DailyIQ
AAAlcoa Corporation

Earnings Release

Alcoa Corporation's latest earnings press release, filed Jul 16, 2026, scored line by line for tone, guidance and what changed since the prior release.

Guidance lowered63 lines scoredFiled Jul 16, 2026SEC 8-K · Exhibit 99
Release Tone
56
BALANCED
GuidanceGuidance loweredWhat this release does to the company's outlook
Tone change▲ 1.5pointsvs the prior release (Apr 16, 2026)
Hedging language0.82per 100 words▲ 0.07 vs prior
New this quarter38of 63 linesWording that was not in the prior release

The lines that matter most

Ranked by how material, how strongly worded and how new each sentence is.

  1. 1

    The Company has decreased its 2026 projection for alumina production to range between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons, a reduction of between 0.2 and 0.3 million metric tons from the prior projection.

    Guidance loweredNew this quarterNegative tone
  2. 2

    The Company has also decreased its 2026 projection for alumina shipments to range between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons, a reduction of between 0.3 and 0.4 million metric tons from the prior projection.

    Guidance loweredNew this quarterNegative tone
  3. 3

    Revenue increased to a quarterly record of $4 billion, a 24 percent increase sequentially

    New this quarter
  4. 4

    In the Aluminum segment, production increased 5 percent sequentially to 636,000 metric tons primarily due the completion of the San Ciprián, Spain smelter restart on April 7, 2026, continued progress on the Alumar, Brazil smelter restart, and completion of capacity restarts at the Lista, Norway and Portland, Australia smelters.

    New this quarter
  5. 5

    Production: Alumina production decreased 6 percent sequentially to 2.2 million metric tons primarily related to lower production at the Pinjarra, Australia refinery as instability that began in late March was further exacerbated by gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.

    Negative tone
  6. 6

    Shipments: In the Alumina segment, third-party shipments of alumina were flat sequentially at 1.6 million metric tons, as shipments in Australia delayed from March 2026 were completed in the second quarter 2026, partially offset by decreased trading activity and lower production at the Pinjarra refinery.

    New this quarterNegative tone
  7. 7

    Notable special items include a mark-to-market loss on the Ma’aden shares of $123 million and mark-to-market losses on energy contracts of $45 million.

    Negative tone
  8. 8

    PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--July 16, 2026--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) (Alcoa or the Company) today reported results for the second quarter 2026 that included record quarterly revenue, strong operational performance, and progress on multiple smelter capacity restarts, in addition to the announced acquisition of South32 Limited’s (South32) interests in its bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets.

    New this quarter

Release by release

Tone and guidance for the last 2 earnings releases.

  1. Jul 16, 2026Guidance lowered55.5+1.5
  2. Apr 16, 2026Guidance reaffirmed54.0

Bar length: tone on a 49–69 scale.

