DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

EQT·EQT Corporation

$49.99
-0.36 (-0.71%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$50.00+0.01 (+0.02%)
High
$50.52
Open
$50.30
Market Cap
31.53B
52W High
$68.76
Low
$49.91
P. Close
$49.99
P/E
11.63
52W Low
$47.93
Fwd P/E
12.96
DailyIQ Est.
$70.43
Inst. Ownership
50.0%
Short Interest
3.23%
Days to Cover
3.0
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
Stephens & Co. has upgraded EQT to an Overweight rating and kept its $71 price target, citing the company’s recent earnings momentum and stronger operating margins. The analyst’s confidence is driven by a robust order pipeline that suggests continued revenue growth in the industrial equipment sector. This upgrade signals that the market now expects EQT to outperform peers over the next 1–10 trading days, as the firm’s margin expansion should translate into higher profitability. The rating change also reflects the belief that EQT’s capital allocation strategy will support sustainable growth, potentially through selective investments or share buybacks. Traders should watch for the company’s upcoming quarterly guidance, which will confirm whether the order pipeline materializes into actual sales. Additionally, any updates on capital allocation plans—such as debt repayment or new project funding—could influence short‑term valuation. Monitoring these disclosures will help determine if the Overweight stance remains justified.
Earnings Summary
EQT Corporation operates as a natural gas producer and midstream service provider in the Appalachian Basin, delivering gas to marketers, utilities, and industrial users while managing pipeline capacity and hedging risk; the company’s long history in the energy sector underpins its integrated operations. In the most recent four quarters, EQT’s earnings per share rose from $0.69 in Q4 2024 to $1.18 in Q1 2025, then modestly to $0.45 in Q2 2025 before climbing to $0.52 in Q3 2025, with a further increase to $0.90 in Q4 2025 and $2.33 in Q1 2026, consistently beating analyst estimates in each period; revenue grew from $1.62 bn in Q4 2024 to $1.74 bn in Q1 2025, surged to $2.56 bn in Q2 2025, dipped to $1.96 bn in Q3 2025, and rose again to $2.09 bn in Q4 2025, then to $3.14 bn in Q1 2026, reflecting a pattern of revenue acceleration despite quarterly volatility. Historically, EQT has maintained double‑digit YoY revenue growth over the past several years, with EPS consistently outperforming estimates, indicating robust profitability even when revenue swings; the company’s margin expansion has been a key driver of earnings strength. Recent news highlights a 10‑year LNG purchase agreement with UAB Ignitis, tying pricing to Henry Hub and TTF benchmarks and securing a steady export stream of roughly 1 TWh per year, alongside a completed share‑repurchase program that reduces dilution and signals management confidence; these developments reinforce the company’s long‑term cash flow stability and shareholder return strategy. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess how the LNG contract’s benchmark‑linked pricing translates into operating margins, monitor gas‑price movements that directly impact profitability, and track any updates on midstream acquisitions or regulatory changes that could affect the integrated platform’s sustainability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.07$0.71$1.35$1.99$2.62Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.45 - -
Q2'26$0.42$0.39-6.7%
Q1'26$2.16$2.33+7.9%
Q4'25$0.75$0.90+20.0%
Q3'25$0.36$0.52+42.8%
Q2'25$0.41$0.45+10.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.6B$2.1B$2.5B$3.0B$3.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.0B - -
Q2'26$1.8B$1.8B-0.2%
Q1'26$3.2B$3.1B-3.2%
Q4'25$2.1B$2.1B-2.1%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $2.6B -

Market Data

EQT Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$50.00+$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
31.53B
P/E ratio
11.6
Day range
$49.91 – $50.52
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$67.58 (+35.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+4.3% off low · -27.3% from high
$47.93$68.76
Price $50.00 DailyIQ Est. $70.43

The signals on EQT lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into EQT?

CHEAP

At today's price, EQT Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -5.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.88% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.6% a year, so the market is asking for 10.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EQT looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-5.1%
Historical FCF CAGR
5.6%
Growth gap
-10.7 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.88%
Beta
0.76

Behaviour On Record

What EQT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
25.5% 19th pct
Below its peak
-26.5%
vs 200-day average
-10.7%
Up days (1y)
47%

EQT Corporation is currently running 25.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EQT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 19th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 37.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EQT is trading -26.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.6%, and the deepest was -61.2% in 2019. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -10.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 27th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year EQT closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, EQT finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -6.2% and an average of -3.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +11.5% on average, its weakest September at -3.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EQT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 239 of 3,268 sessions (7.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.5% and -15.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, EQT moved an average of 4.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.8% and a largest of +7.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EQT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of EQT's sector?

EQT Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for EQT?

CallsPuts

For EQT Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 4.91), with at-the-money implied volatility around 32.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $48.09–$52.21.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
4.91
ATM implied volatility
32.6%
Total open interest
18,487
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.1% ($48.09–$52.21)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EQT?

Stephens & Co. most recently reiterated its rating on EQT Corporation to Overweight on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $71. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Stephens & Co.Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 17, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$71
Sep 14, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$73 → $77
Aug 19, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$68 → $67
Aug 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$70 → $68
Jul 28, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$70 → $67
Jul 22, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$71 → $72
Jul 22, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$69 → $70
Jul 15, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$72 → $71
Jul 8, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$74 → $73
Jul 2, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$77 → $75
Jun 30, 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatedBuy$79
Jun 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$74 → $68

EQT Competitive Positioning

EQT Corporation (EQT) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas E&P on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.