DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

DECK·Deckers Outdoor Corporation

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$104.76
Open
$104.03
Market Cap
14.62B
52W High
$126.50
Low
$102.83
P. Close
$104.04
P/E
14.28
52W Low
$78.91
Fwd P/E
121.48
DailyIQ Est.
$131.83
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
Deckers shares fell ahead of its July 23 earnings, as investors weigh a projected decline in EPS and a modest revenue increase. The earnings release will be the first chance to see whether margin pressure or inventory adjustments offset the slower growth in constant‑currency revenue, which has slipped to a lower single‑digit rate. Deckers relies on Ugg and Hoka for the majority of its sales, and the company’s heavy wholesale exposure means any shift in channel demand could amplify the impact of the earnings guidance. Jefferies has upgraded the stock to Buy, arguing that the market has over‑penalized the recent slowdown in HOKA sales and that the product pipeline should lift revenue and margins in the medium term. The company’s multi‑billion‑dollar share‑repurchase program and strong balance sheet provide a cushion that could support the stock if earnings guidance remains positive. Teva’s new Fall 2026 collection, co‑created with an adventure‑brand partner, may drive incremental sales in the outdoor segment and offers a potential upside if the launch resonates with consumers. Analysts note that Deckers’ valuation multiples are currently below intrinsic estimates, suggesting a discount that could be attractive if the company delivers on its guidance. Watch the July 23 earnings call for updates on EPS, revenue, margin guidance, and inventory levels, as well as any signals that the HOKA pipeline is translating into sales. Also monitor how the market reacts to the Jefferies upgrade and whether the stock’s short‑term momentum stabilizes, as this could influence trading activity over the next few days.
Earnings Summary
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, a global designer and distributor of footwear, apparel and accessories, is best known for its UGG and HOKA brands and operates in the consumer cyclical footwear & accessories sector. The company sells through a multi‑channel mix that includes wholesale, direct‑to‑consumer e‑commerce and physical stores, with a heavy reliance on UGG and HOKA for the majority of its sales. In the most recent two quarters, Deckers posted a 36% revenue increase in Q3 2026 to $1.96 billion versus $1.43 billion in Q3 2025, but revenue fell 28% to $1.12 billion in Q4 2026, reflecting a sharp slowdown in constant‑currency growth. EPS, however, remained strong, with a 3.33 earnings per share in Q3 2026 compared to 1.82 in Q3 2025, yet it dropped to 0.96 in Q4 2026, indicating margin pressure. Across the seven quarters of data, Deckers has consistently beat analyst EPS estimates—six of seven quarters—while revenue growth has been uneven, with a 5.8% rise from Q1 2025 to Q2 2025 and a 13.3% YoY decline in constant‑currency revenue reported for the latest earnings outlook. Historically, the company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats even when revenue growth slows, suggesting disciplined cost management but also sensitivity to wholesale channel dynamics. Recent news highlights a projected decline in EPS for the July 23 earnings release, modest revenue growth, and concerns over margin compression, while Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy, citing potential upside from the HOKA product pipeline and a strong share‑repurchase program. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings call for guidance on EPS, revenue, margin expansion, inventory write‑downs, and the performance of the HOKA pipeline, as well as any commentary on currency exposure and wholesale channel performance, which have historically driven volatility in Deckers’ earnings.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.20$1.08$1.97$2.85$3.74Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$0.87 - -
Q4'26$0.83$0.96+15.2%
Q3'26$0.82$3.33+305.2%
Q3'25$1.58$1.82+15.1%
Q2'25$0.68$0.93+36.6%
Q1'25$0.61$1.00+65.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$816M$1.1B$1.5B$1.8B$2.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.0B - -
Q4'26$1.1B$1.1B+0.4%
Q3'26$1.1B$2.0B+80.5%
Q3'25 - $1.4B -
Q2'25 - $965M -
Q1'25 - $1.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

DECK Stock Snapshot

DECK is currently trading at $103.01, giving Deckers Outdoor Corporation a market cap of 14.62B and a P/E ratio of 14.3. Today's range spans $102.83–$104.76, with shares opening at $104.03 and moving down $1.03 (1.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 41/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.

Over the past year DECK has traded between $78.91 and $126.50 - the current price is +30.5% off the 52-week low and -18.6% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $127.81 (range $90.00–$184.00), implying upside of +24.1%.

Neutral technical setups in large-cap Consumer Cyclical names are inherently unstable - they resolve. Right now, DECK (41/100, HOLD, price $103.01, in the middle of its 52-week range) is waiting for that resolution. Sentiment: neutral at 50/100. The current P/E ratio stands at 14.3. With 14.62B in market cap, the 52-week range of $78.91–$126.50 is where structural support and resistance live - and which one holds when the next catalyst hits will define the next trade.

The 52-week range of $78.91–$126.50 for DECK provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $103.01 (in the middle of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 41/100 and neutral news backdrop (50/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.