DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

CDW·CDW Corporation

$152.42
-1.50 (-0.97%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$152.38-0.04 (-0.03%)
High
$154.12
Open
$153.01
Market Cap
18.59B
52W High
$171.55
Low
$149.16
P. Close
$152.42
P/E
17.20
52W Low
$97.12
Fwd P/E
12.76
DailyIQ Est.
$159.73
Inst. Ownership
53.2%
Short Interest
6.78%
Days to Cover
3.8
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
62
BULLISH
CDW’s announcement that it will acquire AI‑services firm Lovelytics is the most recent development, with the deal expected to close in the next fiscal quarter pending regulatory approval. The acquisition will expand CDW’s Data & Analytics Practice, giving it deeper capabilities in advanced analytics and machine‑learning services that enterprise customers are increasingly demanding. By adding Lovelytics’ expertise, CDW can help clients build stronger data foundations and deploy AI solutions more effectively, positioning the company to capture a larger share of the growing AI‑driven IT market. The phased integration plan should minimize operational disruption, allowing CDW to maintain its current service levels while scaling up its AI offerings. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely focus on the timing of regulatory clearance and the first signs of revenue synergies from the new practice. Watch for any updates on the closing date, as a delay could dampen short‑term sentiment. Additionally, keep an eye on CDW’s quarterly guidance for any mention of increased AI‑related revenue or margin impact, which would confirm the strategic value of the acquisition. Finally, monitor competitors’ responses, as other IT services firms may accelerate their own AI initiatives to keep pace with CDW’s expanded capabilities.
Earnings Summary
CDW Corporation, a leading provider of comprehensive IT solutions, serves a broad customer base across the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada, delivering hardware, software, and related services from discrete components to integrated cloud and on‑premise infrastructure solutions, positioning it as a key player in the technology sector’s information technology services industry. In the most recent two quarters, Q1 2026 and Q2 2026, CDW posted EPS of $2.28 and $2.91 respectively, both beating analyst estimates of $2.29 and $2.83, while revenue rose from $5.68 billion to $6.57 billion, a 15.5% year‑over‑year increase that outpaced the prior two quarters’ growth of 10.5% and 12.5%; this acceleration reflects a surge in AI‑readiness and modernization initiatives that lifted hardware revenue by 10% and spurred double‑digit growth in servers, storage, and networking. Historically, CDW has maintained a steady upward trajectory in revenue, with YoY growth consistently above 10% over the past four quarters, and has frequently beat EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, although margin compression has been a recurring theme, as evidenced by the drop in gross margin from 29.1% in Q1 to 27.3% in Q2. Recent news highlights a record $6.6 billion in Q2 net sales driven by AI infrastructure demand, yet also signals margin pressure and a planned CFO retirement in 2027, underscoring governance and cost‑control concerns that could influence future earnings quality. Investors should watch for guidance on Q3 revenue and margin expectations, updates on the AI infrastructure roadmap, and any progress on cost‑control measures, as these factors will determine whether CDW can sustain its earnings momentum and navigate the balance between growth and profitability in the coming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.82$2.13$2.45$2.76$3.08Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.93 - -
Q2'26$2.83$2.91+2.9%
Q1'26$2.29$2.28-0.3%
Q3'25$2.62$2.71+3.4%
Q2'25$2.49$2.60+4.4%
Q1'25$1.96$2.15+9.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.0B$5.4B$5.9B$6.3B$6.8BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$6.2B - -
Q2'26$6.3B$6.6B+4.9%
Q1'26$5.5B$5.7B+3.5%
Q3'25 - $5.7B -
Q2'25 - $6.0B -
Q1'25 - $5.2B -

Market Data

CDW Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$152.38$0.04 (0.0%)
Market cap
18.59B
P/E ratio
17.2
Day range
$149.16 – $154.12
News sentiment
62/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$155.89 (+2.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 18 analysts
52-week range+56.9% off low · -11.2% from high
$97.12$171.55
Price $152.38 DailyIQ Est. $159.73

Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CDW?

CHEAP

At today's price, CDW Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 8.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.31% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 15.1% a year, so the market is asking for 6.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CDW looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
8.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
15.1%
Growth gap
-6.5 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.31%
Beta
0.92

Behaviour On Record

What CDW's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
48.1% 93rd pct
Below its peak
-40.8%
vs 200-day average
+15.8%
Up days (1y)
50%

CDW Corporation is currently running 48.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CDW's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 93rd percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 23.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CDW is trading -40.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.1%, and the deepest was -42.5% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +15.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 79th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year CDW closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CDW finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.4% and an average of +0.2%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +2.9% on average, its weakest March at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CDW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 136 of 3,269 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.9% and -10.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CDW's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CDW's sector?

CDW Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CDW?

CallsPuts

For CDW Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 21 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.71), with at-the-money implied volatility around 47.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±11.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $131.00–$164.76.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.71
ATM implied volatility
47.7%
Total open interest
8,872
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±11.4% ($131.00–$164.76)

CDW Competitive Positioning

CDW Corporation (CDW) is tracked alongside these names in Information Technology Services on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.