DailyIQ
Last updated6 minutes ago

TRMB·Trimble Inc.

$59.47
-0.63 (-1.05%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$59.40-0.07 (-0.12%)
High
$60.03
Open
$59.21
Market Cap
13.97B
52W High
$84.57
Low
$58.01
P. Close
$59.47
P/E
32.96
52W Low
$47.92
Fwd P/E
14.37
DailyIQ Est.
$84.02
Inst. Ownership
43.1%
Short Interest
4.43%
Days to Cover
3.6
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
Trimble’s Q2 2026 earnings revealed a 11 % revenue rise to $972 million and a 14 % jump in annual recurring revenue to $2.51 billion, driven by organic growth in its AECO, Field Systems and new AI‑backed product Trimble Arc Agent; the company also launched a $1 billion share‑repurchase program and raised its full‑year 2026 revenue guidance to $3.90–$3.95 billion. The earnings beat, coupled with the goodwill impairment of $562 million that pushed the quarter into a net loss, signals a shift toward higher‑margin software and automation while still maintaining a robust recurring revenue base. Because the company’s guidance now exceeds prior expectations, the market may interpret the results as a confirmation of its “Connect & Scale” strategy, potentially supporting a short‑term rally in the next 1–10 trading days. Analysts have responded with a mix of optimism and caution: Barclays upgraded Trimble to Overweight and lifted its target to $80, while Bernstein cut its target to $73 despite keeping an Outperform rating, reflecting divergent views on valuation. The recent analyst consensus price target of $77.91—implying a 28 % upside—underscores that sentiment remains bullish, but the variance in target ranges ($61–$94) indicates uncertainty about the speed of upside realization. In addition, the company’s AI‑driven product launch and the potential for a strategic exit or partnership in the Transportation & Logistics segment could accelerate revenue diversification, but the $562 million impairment raises questions about asset quality and future profitability. Watch for the next earnings release to see whether Trimble can sustain the higher guidance and whether the share‑repurchase program will materially support the stock price. Finally, monitor any updates from institutional investors such as Sycamore Capital or changes in passive vehicle exposure, as these could influence short‑term demand for the shares.
Earnings Summary
Trimble Inc. is a global technology provider that delivers integrated software, hardware, and services to professionals in architecture, engineering, construction, and related fields, positioning itself within the scientific and technical instruments sector. The company’s offerings span design tools, field data collection, real‑time communication, and positioning services, enabling customers to streamline workflows and improve productivity. In the most recent quarters, Trimble’s earnings have shown a steady upward trajectory: Q4 2025 revenue rose to $969.8 million from $901.2 million in Q3 2025, while EPS climbed from $0.81 to $1.00, a 23 % increase that beat the $0.72143 estimate. The following quarter, Q1 2026, saw revenue of $939.9 million, slightly down from the prior quarter but still above the $923.7 million estimate, and EPS of $0.79 versus the $0.7319 forecast, again a beat. Historically, Trimble has maintained a consistent pattern of EPS growth outpacing revenue growth, with the company beating analyst estimates in three of the last four quarters and sustaining double‑digit revenue expansion year over year. The latest earnings release highlighted a 11 % top‑line growth to $972 million and a 14 % jump in ARR, driven by organic expansion in its AECO and Field Systems units, and announced a $1 billion share‑repurchase program alongside a higher full‑year 2026 revenue outlook of $3.90–$3.95 billion, underscoring confidence in cash‑flow generation. Investors should watch for the company’s next earnings release to see whether guidance aligns with the upgraded outlook, monitor any updates on its product launch schedule, and keep an eye on broader market sentiment toward technology and industrials, as shifts there could influence how quickly the new target is absorbed.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.57$0.69$0.81$0.93$1.06Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.86 - -
Q2'26$0.87$0.86-1.1%
Q1'26$0.73$0.79+7.9%
Q4'25$0.72$1.00+38.6%
Q3'25$0.72$0.81+13.0%
Q2'25$0.63$0.71+13.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$858M$896M$933M$971M$1.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$991M - -
Q2'26$971M$972M+0.1%
Q1'26$924M$940M+1.8%
Q4'25$901M$970M+7.6%
Q3'25 - $901M -
Q2'25 - $876M -

Market Data

TRMB Stock Snapshot

BUY77/100
$59.40$0.07 (0.1%)
Market cap
13.97B
P/E ratio
33.0
Day range
$58.01 – $60.03
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$80.18 (+35.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 23 analysts
52-week range+24.0% off low · -29.8% from high
$47.92$84.57
Price $59.40 DailyIQ Est. $84.02

The signal on TRMB is bullish: price action is confirming the underlying trend, not fighting it. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into TRMB?

RICH

At today's price, Trimble Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 31.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.84% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.8% a year, so the market is asking for 22.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TRMB looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
31.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
8.8%
Growth gap
+22.2 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
9.84%
Beta
1.12

Behaviour On Record

What TRMB's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
36.0% 74th pct
Below its peak
-37.3%
vs 200-day average
-7.6%
Up days (1y)
51%

Trimble Inc. is currently running 36.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TRMB's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 27.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TRMB is trading -37.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.4%, and the deepest was -53.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -7.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year TRMB closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TRMB finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.5% and an average of -1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest March at -2.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TRMB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 194 of 3,268 sessions (5.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.0% and -14.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TRMB moved an average of 3.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.2% and a largest of -4.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TRMB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TRMB's sector?

Trimble Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TRMB?

CallsPuts

For Trimble Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 13 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.65), with at-the-money implied volatility around 37.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±8.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $54.92–$65.46.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.65
ATM implied volatility
37.5%
Total open interest
4,398
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±8.8% ($54.92–$65.46)

TRMB Competitive Positioning

Trimble Inc. (TRMB) is tracked alongside these names in Scientific & Technical Instruments on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.