DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

POOL·Pool Corporation

$155.81
-4.79 (-2.98%)
High
$159.83
Open
$159.45
Market Cap
5.84B
52W High
$305.63
Low
$155.15
P. Close
$155.81
P/E
14.60
52W Low
$152.70
Fwd P/E
13.66
DailyIQ Est.
$212.61
Inst. Ownership
54.6%
Short Interest
10.00%
Days to Cover
3.9
Div. Yield
3.18%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 11
Div. Growth
15+ yrs
Technical Score (1D)
9
BEARISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
POOL is a momentum laggard on the 1D chart: a Technical Score of 9 with declining momentum and weak trend strength. The score ranks stocks against each other, so a reading this low says Pool Corporation has been one of the weaker performers in the universe, not that it is oversold. Sentiment at 50 is diverging from that weakness. $164.52 is the level a recovery would need to reclaim, and $148.70 is the next downside reference below $151.86. DailyIQ's indicator breakdown shows how individual readings such as RSI (neutral range) and MACD (bearish) look right now. Those readings are context only and do not feed the Technical Score, which ranks POOL's momentum against the rest of the universe.
LOW TARGET
$167 +7.2%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$210 +34.5%
15 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$260 +66.9%
8 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$167.00 - $260.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/6/12/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$212.61 (+36.5%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial Distribution
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
POOL
Description
Pool Corporation is a leading distributor of swimming pool and related outdoor living products, serving a diverse customer base across the United States and internationally. The company's core business revolves around providing essential supplies for pool maintenance, including chemicals, accessories, and replacement parts for equipment like pumps and filters. Beyond maintenance, Pool Corporation also supplies building materials crucial for both new pool construction and remodeling projects, encompassing concrete, decking, and various functional and decorative elements. This comprehensive product portfolio positions the company as a one-stop-shop for pool builders, remodelers, service businesses, and specialty retailers, solidifying its role within the pool industry. Furthermore, Pool Corporation offers irrigation and landscape maintenance products, expanding its reach within the broader outdoor living market.
Bought (1Y)
10,000 shares
$1.8M
Sold (1Y)
22 shares
$4K
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J-
Gift3,963 shares2026-08-13
Saik WalkerChief Accounting Officer
Tax Withholding22 shares2026-07-27
WHALEN DAVID G-
L3 shares2026-05-28
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J-
Buy10,000 shares2026-05-13
68/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
29.7%
Net Margin
7.7%
Revenue CAGR
6.6%
Current Ratio
2.24x
Debt / Equity
1.01x
Return on Equity
34.3%
Earnings Summary
Pool Corporation is a leading distributor of swimming pool and outdoor living products, offering chemicals, accessories, and building materials for pool construction and remodeling, thereby serving a broad customer base across the United States and internationally. The industrial distribution sector is sensitive to seasonal demand and macroeconomic cycles, which can impact consumer spending on leisure products. In the most recent quarters, EPS fell from $1.32 in Q1 2025 to $0.84 in Q4 2025, while revenue dipped from $1.0715 B to $982.2 M, indicating a 8% YoY revenue decline and a 36% EPS contraction; the company missed analyst estimates in Q4 2025, contrasting with a beat in Q2 2025 where EPS exceeded forecasts by 0.3%. Historically, Pool has experienced volatile earnings, with a sharp EPS drop in Q1 2026 to $1.43 against a $5.35 estimate, reflecting a significant miss, while revenue remained flat at $1.138 B; the company’s revenue growth has been inconsistent, often lagging behind EPS expectations. Recent news reports a board addition on Sep 27 to address governance amid declining share performance, and a Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for Oct 22, suggesting management is actively engaging investors; however, the company’s profit outlook remains constrained by broader market underperformance and higher input costs.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.16$1.63$3.11$4.59$6.06Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.37 - -
Q2'26$3.47$5.38+54.9%
Q1'26$5.35$1.43-73.3%
Q4'25$0.99$0.84-15.5%
Q3'25$3.37$3.39+0.7%
Q2'25$5.15$5.17+0.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$852M$1.1B$1.4B$1.7B$2.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.5B - -
Q2'26$1.9B$1.8B-1.6%
Q1'26$1.8B$1.1B-37.6%
Q4'25$1.0B$982M-3.6%
Q3'25 - $1.5B -
Q2'25 - $1.8B -

