TOST|Analyst Targets
TOST|Company Info
TOST|Insider Trading
TOST|Fundamentals
TOST|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.23 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.26 | $0.37 | +44.3% |
| Q2'26 | $0.32 | $0.36 | +11.4% |
| Q1'26 | $0.16 | $0.29 | +83.0% |
| Q4'25 | $0.13 | $0.23 | +77.1% |
| Q4'24 | $0.16 | $0.18 | +11.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.0B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.0B | $2.0B | -1.6% |
| Q2'26 | $1.9B | $1.9B | -0.0% |
| Q1'26 | $1.7B | $1.6B | -1.9% |
| Q4'25 | $1.7B | $1.6B | -1.2% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.3B | - |
TOST|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TOST Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 20.43B
- P/E ratio
- 37.1
- Day range
- $34.60 – $34.60
- News sentiment
- 67/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $38.81 (+12.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 41 analysts
TOST's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What TOST's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 45.3% 41st pct
- Below its peak
- -47.1%
- vs 200-day average
- +21.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Toast, Inc. is currently running 45.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TOST's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 41st percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 49.5%.
TOST is trading -47.1% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -39.1%, and the deepest was -61.0% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +21.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 80th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year TOST closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 5 years of records, TOST finished the month higher 1 of 5 times, with a median return of -9.5% and an average of -3.8%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +8.2% on average, its weakest September at -7.7%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TOST has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 148 of 1,286 sessions (11.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.9% and -7.9%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, TOST moved an average of 6.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +4.8% and a largest of +11.2%.
All figures computed from 1,287 daily closes between 2021-09-22 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TOST's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TOST's sector?
Toast, Inc. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Software industry group, TOST ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.
- Sector rank
- #11 of 12
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 9
- Industry rank
- #13 of 15
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect TOST to earn?
Analysts expect Toast, Inc. to earn $1.40 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $1.79 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TOST?
Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Toast, Inc. to Overweight on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $42 (from $45). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Morgan Stanley: Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Toast, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Total Locations increased 21% to approximately 189,000.
New this quarter - 2
Gomez has been at Toast for five and half years; she led the company through its 2021 IPO and has guided Toast through a transformative period of significant growth and profitability.
New this quarter - 3
We’ve scaled this business 6x since we IPO’d in 2021, dramatically improved profitability as the business has scaled, and built out the team and product lines to continue to drive durable growth over the long term.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
TOST peers & ETF holders
Software - InfrastructureMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about TOST?
TOST rose 17.2% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 40 and 73 from Oct 5 to Oct 22, then dropped to 26 on Oct 26.
- Oct 15 +7.9%same day: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Toast, Inc. (TOST) is a Trending Stock
- Nov 2 +4.0%same day: Insights Into Toast (TOST) Q3: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
- Nov 4 +5.5%same day: Toast Inc (TOST) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Recurring Gross Profit Jumps 27% as Toast ...
Technical analysis
How strong is TOST's momentum right now?
On the daily chart TOST ranks at the 23rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling TOST?
104 of the 185 tracked managers added to TOST in their latest 13F and 75 trimmed. Together they own 65.6% of the company, worth $10.8B. BlackRock and Fidelity alone hold 13.9%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.26%$1.4B positionAdded 79.4% last quarter
- 2FMR LLC (Fidelity)5.68%$932.8M positionAdded 5.7% last quarter
- $744.0M positionTrimmed 12.6% last quarter
- $614.4M positionAdded 9.0% last quarter
- $609.4M positionTrimmed 0.7% last quarter
- 6State Street Corp2.86%$469.8M positionAdded 66.4% last quarter
- 7JPMorgan Chase & Co2.85%$475.0M positionAdded 0.4% last quarter
- $474.4M positionAdded 7.9% last quarter
- 9ValueAct Holdings, L.P.2.39%$393.2M positionAdded 9.6% last quarter
- 10Morgan Stanley1.93%$316.9M positionTrimmed 2.3% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading TOST?
1 member of Congress disclosed 1 TOST trade on Jul 8, 2026: 1 buy, about $8.0K in estimated value.
Discover more
How has TOST done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, TOST returned +23.4%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 4 did better, led by SNOW at +90.8%.
- 1SNOWSnowflake Inc.up 90.8%+67.5 pts
- 2CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.up 82.6%+59.2 pts
- 3PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.up 71.5%+48.1 pts
- 4FTNTFortinet, Inc.up 36.3%+13.0 pts
- 5TOSTThis stockup 23.4%
- 6CRMSalesforce, Inc.up 19.5%−3.9 pts
- 7PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.up 14.6%−8.8 pts
- 8NOWServiceNow, Inc.up 12.6%−10.8 pts
- 16ORCLOracle Corporationdown 38.2%−61.5 pts