AG·First Majestic Silver Corp. Ordinary Shares (Canada)

Realized volatility (21d)

49.5% 34th pct

Below its peak

-45.6%

vs 200-day average

-13.4%

Up days (1y)

49%

First Majestic Silver Corp. Ordinary Shares (Canada) is currently running 49.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 56.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AG is trading -45.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -49.9%, and the deepest was -67.4% in 2014. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -13.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 36th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year AG closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, AG finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of +0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been December at +2.8% on average, its weakest September at -4.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 551 of 3,267 sessions (16.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +27.8% and -9.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.