DailyIQ
Last updated 1 minute ago

TPL·Texas Pacific Land Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$413.60
Open
$395.01
Market Cap
28.00B
52W High
$547.20
Low
$391.63
P. Close
$405.99
P/E
55.59
52W Low
$269.23
Fwd P/E
5.55
Mean Target
$445.00
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Argus Research has raised its price target for TPL to $440.00, indicating a more optimistic analyst outlook. This upward revision suggests that analysts are factoring in stronger growth prospects or improved operational efficiency for the company. Investors should monitor management commentary for further details that underpin this target adjustment.
Earnings Summary
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is an Energy sector company operating in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, primarily focused on its extensive land holdings and water resources within the Permian Basin. Its business segments include Land and Resource Management, generating revenue from easements, land sales, and royalties, alongside Water Services and Operations providing essential water solutions for oil and gas operators. In its recent earnings history, TPL has demonstrated a pattern of meeting or exceeding analyst expectations. For Q1 2026, the company reported an actual EPS of 2.07, surpassing the estimate of 2.0402, with revenue of $236.82 million also exceeding the estimate of $242 million (note: revenue estimate appears higher than actual, suggesting a potential discrepancy or a very narrow miss if the estimate was indeed higher). In Q4 2025, TPL reported an actual EPS of 1.79 against an estimate of 3.631, indicating a miss, while revenue of $211.58 million was slightly below the estimate of $216.14 million. The company has shown a generally positive year-over-year growth trajectory, with notable beats in Q1 2026 EPS and revenue. Recent news indicates significant institutional interest, with PNC Financial Services Group substantially increasing its stake. TPL reported record Q1 2026 earnings driven by Permian operations and water services, with its AI data center initiative, Bolt, identified as a growth catalyst, leading to an analyst upgrade. The company is also strategically pivoting towards water and desalination operations, a move closely watched by investors, with strong analyst sentiment supporting this diversification. Investors will be watching the execution of TPL's water strategy and its impact on core operations, as well as continued institutional engagement.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.39$2.02$2.66$3.29$3.92Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.28 - -
Q1'26$2.04$2.07+1.5%
Q4'25$3.63$1.79-50.7%
Q3'25$1.92$1.76-8.7%
Q2'25 - $1.68 -

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-39M$45M$129M$212M$296MQ2'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$257M - -
Q1'26$242M$237M-2.1%
Q4'25$216M$212M-2.1%
Q3'25 - - -
Q2'25 - $0 -

Market Data

TPL Stock Snapshot

TPL is currently trading at $404.99, giving Texas Pacific Land Corporation a market cap of 28.00B and a P/E ratio of 55.6. Today's range spans $391.63–$413.60, with shares opening at $395.01 and moving down $1.00 (0.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year TPL has traded between $269.23 and $547.20 - the current price is +50.4% off the 52-week low and -26.0% from the high. 9 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $445.00 (range $251.00–$639.00), implying upside of +9.9%.

A HOLD read (36/100) for TPL at $404.99 (in the middle of its 52-week range) with bullish sentiment (70/100) tells the story of a large-cap Energy stock between identifiable trends. The current P/E ratio stands at 55.6. The 28.00B market cap keeps institutional interest alive; the 52-week range of $269.23–$547.20 keeps the trade interesting. HOLD signals here aren't an endpoint - they're a setup phase waiting for the right trigger.

Portfolio construction in Energy often uses large-cap names like TPL as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 36/100 (HOLD) at $404.99 (in the middle of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (70/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $269.23–$547.20 annual range rather than a directional bet.