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EQT·EQT Corporation

$55.17
-0.44 (-0.79%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$55.17+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$55.65
Open
$55.46
Market Cap
35.11B
52W High
$68.76
Low
$54.59
P. Close
$55.17
P/E
12.95
52W Low
$47.93
Fwd P/E
14.03
DailyIQ Est.
$70.29
Inst. Ownership
49.6%
Short Interest
3.01%
Days to Cover
3.4
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
The most recent development is EQT’s completion of the Coller Capital merger, which expands its private‑markets platform and is expected to lift fee‑based revenue. This integration should broaden revenue streams and deepen client relationships, potentially improving earnings quality over the next few weeks. Investors will be watching the first post‑merger earnings report for evidence of successful platform consolidation and any incremental fee growth. Earlier this week, EQT announced a modest share‑repurchase of 680,980 shares, a signal of confidence in its balance sheet that may support earnings per share but is unlikely to materially shift valuation. In Q2, the company posted a 13% YoY earnings decline and a 29% revenue drop, driven by lower natural‑gas‑equivalent prices despite higher sales volume; however, the acquisition of Blackline Midstream added two midstream assets to its integrated platform, positioning it for future fee income. The Q4 profit beat, driven by higher gas prices and robust data‑center and LNG export demand, underscores the company’s ability to convert commodity price gains into cash flow, but long‑term risks from decarbonization and regulatory tightening remain. Morgan Stanley’s price‑target cut to $67, while maintaining an Overweight rating, reflects a modest recalibration of near‑term expectations, suggesting traders should monitor upcoming guidance on capital expenditures and regulatory developments. Finally, the U.S. natural‑gas surplus and Europe’s storage deficit create a window for EQT to capture higher LNG export margins, so monitoring U.S. production data and European storage levels will be key to assessing upside potential in the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
EQT Corporation is a natural gas producer and pipeline operator focused on the Appalachian Basin, offering extraction, collection, transportation, marketing and hedging services to utilities, industrial users and marketers, positioning it within the broader oil & gas E&P sector. In the most recent four quarters, EPS grew from $0.69 in Q4 2024 to $1.18 in Q1 2025, then modestly declined to $0.45 in Q2 2025 before rising again to $0.52 in Q3 2025, with a sharp jump to $0.90 in Q4 2025 and $2.33 in Q1 2026; revenue followed a similar pattern, rising from $1.62 billion in Q4 2024 to $1.74 billion in Q1 2025, peaking at $2.56 billion in Q2 2025, then falling to $1.96 billion in Q3 2025, and rebounding to $2.09 billion in Q4 2025 and $3.14 billion in Q1 2026. The company consistently beat earnings estimates in all four quarters of 2025, with EPS exceeding forecasts by 30‑50 %, while revenue growth remained positive despite the Q2 2025 dip. Historically, EQT has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 10‑15 % in recent years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in most periods, indicating improving operating leverage; notable is the 13 % YoY earnings decline in Q2 2025, offset by a 29 % revenue drop, yet the company still beat estimates, underscoring resilience to price swings. Recent news highlights the completion of the Coller Capital merger, expected to lift fee‑based revenue and broaden the private‑markets platform, and the acquisition of Blackline Midstream, adding two midstream assets that could stabilize fee income; these developments may influence the next earnings cycle. Investors should watch for the first post‑merger earnings report to gauge integration effectiveness, monitor any updates on regulatory developments affecting LNG infrastructure and data‑center demand, and track U.S. production data and European storage levels, as these factors will shape the company’s ability to convert commodity price gains into cash flow in the coming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.07$0.71$1.35$1.99$2.62Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.49 - -
Q2'26$0.42$0.39-6.7%
Q1'26$2.16$2.33+7.9%
Q4'25$0.75$0.90+20.0%
Q3'25$0.36$0.52+42.8%
Q2'25$0.41$0.45+10.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.6B$2.1B$2.5B$3.0B$3.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.0B - -
Q2'26$1.8B$1.8B-0.2%
Q1'26$3.2B$3.1B-3.2%
Q4'25$2.1B$2.1B-2.1%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $2.6B -

Market Data

EQT Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$55.17$0.82 (1.5%)
Market cap
35.11B
P/E ratio
12.9
Day range
$54.59 – $55.65
News sentiment
61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$67.44 (+22.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+15.1% off low · -19.8% from high
$47.93$68.76
Price $55.17 DailyIQ Est. $70.29

EQT Corporation screens well technically, with price sitting in the lower half of its 52-week range. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into EQT?

CHEAP

At today's price, EQT Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -3.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.84% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.6% a year, so the market is asking for 8.9 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EQT looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-3.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
5.6%
Growth gap
-8.9 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.84%
Beta
0.76

Behaviour On Record

What EQT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
21.2% 9th pct
Below its peak
-18.2%
vs 200-day average
-1.1%
Up days (1y)
48%

EQT Corporation is currently running 21.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EQT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 9th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 37.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EQT is trading -18.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.6%, and the deepest was -61.2% in 2019. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -1.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 49th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year EQT closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, EQT finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.2% and an average of -1.9%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +11.5% on average, its weakest June at -2.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EQT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 240 of 3,269 sessions (7.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.5% and -15.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, EQT moved an average of 4.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.8% and a largest of +7.7%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EQT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of EQT's sector?

EQT Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
100

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for EQT?

CallsPuts

For EQT Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-11, 6 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.28), with at-the-money implied volatility around 26.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $53.14–$57.20.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-11)
1.28
ATM implied volatility
26.7%
Total open interest
3,391
Expected move by 2026-09-11
±3.7% ($53.14–$57.20)

EQT Competitive Positioning

EQT Corporation (EQT) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas E&P on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.