, primarily consisting of employee-related costs, through fiscal 2031, in addition to approximately $0.3 billion of severance costs recognized in fiscal 2026.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 42.8 percent

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

NKE peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about NKE?

NKE rose 11.5% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 31 and 66 from Oct 6 to Oct 9, then dropped to 33 on Oct 12.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$35$40Oct 6: tone 40Oct 7: tone 31Oct 8: tone 40Oct 9: tone 66Oct 12: tone 33Oct 13: tone 59Oct 14: tone 66Oct 15: tone 46Oct 16: tone 49Oct 19: tone 51Oct 20: tone 34Oct 21: tone 54Oct 22: tone 48Oct 23: tone 44Oct 26: tone 29Oct 27: tone 24Oct 28: tone 53Oct 29: tone 48Oct 30: tone 48Nov 2: tone 39Nov 3: tone 37Nov 4: tone 38Nov 5: tone 40Nov 6: tone 44Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 15 +6.1%same day: Woodlawn High School Basketball Scores $50,000 Investment from Hibbett and Nike in Birmingham
  2. Oct 29 +3.9%same day: NKE Stock Ticks Higher Overnight: Nike Unveils 'Vegam Run' For The World's Largest Population Amid China Sales Slump
  3. Nov 4 +5.8%same day: NIKE's Product Reset: Can Fresh Launches Revive Momentum?

Technical analysis

How strong is NKE's momentum right now?

On the daily chart NKE ranks at the 5th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling NKE?

103 of the 217 tracked managers added to NKE in their latest 13F and 112 trimmed. Together they own 53.7% of the company, worth $33.5B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 10.5%.

103adding112trimming2unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of NKE
  1. $3.4B positionTrimmed 10.9% last quarter
  2. $3.2B positionAdded 1.2% last quarter
  3. $3.0B positionAdded 42.7% last quarter
  4. $2.6B positionAdded 6.8% last quarter
  5. $1.9B positionAdded 60.7% last quarter
  6. $1.2B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
  7. $911.7M positionTrimmed 42.1% last quarter
  8. $868.9M positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
  9. $824.2M positionTrimmed 8.9% last quarter
  10. $714.1M positionAdded 35.3% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading NKE?

15 members of Congress disclosed 24 NKE trades between Aug 8, 2014 and Aug 27, 2026: 11 buys and 13 sells, about $575.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells201620182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has NKE done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, NKE returned −12.0%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by HLT at +15.7%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6HLT +15.7%NKE −12.0%DECK −16.9%