BWXT·BWX Technologies Inc.
BWXT|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.20 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.04 | $1.07 | +2.7% |
| Q1'26 | $0.94 | $1.12 | +18.6% |
| Q4'25 | $0.88 | $1.08 | +22.2% |
| Q3'25 | $0.87 | $1.00 | +14.3% |
| Q2'25 | $0.79 | $1.02 | +28.7% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $995M | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $921M | $902M | -2.1% |
| Q1'26 | $855M | $860M | +0.6% |
| Q4'25 | $837M | $886M | +5.8% |
| Q3'25 | - | $866M | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $764M | - |
BWXT|Monthly Returns
Market Data
BWXT Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 13.52B
- P/E ratio
- 38.0
- Day range
- $145.20 – $147.94
- News sentiment
- 47/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $223.63 (+51.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 25 analysts
BWXT is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into BWXT?
At today's price, BWX Technologies Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 37.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.06% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.8% a year, so the market is asking for 35.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BWXT looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 37.0%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 1.8%
- Growth gap
- +35.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.06%
- Beta
- 1.17
Behaviour On Record
What BWXT's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 44.9% 89th pct
- Below its peak
- -38.8%
- vs 200-day average
- -23.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
BWX Technologies Inc. is currently running 44.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BWXT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 89th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
BWXT is trading -38.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.7%, and the deepest was -48.2% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -23.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 2nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BWXT closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, BWXT finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.1% and an average of +0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -1.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: BWXT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 124 of 3,267 sessions (3.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +19.3% and -12.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BWXT moved an average of 4.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.4% and a largest of -5.4%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BWXT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of BWXT's sector?
BWX Technologies Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Aerospace & Defense industry group, BWXT ranks 15th of 15 tracked industries, improving.
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 30
- Industry rank
- #15 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BWXT?
Guggenheim most recently initiated coverage on BWX Technologies Inc. to Buy on Sep 15, 2026 with a price target of $192. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Guggenheim — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
