CMG·Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

56.1% 96th pct

Below its peak

-48.7%

vs 200-day average

+3.6%

Up days (1y)

51%

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is currently running 56.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CMG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 96th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 28.4%.

CMG is trading -48.7% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.1%, and the deepest was -50.1% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +3.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 50th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year CMG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 7 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, CMG finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.7% and an average of +4.5%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +6.4% on average, its weakest October at -5.4%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CMG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 74 of 3,268 sessions (2.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.5% and -9.7%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, CMG moved an average of 4.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +3.5% and a largest of +7.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CMG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.