The release, annotated

1Highlight rankPositive toneNeutralNegative toneDimmed text: low materiality
8PITTSBURGH--(BUSINESS WIRE)--July 16, 2026--Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA; ASX: AAI) (Alcoa or the Company) today reported results for the second quarter 2026 that included record quarterly revenue, strong operational performance, and progress on multiple smelter capacity restarts, in addition to the announced acquisition of South32 Limited’s (South32) interests in its bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets.
Financial Results and Highlights
3Revenue increased to a quarterly record of $4 billion, a 24 percent increase sequentially
Recorded net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation of $407 million, or $1.53 per share
Adjusted net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation increased 51 percent sequentially to $562 million, or $2.12 per share
Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items increased 51 percent sequentially to $901 million
Generated $608 million in cash from operations; free cash flow was $422 million
Finished the second quarter 2026 with a cash balance of $1.4 billion, including the redemption of the remaining $219 million of outstanding 6.125% Senior Notes due 2028 (2028 Notes)
Set year-to-date production records at four aluminum smelters and at one alumina refinery
Completed negotiations for new collective bargaining agreements in Australia, the U.S., and Canada
Executed on strategic initiatives, including:
Entered into definitive agreement to acquire South32’s interests in its bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets (referred to as AliGroup)
Reached final investment decision for gallium production plant in Australia
Announced $65 million capital investment at the Mosjøen smelter in Norway
“During the second quarter, in addition to delivering strong financial results that captured favorable aluminum prices, our team executed on strategic initiatives, most notably the announced agreement with South32,” said Alcoa President and CEO William F. Oplinger.
“We continue to demonstrate operational excellence and positive momentum in our disciplined approach to maximize value creation.”
Second Quarter 2026 Results
5Production: Alumina production decreased 6 percent sequentially to 2.2 million metric tons primarily related to lower production at the Pinjarra, Australia refinery as instability that began in late March was further exacerbated by gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.
4In the Aluminum segment, production increased 5 percent sequentially to 636,000 metric tons primarily due the completion of the San Ciprián, Spain smelter restart on April 7, 2026, continued progress on the Alumar, Brazil smelter restart, and completion of capacity restarts at the Lista, Norway and Portland, Australia smelters.
6Shipments: In the Alumina segment, third-party shipments of alumina were flat sequentially at 1.6 million metric tons, as shipments in Australia delayed from March 2026 were completed in the second quarter 2026, partially offset by decreased trading activity and lower production at the Pinjarra refinery.
In Aluminum, total shipments increased 18 percent sequentially primarily due to shipments of inventory repositioned within North America in the first quarter 2026 and increased production related to capacity restarts.
Revenue: The Company’s total third-party revenue of $4.0 billion increased 24 percent sequentially.
In the Alumina segment, third-party revenue decreased 3 percent on lower volumes and price from bauxite offtake and supply agreements, partially offset by favorable currency impacts.
In the Aluminum segment, third-party revenue increased 31 percent on higher shipments, including higher value add product sales, and an increase in average realized third-party price, partially offset by impacts from certain energy contracts linked to metal pricing and lower third-party energy sales.
Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $407 million, or $1.53 per share.
Sequentially, the results reflect unfavorable mark-to-market changes on the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) shares and energy contracts; unfavorable currency impacts, primarily due to the non-recurrence of gains recognized in Other income in the first quarter 2026; unfavorable energy impacts; and higher production costs in the Alumina segment; partially offset by higher aluminum prices and shipments.
Adjusted net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $562 million, or $2.12 per share, excluding the impact from net special items of $155 million.
7Notable special items include a mark-to-market loss on the Ma’aden shares of $123 million and mark-to-market losses on energy contracts of $45 million.
Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items was $901 million, a sequential increase of $306 million primarily due to higher aluminum prices and shipments, partially offset by higher production costs in the Alumina segment primarily at the Pinjarra refinery; increased tariff costs on imported aluminum; higher energy prices, primarily fuel oil and diesel increases associated with the Middle East conflict; and lower third-party energy sales.
Cash: Alcoa ended the quarter with a cash balance of $1.4 billion.
Cash provided from operations was $608 million.
Cash used for financing activities was $353 million, primarily related to the $219 million redemption of outstanding 2028 Notes, $109 million of payments on short-term borrowings primarily associated with inventory repositioning in the first quarter 2026, and $26 million of cash dividends on stock.
Cash used for investing activities was $203 million, primarily related to capital expenditures of $186 million and equity investment contributions of $40 million.
Free cash flow was $422 million.
Working capital: For the second quarter, Receivables from customers of $1.5 billion, Inventories of $2.3 billion and Accounts payable, trade of $1.9 billion comprised DWC working capital.
