DailyIQ
|
Sector:IndustrialsAll sectors
Last updated 8 minutes ago

POOL·Pool Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$213.19
Open
$209.84
Market Cap
7.40B
52W High
$345.00
Low
$209.38
P. Close
$207.93
P/E
18.23
52W Low
$172.68
Fwd P/E
17.48
DailyIQ Est.
$257.89
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
52
MIXED
The removal of POOL from the Russell 1000 Growth and Russell 3000 Growth indexes is the most immediate development. This change is expected to trigger a short‑term rebalancing push from index funds that will likely increase trading volume. Analysts have flagged that the stock may be trading at roughly 37 % below its fundamental valuation, suggesting a potential upside if the market corrects. The removal also means the company will no longer be counted in growth‑focused benchmarks, which could alter its perceived risk profile for growth‑oriented investors. In parallel, POOL has scheduled its Q2 2026 earnings release for July 23, ahead of market open, providing a fresh set of financial data for the next 1–10 trading days. The earnings announcement will offer clarity on revenue, margin, and guidance, which could confirm or refute the undervaluation assessment. The company will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. Central Time on the same day, giving analysts a chance to ask follow‑up questions. Traders should watch the earnings release for any surprises that could move the stock beyond the short‑term volume spike from index rebalancing. Additionally, monitoring the index rebalancing flows and the company's guidance will help gauge whether the 37 % undervaluation estimate holds over the next week.
Earnings Summary
Pool Corporation is a leading distributor of swimming pool and outdoor living products, serving builders, remodelers, and specialty retailers across the United States and internationally. The company’s core business includes chemicals, accessories, replacement parts, and building materials for new and remodeled pools, positioning it as a one‑stop shop within the pool industry, while also offering irrigation and landscape maintenance products that broaden its reach into the outdoor living market. In the most recent four quarters, Pool beat estimates in Q4 2024 (EPS 0.97 vs 0.89) and Q2 2025 (EPS 5.17 vs 5.15) and in Q3 2025 (EPS 3.39 vs 3.37), but missed guidance in Q1 2025 (EPS 1.32 vs 1.46), Q4 2025 (EPS 0.84 vs 0.99), and Q1 2026 (EPS 1.43 vs 5.35); revenue peaked in Q2 2025 at $1.78 billion and fell to $1.45 billion in Q3, $982 million in Q4, and $1.14 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a downward trend after the second‑quarter high. Year‑over‑year revenue growth has been uneven, with the 2025 second quarter as the strongest performance followed by declines, and the company has consistently beaten EPS estimates when it reports results, though the magnitude of those beats has varied. Recent analyst commentary upgraded Pool’s target price to $204, citing stronger earnings outlook and margin expansion driven by rising residential pool demand and better cost control, while also highlighting the risk of margin erosion and consumer softness; the distribution network that feeds repeat purchases from contractors and facility operators is seen as a buffer against new‑construction volatility, but the seasonal nature of pool‑season demand remains a concern. Investors should watch for the Q2 2026 earnings release to assess whether the company can rebound from the Q1 2026 miss, focusing on guidance for seasonal sales, margin trajectory, and any adjustments to cost‑control initiatives, and monitoring cash‑flow statements and input‑price trends to gauge the validity of the margin‑erosion risk assessment.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.16$1.63$3.10$4.57$6.03Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.36 - -
Q1'26$5.35$1.43-73.3%
Q4'25$0.99$0.84-15.5%
Q3'25$3.37$3.39+0.7%
Q2'25$5.15$5.17+0.3%
Q1'25$1.46$1.32-9.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$851M$1.1B$1.4B$1.7B$2.0BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.9B - -
Q1'26$1.8B$1.1B-37.6%
Q4'25$1.0B$982M-3.6%
Q3'25 - $1.5B -
Q2'25 - $1.8B -
Q1'25 - $1.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

POOL Stock Snapshot

POOL is currently trading at $207.97, giving Pool Corporation a market cap of 7.40B and a P/E ratio of 18.2. Today's range spans $209.38–$213.19, with shares opening at $209.84 and moving up $0.04 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 77/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 52/100.

Over the past year POOL has traded between $172.68 and $345.00 - the current price is +20.4% off the 52-week low and -39.7% from the high. 24 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $254.55 (range $210.00–$300.00), implying upside of +22.4%.

Pool Corporation (POOL) is a small-cap in Industrials with approximately 7.40B in market cap - the tier where bullish technical setups can produce moves that larger-cap peers simply can't match on a percentage basis. Score: 77/100 (BUY). Sentiment: neutral at 52/100. Price: $207.97 (in the lower half of its 52-week range within $172.68–$345.00). (P/E: 18.2)

News sentiment (52/100, neutral) plays a larger role in small-cap price discovery than in mega-cap names, because the analyst coverage base is narrower and each incremental news item carries more weight in the information set. For POOL — 7.40B in Industrials market cap, technical score 77/100 (BUY), price $207.97 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) — a sustained improvement in the news backdrop could accelerate the bullish technical thesis toward the upper end of the $172.68–$345.00 range faster than fundamental models would suggest.