Market Data

POOL Stock Snapshot

BEARISH9/100
$155.81−$4.79 (3.0%)
Market cap
5.84B
P/E ratio
14.6
Day range
$155.15 – $159.83
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$209.50 (+34.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 25 analysts
52-week range+2.0% off low · -49.0% from high
$152.70$305.63
Price $155.81 DailyIQ Est. $212.61

POOL's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into POOL?

CHEAP

At today's price, Pool Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 8.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.44% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 13.5% a year, so the market is asking for 4.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis POOL looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
8.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
13.5%
Growth gap
-4.7 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.44%
Beta
0.78

Behaviour On Record

What POOL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
25.3% 54th pct
Below its peak
-72.2%
vs 200-day average
-22.2%
Up days (1y)
46%

Pool Corporation is currently running 25.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against POOL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

POOL is trading -72.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.2%, and the deepest was -48.4% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -22.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year POOL closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, POOL finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of +0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.7% on average, its weakest August at -1.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: POOL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 112 of 3,267 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.6% and -15.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, POOL moved an average of 1.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.5% and a largest of +1.7%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against POOL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of POOL's sector?

Pool Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for POOL?

CallsPuts

For Pool Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.90), with at-the-money implied volatility around 70.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $150.04–$162.36.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
2.90
ATM implied volatility
70.7%
Total open interest
5,113
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±3.9% ($150.04–$162.36)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on POOL?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Pool Corporation to Equal-Weight on Sep 11, 2026 with a price target of $185 (from $215). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 11, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$215 → $185
Aug 25, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedNeutral$210
Aug 20, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$225
Jul 24, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$280 → $227
Jul 24, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$235 → $189
Jul 24, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$290 → $225
Jul 20, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedUnderperform$226 → $206
Jul 6, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$210 → $235
May 11, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$240 → $210
Apr 24, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$232 → $240
Apr 20, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedUnderperform$229 → $226
Apr 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$230 → $215

