DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

DECK·Deckers Outdoor Corporation

$78.45
-1.26 (-1.58%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$78.64+0.19 (+0.24%)
High
$80.47
Open
$79.95
Market Cap
10.85B
52W High
$122.29
Low
$78.22
P. Close
$78.45
P/E
10.69
52W Low
$77.36
Fwd P/E
9.43
DailyIQ Est.
$126.11
Inst. Ownership
48.3%
Short Interest
6.46%
Days to Cover
3.3
Technical Score (1D)
5
SELL
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
Deckers’ stock surged 2.24% today, outpacing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, a move that traders interpret as a rebound in confidence ahead of the company’s upcoming earnings release. The lift follows analyst revisions that now project next‑quarter EPS of $1.82 and revenue growth of roughly 5.6 % year‑over‑year, suggesting the firm can sustain its recent upside despite a challenging retail environment. The market’s reaction indicates that investors are looking for confirmation that the company can maintain this trajectory, especially in the Ugg‑footwear segment that has been a key driver of revenue. Earlier this week, Deckers upgraded its full‑year EPS and gross‑margin outlook after its Q1 2027 earnings report, a development that has sparked speculation that the stock may be undervalued relative to analyst targets. However, the share price has still fallen 27 % year‑to‑date, and the market has not yet fully priced in the guidance lift, leaving room for volatility in the next 1–10 trading days. The company’s discount to consensus targets could attract value‑oriented traders, but the lingering price weakness suggests caution. Traders should watch the earnings call for any guidance revisions or commentary on Ugg demand, as well as any updates on the company’s cost structure that could affect margin projections. A confirmation of the upgraded outlook could support a rebound, while a downgrade or weaker-than‑expected demand narrative could trigger a pullback.
Earnings Summary
Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories under brands such as UGG, HOKA, and Teva, targeting casual and performance lifestyles through retail, distribution, and direct‑to‑consumer channels. In the consumer cyclical sector, Deckers has posted strong earnings, with Q4 2024 revenue of $1.83 billion and EPS of $3.00 beating estimates of $2.61 and $2.61 respectively; the company has consistently outperformed earnings expectations in the last four quarters. Historically, Deckers has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory of 5–10% per quarter, with EPS growth lagging but still above analyst forecasts; the firm has delivered revenue beats in each of the last six quarters. Recent news highlights Deckers’ debt‑free balance sheet and low valuation relative to peers, underscoring financial flexibility, and a recent earnings beat driven by strong athleisure demand and a growing direct‑to‑consumer channel that has improved margins; the company’s guidance remains steady with a 5.6% revenue growth target. Investors should watch for the next earnings guidance release to confirm whether the company maintains its revenue growth trajectory and to monitor any changes in supply‑chain costs or consumer discretionary sentiment that could impact profitability in the near term.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.28$1.14$2.01$2.87$3.73Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$1.79 - -
Q1'27$0.87$0.94+7.6%
Q4'26$0.83$0.96+15.2%
Q3'26$0.82$3.33+305.2%
Q3'25$1.58$1.82+15.1%
Q2'25$0.68$0.93+36.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$816M$1.1B$1.5B$1.8B$2.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$1.5B - -
Q1'27$1.0B$1.0B+0.2%
Q4'26$1.1B$1.1B+0.4%
Q3'26$1.1B$2.0B+80.5%
Q3'25 - $1.4B -
Q2'25 - $965M -

Market Data

DECK Stock Snapshot

SELL5/100
$78.64+$0.19 (0.2%)
Market cap
10.85B
P/E ratio
10.7
Day range
$78.22 – $80.47
News sentiment
64/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$120.41 (+53.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 34 analysts
52-week range+1.7% off low · -35.7% from high
$77.36$122.29
Price $78.64 DailyIQ Est. $126.11

Price action on DECK is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What DECK's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
32.7% 47th pct
Below its peak
-64.8%
vs 200-day average
-23.4%
Up days (1y)
45%

Deckers Outdoor Corporation is currently running 32.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DECK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 47th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 33.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DECK is trading -64.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.6%, and the deepest was -64.4% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -23.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 8th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DECK closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, DECK finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.5% and an average of -3.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.2% on average, its weakest September at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DECK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 159 of 3,266 sessions (4.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.2% and -12.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DECK moved an average of 4.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +4.0% and a largest of +4.7%.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DECK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DECK's sector?

Deckers Outdoor Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DECK?

CallsPuts

For Deckers Outdoor Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.08), with at-the-money implied volatility around 39.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $74.03–$81.48.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.08
ATM implied volatility
39.9%
Total open interest
2,516
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.8% ($74.03–$81.48)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DECK?

BMO Capital most recently initiated coverage on Deckers Outdoor Corporation to Underperform on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $70. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
BMO CapitalUnderperform
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedUnderperform$70
Jul 25, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedMarket Perform$113 → $105
Jul 24, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$125 → $105
Jul 24, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$144 → $133
Jul 24, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$141 → $133
Jul 24, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$138 → $125
Jul 24, 2026BairdMaintainedNeutral$125 → $115
Jul 13, 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold → Buy$110 → $130
May 26, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$143 → $141
May 22, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$145 → $161
May 22, 2026KGI SecuritiesDowngradeOutperform → Neutral$117
May 22, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$132 → $125

DECK Competitive Positioning

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) is tracked alongside these names in Footwear & Accessories on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.