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TRGP·Targa Resources Corp.

$292.11
+7.04 (+2.47%)
After Hours
High
$296.63
Open
$285.55
Market Cap
61.21B
52W High
$307.94
Low
$282.67
P. Close
$292.11
P/E
26.99
52W Low
$144.14
Fwd P/E
23.60
DailyIQ Est.
$327.63
Inst. Ownership
4.3%
Short Interest
2.56%
Days to Cover
3.6
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
65
BULLISH
TD Cowen’s overnight upgrade of Targa Resources to “Buy” and the lift of its price target to $350 from $275 signals a sharp shift in analyst sentiment, driven by a reassessment of the company’s oil‑and‑gas asset portfolio and expected production growth. The upgrade suggests that the firm’s upstream operations are now viewed as more attractive, which could support a rally in the next 1–10 trading days as investors reprice the upside potential. The new target also implies that Targa’s valuation multiples are now considered justified, potentially easing pressure on the stock’s price‑to‑earnings ratio. Traders should watch how the market reacts to the upgrade, particularly any immediate volume spikes or price movement that confirm the sentiment shift. In the coming days, earnings guidance will be a key watch item; confirmation of higher production or cost reductions would reinforce the upgrade’s rationale. Additionally, any updates on drilling activity or reserve additions could further validate the upgraded outlook. Market participants should also monitor broader oil‑price trends, as Targa’s upside is sensitive to commodity price swings. Finally, keep an eye on any regulatory or environmental news that could impact the company’s operating environment, as such developments could offset the positive analyst sentiment.
Earnings Summary
Targa Resources, Inc. is a North American midstream company that provides gathering, processing, and transportation services for natural gas, natural gas liquids, and crude oil, operating primarily in the Gulf Coast region and serving a broad customer base from multi‑state retailers to energy producers. The company’s operations are split between Gathering and Processing and Logistics and Transportation, positioning it within the Oil & Gas Midstream sector. In the most recent quarters, Targa’s earnings have shown a mixed trajectory: Q4 2025 revenue fell to $4.055 billion from $4.461 billion in Q1 2025, while EPS rose from $1.888 to $2.412, indicating stronger profitability despite lower top line. The company beat consensus EPS in Q2 2026 with $3.54 versus an estimate of $2.772, and Q3 2026 EPS remains unreported, but revenue for Q2 2026 reached $4.440 billion, up from $4.260 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting a rebound in midstream fees. Historically, Targa has delivered YoY revenue growth in most quarters, with EPS growth lagging in some periods; for example, Q4 2024 EPS of $1.817 was slightly below the estimate of $1.829, yet revenue hit $4.405 billion. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the last four quarters, though revenue has occasionally missed or trended lower, suggesting a pattern of margin expansion amid commodity price volatility. Recent news highlights a Scotiabank upgrade to Outperform with a $314 price target, reflecting confidence in Targa’s exploration upside and potential for higher cash flows, and a 20‑year integrated midstream agreement with ExxonMobil that could provide long‑term revenue stability. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for guidance on capital expenditures and debt repayment, as well as the pace of regulatory approvals for the new Delaware processing plants and the Bull Run II pipeline, to assess whether the firm can sustain its growth trajectory without overbuilding.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.74$2.25$2.76$3.27$3.77Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.82 - -
Q2'26$2.77$3.54+27.7%
Q1'26$2.56$2.21-13.8%
Q4'25$2.34$2.51+7.3%
Q3'25$2.18$2.41+10.4%
Q2'25$1.98$2.02+2.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.9B$4.2B$4.5B$4.8B$5.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.0B - -
Q2'26$4.8B$4.4B-8.3%
Q1'26$4.9B$4.1B-16.5%
Q4'25$4.9B$4.1B-16.6%
Q3'25 - $4.2B -
Q2'25 - $4.3B -

Market Data

TRGP Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$292.19+$0.08 (0.0%)
Market cap
61.21B
P/E ratio
27.0
Day range
$282.67 – $296.63
News sentiment
65/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$318.81 (+9.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 33 analysts
52-week range+102.7% off low · -5.1% from high
$144.14$307.94
Price $292.19 DailyIQ Est. $327.63

Targa Resources Corp. is consolidating: price is near its 52-week high without a decisive push either way. In Energy, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into TRGP?

RICH

At today's price, Targa Resources Corp. needs to grow free cash flow about 54.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.09% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 17.5% a year, so the market is asking for 36.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TRGP looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
54.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
17.5%
Growth gap
+36.8 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.09%
Beta
0.79

Behaviour On Record

What TRGP's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.0% 34th pct
Below its peak
-5.8%
vs 200-day average
+17.9%
Up days (1y)
57%

Targa Resources Corp. is currently running 28.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TRGP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 32.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TRGP is trading -5.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.9%, and the deepest was -87.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +17.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 67th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year TRGP closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TRGP finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +13.6% on average, its weakest March at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TRGP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 292 of 3,267 sessions (8.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.2% and -13.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TRGP moved an average of 3.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.7% and a largest of -4.2%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TRGP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TRGP's sector?

Targa Resources Corp. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TRGP?

CallsPuts

For Targa Resources Corp.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.23), with at-the-money implied volatility around 78.5%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.23
ATM implied volatility
78.5%
Total open interest
4,490

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TRGP?

TD Cowen most recently upgraded Targa Resources Corp. to Buy on Sep 18, 2026 with a price target of $350 (from $275). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
TD CowenBuy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 18, 2026TD CowenUpgradeHold → Buy$275 → $350
Sep 16, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$343 → $359
Sep 11, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$300 → $320
Sep 10, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$257 → $314
Sep 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$282 → $324
Aug 27, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$312 → $338
Aug 18, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$324 → $345
Aug 18, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$333 → $343
Aug 11, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$310 → $312
Aug 7, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$270 → $275
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$282 → $284
Aug 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$270 → $282

TRGP Competitive Positioning

Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.