Peers & ETF holders

POOL peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

50/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Pool Corporation announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 earnings results on October 22, 2026, before the market opens, and will hold a conference call at 10:00 a.m. Central Time to discuss the results. The release and call will be available on the company’s website and via phone dial‑in. This routine announcement provides the schedule for investors but does not disclose any earnings data or material guidance changes.
What did this article say?
Pool (POOL) announced the addition of Jean‑Marc Germain to its board of directors, a move aimed at strengthening governance and signaling a potential shift in strategy. The company’s share price has weakened, with a 30‑day decline of 12.31% and a 90‑day drop of 22.07%, while the year‑to‑date total shareholder return fell 44.73%. The board refresh is viewed as a positive catalyst, but the recent performance trend suggests investors remain cautious about the company’s growth prospects.
What did this article say?
Pool Corporation announced the appointment of Jean‑Marc Germain as a director, effective September 30, 2026. Germain, formerly CEO of Constellium SE and with experience at Algeco Scotsman Global, will serve until the 2027 annual meeting. The board will expand to nine members following his addition. The move is a routine governance update with no immediate operational impact.
What did this article say?
Pool Corporation’s second‑quarter investor letter highlighted that the company’s profit outlook is being constrained by broader market underperformance, particularly in the technology sector. The firm’s exposure to swimming pool supplies and related leisure products was impacted by weaker demand and higher input costs. Despite a strong performance in AI‑related holdings, Pool’s overall earnings projections were tempered by sector‑wide challenges and competitive pressures. The letter noted that the company’s strategic focus remains on maintaining market share while navigating cost pressures.
What did this article say?
Pool Inc. reported a 2.2% annual revenue growth over the past five years, signaling a decline in market share against competitors. The company’s free cash flow margin fell to 6.9% in the last two years, limiting its capacity to fund expansion or return capital to shareholders. Eroding returns on capital suggest that recent investments are diluting shareholder value. These factors collectively paint a cautious outlook for the company’s future performance.
What did this article say?
Pool Corporation (POOL) is trading at a 33.8% discount to fair value and has received a Buy rating from analysts. The company’s recurring revenue stream and defensive margins support a view that the stock is undervalued relative to its intrinsic worth. Despite a 47% decline from its 52‑week high, the firm’s dividend policy is improving, signaling management confidence in future cash flows. The narrative frames POOL as a bargain opportunity for income‑focused investors. Market participants should monitor the company’s earnings guidance and dividend payout trends for confirmation of the upside thesis.
What did this article say?
Wells Fargo’s analyst Sam Reid has lowered Pool’s price target from $215 to $185 while keeping the stock on an equal‑weight recommendation. The downgrade reflects concerns over the company’s recent earnings miss and weaker-than‑expected revenue growth. The cut signals a modest negative outlook for Pool’s near‑term valuation, though the rating remains unchanged.
What did this article say?
DA Davidson’s analyst Garik Shmois has begun coverage of POOL, assigning a neutral rating and setting a $210 price target. The move signals a baseline view that the company’s fundamentals are stable but not compelling enough for a buy recommendation. The rating change does not alter existing guidance or earnings expectations, and the target reflects current valuation assumptions.
What did this article say?
The piece lists three consumer discretionary stocks that may encounter challenges, including Pool (POOL). It notes that while the company has a solid market cap and history, the broader sector’s sensitivity to macro uncertainty could weigh on its performance. The article does not provide specific financial metrics but signals caution for investors considering Pool in a volatile environment.
What did this article say?
Analyst Trey Grooms of Stephens & Co. has reaffirmed an Overweight stance on POOL, maintaining a $225 price target. The upgrade signals confidence in the company’s growth prospects and valuation relative to peers. The rating suggests that POOL’s fundamentals remain solid, with expectations of continued revenue expansion and margin improvement.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

9
BEARISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $4.25B combined position · 13 adding, 12 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell3,913,57510.76%$895.23M2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy4,032,46311.09%$866.58M2026-08-07
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell2,576,2197.08%$553.63M2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy1,736,4954.78%$373.17M2026-08-13
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy1,400,4603.85%$296.67M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell583,5401.60%$125.44M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy546,2231.50%$117.38M2026-08-13
Norges Bank▼ Sell412,4921.13%$88.64M2026-08-12
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell404,0131.11%$86.82M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell403,5501.11%$85.72M2026-08-12
Citadel Advisors LLC▼ Sell354,1430.97%$76.11M2026-09-02
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy334,0470.92%$71.79M2026-08-14
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell329,3190.91%$70.77M2026-08-14
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▲ Buy300,5760.83%$64.59M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell289,9680.80%$62.31M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▲ Buy306,9150.84%$62.10M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy274,4060.75%$58.97M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell251,2700.69%$54.00M2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell235,1940.65%$50.54M2026-08-14
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC▲ Buy197,0730.54%$42.35M2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy164,9800.45%$35.45M2026-08-13
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy162,3710.45%$34.89M2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell153,6260.42%$33.01M2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy118,5590.33%$25.48M2026-08-14
Loomis Sayles & Co L P▲ Buy102,6840.28%$22.07M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:4.26M sh bought ($911.27M)1.87M sh sold ($402.76M)net +2.39M sh (+$508.51M)
Congressional Trading Activity
3 disclosed trades · ~$48.5K est. traded value · 2 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Maria Elvira SalazarHouseFL27▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-05-112026-06-08
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-272026-07-21
Maria Elvira SalazarHouseFL27▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-03-192026-04-21