DailyIQ
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Sector:UtilitiesAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

OKLO·Oklo Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$50.65
Open
$49.44
Market Cap
8.50B
52W High
$193.84
Low
$47.63
P. Close
$48.84
P/E
-
52W Low
$44.88
Fwd P/E
-59.00
DailyIQ Est.
$97.09
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
The U.S. Department of Energy has approved the final Documented Safety Analysis for Oklo’s Groves Isotope Test Reactor, clearing a key safety milestone that moves the project into the final pre‑startup review phase. This regulatory green light removes a major barrier, allowing Oklo to target first criticality in July and potentially begin fuel loading, which could accelerate the path to commercial deployment. The approval also signals that the reactor design meets federal safety standards, bolstering investor confidence in the company’s technical credibility. In parallel, Oklo’s acquisition of Creative Engineers added roughly 20 engineers and a free‑cash‑flow‑positive business, expanding its sodium‑cooled reactor expertise and internalizing critical design and fabrication functions. The added engineering capacity is expected to speed design iterations, improve safety training, and lower execution risk, while the positive cash flow stream may help offset the dilution risk from recent high‑price share sales. However, the company remains in the early stages of commercial deployment, with no revenue and a $128.9 million net loss, so the regulatory milestone may not immediately translate into earnings. The broader SMR sector has cooled since the 2025 boom, and Oklo’s share price has fallen 27% in the first half of 2026, reflecting sector headwinds and the long timeline to market entry. Traders should watch the upcoming criticality test in July, the next DOE operational readiness review, and any funding approvals that could unlock revenue generation. Additionally, monitoring any further regulatory approvals for the Aurora reactor and any new capital raises will be key to assessing the company’s near‑term execution risk.
Earnings Summary
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) is a nascent clean‑energy company focused on developing scalable, reliable advanced fission reactors that recycle nuclear waste into usable fuel, positioning itself at the intersection of power generation and waste management. In its most recent earnings cycle, the company reported negative earnings per share throughout the period, with Q4 2024 at –$0.09 versus an estimate of –$0.073, Q1 2025 at –$0.07 beating the –$0.11 forecast, Q2 2025 at –$0.18 missing the –$0.11 estimate, Q3 2025 at –$0.20 missing the –$0.124, Q4 2025 at –$0.27 missing the –$0.169, and Q1 2026 at –$0.19 beating the –$0.196 forecast; revenue remained zero in every quarter, reflecting the company’s pre‑commercial stage. The EPS trajectory has been volatile, swinging from a modest improvement in Q1 2025 to a deeper loss in Q4 2025 before a partial rebound in Q1 2026, underscoring the high‑cost, long‑timeline nature of reactor development. Historically, Oklo has consistently posted negative earnings and zero revenue, with only two quarters—Q1 2025 and Q1 2026—beating analyst expectations, indicating that while the company remains unprofitable, it occasionally exceeds pessimistic forecasts. Recent regulatory news—specifically the U.S. Department of Energy’s approval of Oklo’s Documented Safety Analysis for its Groves Isotope Test Reactor—marks a critical milestone that removes a major regulatory hurdle and signals readiness to enter pre‑startup testing, potentially accelerating the path to first criticality in July 2026. Investors should watch for the company’s guidance on the timing of the reactor’s first criticality, any subsequent DOE operational readiness reviews, and the first commercial contracts that could translate the safety approval into revenue generation, as these developments will be pivotal in shifting Oklo from a research‑stage entity to a revenue‑generating utility.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.30$-0.24$-0.17$-0.11$-0.04Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.17 - -
Q1'26$-0.20$-0.19+3.1%
Q4'25$-0.17$-0.27-60.2%
Q3'25$-0.12$-0.20-60.9%
Q2'25$-0.11$-0.18-63.6%
Q1'25$-0.11$-0.07+36.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-19,316.25$22,535.625$64,387.5$106,239.375$148,091.25Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$128,775 - -
Q1'26$0$0 -
Q4'25$0$0 -
Q3'25 - $0 -
Q2'25 - $0 -
Q1'25 - $0 -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

OKLO Stock Snapshot

OKLO is currently trading at $48.96, giving Oklo Inc. a market cap of 8.50B. Today's range spans $47.63–$50.65, with shares opening at $49.44 and moving up $0.12 (0.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 43/100.

Over the past year OKLO has traded between $44.88 and $193.84 - the current price is +9.1% off the 52-week low and -74.7% from the high. 31 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $88.63 (range $14.00–$140.00), implying upside of +81.0%.

OKLO sits at $48.96 (near 52-week lows in $44.88–$193.84) with a SELL read (27/100) and neutral sentiment (43/100). At 8.50B in Utilities market cap, this is a stock where the exit can be harder than the entry in volatile markets - a feature of thin-float names that makes risk management more important than it would be in larger-cap peers.

The absence of strong institutional sponsorship makes OKLO's SELL signal (27/100) more consequential than the same signal in a larger name — at 8.50B in Utilities market cap, there are fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure, which means the $44.88–$193.84 range's lower bound becomes a sharper test of the thesis. Sentiment at 43/100 (neutral) and price at $48.96 (near 52-week lows) don't yet suggest stabilization is imminent.