INTU·Intuit Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

33.7% 72nd pct

Below its peak

-62.4%

vs 200-day average

-20.0%

Up days (1y)

47%

Intuit Inc. is currently running 33.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against INTU's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 24.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

INTU is trading -62.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.8%, and the deepest was -44.0% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -20.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 8th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year INTU closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, INTU finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of +2.4%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +5.5% on average, its weakest September at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: INTU has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 115 of 3,268 sessions (3.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.6% and -10.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against INTU's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.