AFL|Analyst Targets
AFL|Company Info
AFL|Insider Trading
AFL|Fundamentals
AFL|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.73 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.81 | $2.43 | +34.3% |
| Q2'26 | $1.76 | $1.75 | -0.4% |
| Q1'26 | $1.83 | $1.75 | -4.5% |
| Q4'25 | $1.71 | $1.57 | -8.3% |
| Q3'25 | $1.78 | $2.49 | +40.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $4.3B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $4.2B | $4.3B | +3.2% |
| Q2'26 | $4.2B | $4.2B | +0.5% |
| Q1'26 | $4.2B | $4.2B | -0.2% |
| Q4'25 | $4.3B | $4.9B | +11.9% |
| Q3'25 | - | $4.4B | - |
AFL|Monthly Returns
Market Data
AFL Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 65.26B
- P/E ratio
- 13.4
- Day range
- $123.51 – $126.24
- News sentiment
- 61/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $117.33 (-6.3%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 24 analysts
The setup on Aflac Incorporated is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Behaviour On Record
What AFL's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 18.9% 54th pct
- Below its peak
- -3.7%
- vs 200-day average
- +8.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
Aflac Incorporated is currently running 18.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AFL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 18.2%.
AFL is trading -3.7% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.7%, and the deepest was -52.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +8.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 68th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year AFL closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, AFL finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.0% and an average of +5.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.3% on average, its weakest September at -0.7%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: AFL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 84 of 3,266 sessions (2.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.3% and -5.3%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, AFL moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.8% and a largest of +4.3%.
All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AFL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of AFL's sector?
Aflac Incorporated sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Insurance industry group, AFL ranks 4th of 15 tracked industries, leading.
- Sector rank
- #6 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 45
- Industry rank
- #4 of 15
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect AFL to earn?
Analysts expect Aflac Incorporated to earn $7.02 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $8.07 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AFL?
JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Aflac Incorporated to Neutral on Oct 15, 2026 with a price target of $119 (from $116). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- JP Morgan: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Aflac Incorporated's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Adjusted earnings benefited from reserve remeasurement gains of $453 million.
New this quarter - 2
Pretax adjusted earnings were $493 million, 31.5% higher than a year ago, primarily driven by lower benefits from higher reserve remeasurement gains as a result of unlocking actuarial assumptions and higher premiums as well as lower expenses.
New this quarter - 3
Aflac Incorporated reached the milestone of 44 consecutive years of dividend increases with the fourth quarter declaration of $0.61.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
AFL peers & ETF holders
Insurance - LifeMarket cap · today
- AFLYou're here$65.3B-0.83%
- METMetLife, Inc.$65.7B-0.59%
- PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.$43.7B-1.48%
- GLGlobe Life Inc.$12.3B-0.48%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about AFL?
AFL rose 10.0% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 34 and 59 from Oct 6 to Oct 12, then jumped to 90 on Oct 13.
- Oct 22 +2.6%
- Oct 23 -2.3%
- Oct 29 +2.2%
Technical analysis
How strong is AFL's momentum right now?
On the daily chart AFL ranks at the 43rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling AFL?
77 of the 200 tracked managers added to AFL in their latest 13F and 117 trimmed. Together they own 47.1% of the company, worth $28.6B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 12.4%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.6.70%$4.1B positionTrimmed 3.6% last quarter
- $3.5B positionTrimmed 1.2% last quarter
- $2.9B positionAdded 33.5% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp4.52%$2.8B positionTrimmed 0.4% last quarter
- $1.2B positionTrimmed 1.1% last quarter
- 6Wells Fargo & Company1.66%$1.0B positionTrimmed 18.1% last quarter
- 7Morgan Stanley1.54%$942.8M positionAdded 1.8% last quarter
- 8Northern Trust Corp1.21%$736.7M positionTrimmed 4.1% last quarter
- 9Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.02%$624.3M positionAdded 28.9% last quarter
- $609.8M positionAdded 27.8% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading AFL?
4 members of Congress disclosed 10 AFL trades between Mar 31, 2016 and Mar 27, 2026: 6 buys and 4 sells, about $80.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has AFL done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, AFL returned +9.1%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 11 did better, led by AJG at +42.5%.
- 1AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.up 42.5%+33.4 pts
- 2TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.up 32.1%+23.1 pts
- 3WTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Companyup 30.8%+21.7 pts
- 4METMetLife, Inc.up 23.8%+14.7 pts
- 5PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.up 21.1%+12.0 pts
- 6ALLThe Allstate Corporationup 20.1%+11.0 pts
- 7PGRThe Progressive Corporationup 16.2%+7.1 pts
- 8KIESPDR S&P Insurance ETFup 14.7%+5.6 pts
- 12AFLThis stockup 9.1%
- 16SLFSun Life Financial Inc.down 1.2%−10.3 pts