DailyIQ
Last updated 3 minutes ago

CMG·Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$33.32
Open
$32.68
Market Cap
42.03B
52W High
$58.42
Low
$32.26
P. Close
$32.71
P/E
28.95
52W Low
$29.75
Fwd P/E
103.05
Mean Target
$43.38
Technical Score (1D)
23
SELL
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
Chipotle is testing a new value-oriented strategy, piloting a single taco promotion for $2.50 available weekdays from 2-5 PM at select locations until June 2026. This move represents a potential shift from its premium ingredient positioning and aims to broaden customer appeal by competing more directly with established fast-food value leaders. The success of this in-restaurant only promotion will be crucial in assessing its impact on market share and brand perception. Despite this recent strategic exploration, Wall Street analysts maintain a generally bullish outlook on CMG, expressing confidence in its future growth prospects and ability to rebound, even after recent underperformance relative to the broader market. Investors will be watching to see if this value initiative can attract new customers without alienating its existing base, and how it influences overall sales trends in the coming weeks.
Earnings Summary
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a prominent restaurant company specializing in customizable Mexican-inspired cuisine, emphasizing fresh ingredients and a value proposition centered on quality. Operating within the Consumer Cyclical sector's Restaurants industry, Chipotle has expanded its reach beyond the U.S. to international markets, focusing on a business model that includes dine-in, takeout, and delivery options. In its most recent reported quarters, Chipotle demonstrated a pattern of exceeding analyst expectations for Earnings Per Share (EPS). For Q4 2025, EPS was $0.25 against an estimate of $0.2417, and revenue was $2.98 billion against an estimate of $2.99 billion. This followed Q1 2026 where actual EPS was $0.24 versus an estimate of $0.2407, with revenue at $3.09 billion against an estimate of $3.10 billion. While revenue estimates were narrowly missed in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, actual EPS has consistently met or slightly surpassed estimates in the most recent periods, indicating a stable performance against projections. Historically, Chipotle has shown a consistent ability to meet or beat EPS estimates, with a strong track record in recent quarters. For instance, the company beat EPS estimates in Q4 2024 ($0.25 actual vs $0.24642 estimate), Q1 2025 ($0.29 actual vs $0.27692 estimate), and Q2 2025 ($0.33 actual vs $0.32588 estimate). Revenue figures, where available, have also shown growth, though with occasional slight misses against analyst expectations in the most recent periods, suggesting a pattern of strong operational execution on the earnings front. Recent news highlights significant strategic moves and market sentiment shifts for Chipotle. An analyst upgrade to 'Buy' by Argus, citing expectations of exceeding 2026 comparable store sales guidance and ambitious expansion plans of 350-370 new stores in 2026, underscores positive analyst outlook. However, the company has also faced scrutiny regarding product safety and a failing grade in a report on toxic ingredients. Strategic hires of a new Chief Brand Officer and Chief Digital Officer aim to bolster marketing and digital engagement, aligning with signs of same-store sales recovery and menu expansion, while the deployment of high-efficiency kitchen equipment shows early positive impacts on sales and customer satisfaction. Looking ahead, investors will be watching for Chipotle's ability to sustain its sales growth momentum, particularly in light of its aggressive expansion targets and the successful integration of new leadership in brand and digital strategies. Key will be the execution of its new store opening plans, the impact of high-efficiency kitchen equipment on customer satisfaction and sales, and how the company navigates ongoing consumer and advocacy group scrutiny regarding product safety. Monitoring the company's performance against its ambitious 2026 comparable store sales guidance will also be crucial.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.23$0.26$0.29$0.31$0.34Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.32 - -
Q1'26$0.24$0.24-0.3%
Q4'25$0.24$0.25+3.4%
Q3'25$0.29$0.29+0.9%
Q2'25$0.33$0.33+1.3%
Q1'25$0.28$0.29+4.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.8B$3.0B$3.1B$3.2B$3.4BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.3B - -
Q1'26$3.1B$3.1B-0.3%
Q4'25$3.0B$3.0B-0.4%
Q3'25 - $3.0B -
Q2'25 - $3.1B -
Q1'25 - $2.9B -

Market Data

CMG Stock Snapshot

CMG is currently trading at $32.75, giving Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. a market cap of 42.03B and a P/E ratio of 28.9. Today's range spans $32.26–$33.32, with shares opening at $32.68 and moving up $0.04 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 23/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 60/100.

Over the past year CMG has traded between $29.75 and $58.42 - the current price is +10.1% off the 52-week low and -43.9% from the high. 46 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $43.38 (range $35.00–$52.00), implying upside of +32.5%.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is a large-cap in Consumer Cyclical with 42.03B in market cap, and the current technical read is bearish. Score: 23/100 (SELL). Sentiment: bullish at 60/100. Price: $32.75 (near 52-week lows). The current P/E ratio stands at 28.9. The 52-week range of $29.75–$58.42 provides the structural context, and the current SELL designation suggests that prior support levels are more important to watch than usual.

Analyst coverage for CMG becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 42.03B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 23/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (60/100) at $32.75 (near 52-week lows) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $29.75–$58.42 range establishes where that repricing lands.