Alcoa reported 46 days working capital, a sequential decrease of 2 days primarily due to a decrease in inventory days, partially offset by a decrease in accounts payable days, both on higher sales.
Key Actions
Strategic
AliGroup acquisition: On June 30, 2026, Alcoa entered into a definitive agreement to acquire South32’s interests in its bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets in Australia, Brazil, and South Africa for upfront consideration of approximately $4.1 billion, plus a contingent value right of up to $750 million.
The transaction reinforces Alcoa’s position as a leading pure-play upstream aluminum company, while strengthening its global portfolio, enhancing competitiveness, and creating long-term value for shareholders by unlocking synergies.
Gallium joint venture: On July 14, 2026, Alcoa and the government and industry partners of Australia, Japan, and the United States announced a final investment decision for a gallium production plant to be co-located at the Wagerup refinery in Australia.
Mosjøen casthouse: On May 11, 2026, Alcoa announced a $65 million investment to expand foundry production capabilities to include recycled content in the casting process at its Mosjøen smelter in Norway.
The upgrade project is expected to be completed in phases, with commissioning and ramp-up scheduled to progress throughout 2028.
Financial
Note redemption: On May 15, 2026, the Company redeemed the remaining $219 million aggregate principal amount of its outstanding 6.125% notes due in 2028 at a price equal to 100% of the principal amount, plus accrued and unpaid interest.
The redemption was funded using cash on hand.
Operational
Western Australia collective bargaining agreement: On July 2, 2026, a new four-year collective bargaining agreement was ratified with the Australian Workers Union (AWU), representing approximately 1,400 employees across the mining and refining operations in Western Australia.
USW collective bargaining agreement: On June 15, 2026, Alcoa announced the ratification of a new four-year collective bargaining agreement with the United Steelworkers (USW) at the Company’s U.S. smelters, representing approximately 1,000 employees at Warrick, Indiana and Massena, New York.
ABI collective bargaining agreements: On May 5, 2026, the Company announced that new five-year collective bargaining agreements were ratified with the United Steelworkers in Canada (Syndicat des Métallos) at the ABI smelter in Québec, Canada, representing approximately 1,000 employees.
2026 Outlook
1The Company has decreased its 2026 projection for alumina production to range between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons, a reduction of between 0.2 and 0.3 million metric tons from the prior projection.Guidance lowered
2The Company has also decreased its 2026 projection for alumina shipments to range between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons, a reduction of between 0.3 and 0.4 million metric tons from the prior projection.Guidance lowered
The reductions are primarily due to lower production at the Pinjarra refinery as instability that began in late March was further exacerbated by gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.Guidance lowered
The overall difference between production and shipments reflects trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to fulfill customer contracts.
Alcoa expects 2026 total Aluminum segment production and shipments to remain unchanged from its prior projection, ranging between 2.4 and 2.6 million metric tons, and between 2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons, respectively.Guidance reaffirmed
Within the third quarter 2026 Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA, the Company expects sequential favorable net impacts of approximately $10 million due to recovered stability at the Pinjarra refinery and lower energy prices, partially offset by planned maintenance at the Alumar refinery and Juruti mine in Brazil.
For the third quarter 2026 Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Alcoa expects sequential favorable impacts from efficiencies at higher production rates to fully offset higher carbon prices and seasonally lower third-party energy sales in Brazil.
Based on recent pricing and expected lower shipments, Section 232 tariff costs on U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada are expected to decrease by approximately $10 million sequentially.
Alumina costs in the Aluminum segment are expected to be unfavorable by approximately $10 million sequentially.
Based on current alumina and aluminum market conditions, Alcoa expects third quarter 2026 operational tax expense to approximate $80 million to $90 million, which may vary with market conditions and jurisdictional profitability.
For the quarter ended June 30, 2025, dividends paid on preferred stock were $1 and undistributed earnings of $1 were allocated to preferred stock under the two-class method required by GAAP.
For the six months ended June 30, 2025, dividends paid on preferred stock were $1 and undistributed earnings of $10 were allocated to preferred stock under the two-class method required by GAAP.
52 boilerplate lines (safe-harbor disclaimer, contacts, call details) are set aside.

How this is scored

  • Source: the press release Alcoa Corporation filed with the SEC as Exhibit 99 to Form 8-K (Item 2.02). Financial statements and boilerplate are set aside.
  • Tone: a financial sentiment model scores each sentence 0 to 100; the release score weights sentences by how material they are.
  • Materiality and guidance: a classifier judges whether each sentence is specific information, and what the release does to the outlook.
  • New this quarter: wording that does not appear in the prior release.
  • Hedging: uncertainty words (may, could, approximately, headwinds and similar) per 100 words of narrative.

These scores describe the release's language. They are not a forecast or a recommendation. Read the original filing

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