DailyIQ
Last updated 4 minutes ago

SMR·NuScale Power Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$8.72
Open
$8.11
Market Cap
2.91B
52W High
$57.42
Low
$8.06
P. Close
$7.96
P/E
-
52W Low
$7.21
Fwd P/E
-
DailyIQ Est.
$14.74
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
67
BULLISH
Shares have rebounded after a steep decline, reflecting renewed investor interest as the company secures regulatory approvals for its SMR platform, though no commercial sales have materialized yet. This rebound suggests that the market is re‑evaluating the long‑term potential of SMR technology, but investors remain wary of execution risks and the long timelines required to bring reactors online. The cautious sentiment that emerged in the past 92 hours, highlighted by a sell‑off that pushed the share price to $7.64, underscores the tension between optimism about the technology and concerns over the company’s ability to deliver on its milestones. The drop reported 105 hours ago, driven by valuation concerns, profit‑taking and worries about AI’s influence on the sector, further illustrates the market’s demand for concrete performance evidence before committing capital. The 52‑week low reached 109 hours ago, driven by timeline worries and a shift toward valuing cash flow and margins, signals that investors are increasingly focused on the company’s near‑term financial sustainability. The decline over the past month, noted 115 hours ago, reflects a sector‑wide sell‑off in speculative nuclear names and a heightened risk premium on pre‑revenue SMR projects, even as nuclear utilities remain largely stable. These developments collectively mean that SMR’s next 1–10 trading days will be dominated by the company’s ability to demonstrate progress on regulatory milestones, partnership agreements, and any early revenue signals. Traders should watch for the upcoming earnings release for guidance on deployment milestones, any new NRC approvals that could accelerate deployment, and potential partnership announcements that could validate the company’s commercial trajectory. If the company can secure binding contracts or show tangible construction progress, the market may shift back toward a growth narrative; otherwise, the focus will likely remain on execution risk and cash‑flow concerns.
Earnings Summary
NuScale Power Corporation, headquartered in Corvallis, Oregon, specializes in the development of the NuScale Power Module, a 77‑megawatt small modular reactor designed to provide clean, scalable nuclear energy. The company’s business model relies on securing regulatory approvals and commercial contracts to bring its modular reactors into service. In the most recent quarters, NuScale reported negative earnings, with Q4 2024 EPS of –$0.77 versus an estimate of –$0.13, and Q1 2025 EPS of –$0.11 versus –$0.115, a slight beat; subsequent quarters saw larger misses, with Q3 2025 EPS of –$1.85 against –$0.145 and Q4 2025 EPS of –$0.80 versus –$0.1325. Revenue has contracted sharply from $34.2 million in Q4 2024 to $13.4 million in Q1 2025, then to $8.0 million in Q2 and Q3 2025, and fell to $1.8 million in Q4 2025 and $0.57 million in Q1 2026, reflecting a steep decline in sales activity. Historically, the company has struggled to achieve positive earnings, with most quarters missing analyst expectations and revenue falling year‑over‑year, underscoring the high execution risk and long deployment timelines associated with SMR projects. Recent news highlights a 5 % rebound after an 80 % drawdown, driven by renewed confidence in regulatory approvals, yet persistent concerns about execution risk and cost overruns continue to weigh on sentiment. Analysts note that the company’s valuation remains below fair value, and investors are watching for any new regulatory approvals, binding customer contracts, or partnership announcements that could validate the business model. Forward‑looking watch points for investors include monitoring the next earnings release for updates on construction milestones, signed contracts, and capital deployment plans, as well as any changes in government incentives or policy support for small modular reactors, which could shift market sentiment and provide a clearer view of NuScale’s commercial viability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-2.11$-1.55$-0.98$-0.41$0.15Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.13 - -
Q1'26$-0.13$-0.14-8.8%
Q4'25$-0.13$-0.80-503.8%
Q3'25$-0.14$-1.85-1175.9%
Q2'25$-0.11$-0.13-16.1%
Q1'25$-0.12$-0.11+4.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-2M$3M$8M$12M$17MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$9M - -
Q1'26$15M$570,000-96.2%
Q4'25$9M$2M-79.1%
Q3'25 - $8M -
Q2'25 - $8M -
Q1'25 - $13M -

Market Data

SMR Stock Snapshot

SMR is currently trading at $8.64, giving NuScale Power Corporation a market cap of 2.91B. Today's range spans $8.06–$8.72, with shares opening at $8.11 and moving up $0.68 (8.5%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 67/100.

Over the past year SMR has traded between $7.21 and $57.42 - the current price is +19.8% off the 52-week low and -85.0% from the high. 22 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $14.80 (range $6.00–$25.00), implying upside of +71.3%.

The risk/reward for NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) is currently asymmetric to the downside: 27/100 (SELL), bullish sentiment (67/100), price $8.64 (near 52-week lows in $7.21–$57.42). At 2.91B in Industrials market cap, negative technical and sentiment readings can become self-fulfilling quickly - institutional coverage wanes, volume dries up, and the next catalyst to restore interest needs to be material rather than incremental.

The absence of strong institutional sponsorship makes SMR's SELL signal (27/100) more consequential than the same signal in a larger name — at 2.91B in Industrials market cap, there are fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure, which means the $7.21–$57.42 range's lower bound becomes a sharper test of the thesis. Sentiment at 67/100 (bullish) and price at $8.64 (near 52-week lows) don't yet suggest stabilization is imminent.