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TTWO·Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

$205.48
-5.14 (-2.44%)
After Hours
High
$211.86
Open
$210.18
Market Cap
39.27B
52W High
$267.50
Low
$205.19
P. Close
$205.48
P/E
-
52W Low
$187.63
Fwd P/E
20.46
DailyIQ Est.
$309.85
Inst. Ownership
49.3%
Short Interest
4.47%
Days to Cover
3.0
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Take‑Two Interactive’s virtual annual meeting confirmed the launch window for *Grand Action Trek VI*, keeping the game on its previously announced schedule. The reaffirmation removes the uncertainty that had lingered after the earlier delay, giving the market a clear timeline for the next major revenue driver. The company also outlined a broad global strategy to deepen its presence in key markets, but it did not disclose any new revenue or earnings targets, so the guidance remains unchanged. Governance items such as director elections and an auditor appointment were also covered, but no voting outcomes were released, leaving the board composition effectively unchanged. Because the launch date is unchanged, the next 1–10 trading days will likely see the market digest the confirmed schedule and assess how the game’s release will impact quarterly earnings. Watch for the company’s next earnings report, where it will need to demonstrate that the global strategy translates into higher sales volumes or improved margins. Also monitor any updates on the game’s marketing spend and distribution partnerships, as these could influence the speed of revenue realization. Finally, keep an eye on broader market sentiment toward the gaming sector, as any shift could affect Take‑Two’s valuation independent of its own fundamentals.
Earnings Summary
Take‑Two Interactive Software is a global developer and publisher of interactive entertainment, focusing on action‑adventure and sports titles such as Grand Theft Auto and NBA 2K, and distributing across consoles, PCs, and mobile platforms. The company operates within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia sector of Communication Services, competing with other large game publishers for consumer attention and platform share. In the most recent quarters, Take‑Two’s revenue grew from $1.48 billion in Q2 2025 to $1.96 billion in Q3 2025, a 32% YoY jump, while EPS swung from a modest $‑0.07 in Q2 2025 to a $‑0.73 loss in Q3 2025, indicating a widening margin squeeze; the company beat estimates in Q4 2024 (EPS $‑0.71 vs $‑0.90 estimate) but missed in Q1 2025 (EPS $‑21.08 vs $‑0.05 estimate) and Q3 2025 (EPS $‑0.73 vs $‑0.62 estimate). Historically, Take‑Two has shown a mixed earnings trajectory: revenue has trended upward year over year, with a 15% increase in Q3 2026 to $1.76 billion, yet EPS has fluctuated from losses to a positive $1.23 in Q3 2026, reflecting improved profitability after the release of high‑profile titles. Recent news highlights the launch of NBA 2K27 and the anticipated release of GTA VI, both of which could offset revenue volatility; however, supply‑chain constraints and IP leak concerns have introduced uncertainty around launch timing and sales recognition. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to see whether revenue growth continues to outpace EPS volatility, monitor console supply updates that could delay GTA VI sales, and assess the performance of NBA 2K27 in the first quarter, as these factors will shape near‑term earnings dynamics and valuation sentiment.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.02$-0.39$0.25$0.89$1.52Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$0.95 - -
Q1'27$0.34$0.36+7.1%
Q4'26$0.56$0.80+43.7%
Q3'26$0.56$1.23+120.3%
Q3'25$-0.62$-0.73-17.1%
Q2'25$-0.72$-0.07+90.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.3B$1.5B$1.7B$1.9B$2.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$1.6B - -
Q1'27$1.4B$1.4B-3.8%
Q4'26$1.6B$1.6B-1.4%
Q3'26$1.6B$1.8B+12.5%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $1.4B -

Market Data

TTWO Stock Snapshot

SELL14/100
$206.00+$0.52 (0.3%)
Market cap
39.27B
Day range
$205.19 – $211.86
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$286.44 (+39.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 41 analysts
52-week range+9.8% off low · -23.0% from high
$187.63$267.50
Price $206.00 DailyIQ Est. $309.85

The signals on TTWO lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into TTWO?

RICH

At today's price, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 44.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.57% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.9% a year, so the market is asking for 37.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TTWO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
44.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
6.9%
Growth gap
+37.8 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.57%
Beta
0.76

Behaviour On Record

What TTWO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
34.2% 67th pct
Below its peak
-19.2%
vs 200-day average
-6.9%
Up days (1y)
47%

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is currently running 34.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TTWO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 67th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TTWO is trading -19.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.9%, and the deepest was -50.2% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -6.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year TTWO closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TTWO finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.4% and an average of -0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +8.2% on average, its weakest February at -3.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TTWO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 110 of 3,267 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.1% and -13.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TTWO moved an average of 7.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -8.8% and a largest of -9.8%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TTWO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TTWO's sector?

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 3rd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#3 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TTWO?

CallsPuts

For Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.37), with at-the-money implied volatility around 65.6%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
2.37
ATM implied volatility
65.6%
Total open interest
58,010

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TTWO?

Roth Capital most recently reiterated its rating on Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. to Buy on Aug 10, 2026 with a price target of $300 (from $295). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Roth CapitalBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 10, 2026Roth CapitalMaintainedBuy$295 → $300
Aug 10, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$265 → $280
Aug 10, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$289 → $300
Aug 10, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$300
Aug 10, 2026WedbushReiteratedOutperform$300
Aug 10, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$265 → $270
Aug 10, 2026BTIGMaintainedBuy$293 → $313
Jul 27, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$293
Jul 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$287 → $289
Jul 2, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$293
Jun 25, 2026BTIGMaintainedBuy$290 → $293
Jun 25, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$280 → $285

TTWO Competitive Positioning

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is tracked alongside these names in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.