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YUM·Yum! Brands, Inc.

$161.14
-4.95 (-2.98%)
After Hours
High
$166.09
Open
$161.20
Market Cap
43.38B
52W High
$170.14
Low
$160.96
P. Close
$161.14
P/E
12.60
52W Low
$134.26
Fwd P/E
24.18
DailyIQ Est.
$173.87
Inst. Own.
76.4%
Short Interest
4.37%
Days to Cover
4.8
Div. Yield
1.84%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 14
Div. Growth
8+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Nov 3, 2026tone -9.0 vs prior release · 124 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
36
BEARISH
News Sentiment
66
BULLISH
On Nov 5, Yum! Brands reported Q3 2026 revenue of $2.054 billion and net income of $1.623 billion, a beat that was helped by a gain from the Pizza Hut divestiture and strong performance at KFC. The same day the company noted that Taco Bell had recovered faster than expected after prior food‑safety concerns, while KFC launched its Muse flagship concept and a global Marvel campaign to boost brand appeal. Yum! Brands also highlighted its portfolio simplification and experiential branding efforts, which the company said are intended to strengthen franchise economics. These developments were reported as evidence of a solid earnings trajectory and a positive outlook for franchise expansion.
LOW TARGET
$147 -8.8%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$172 +6.5%
21 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$200 +24.1%
11 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$147.00 - $200.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/11/16/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$173.87 (+7.9%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
YUM
Description
Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global leader in the quick-service restaurant industry, primarily focusing on franchising and operating its well-known brands. The company's core business revolves around four distinct divisions: KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill. These divisions cater to diverse consumer preferences, offering chicken, Mexican-inspired cuisine, pizza, and chargrilled burgers. Established in 1997, and formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Yum! Brands has built a strong competitive position by leveraging its portfolio of popular brands across the globe. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
48,053 shares
$7.5M
Burkhardt ErikaChief Legal Officer & Corp Sec
Sell652 shares2026-11-04
Turner Christopher LeeChief Executive Officer
Sell254 shares2026-11-04
Mezvinsky ScottKFC Division CEO
Option Exercise482 shares2026-11-04
Mezvinsky ScottKFC Division CEO
Sell273 shares2026-11-04
Mezvinsky ScottKFC Division CEO
D209 shares2026-11-04
68/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
19.0%
Revenue CAGR
-1.3%
Current Ratio
1.35x
Debt / Equity
-1.56x
Return on Equity
-19.7%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, the company reported Q3 2026 revenue of $2.05 billion, up 3.8 % YoY, and adjusted EPS of $1.56, beating consensus by 6.9 %. Compared to Q2 2026, revenue fell slightly to $2.169 billion, while EPS rose from $1.44 to $1.56, indicating a modest acceleration in profitability despite a revenue dip. Over the last four quarters, Yum! has consistently beat EPS estimates in three of four reports, with revenue growth remaining positive but slowing from the 12.2 % YoY increase seen in Q2 2026 to the 3.8 % rise in Q3 2026. Historically, the company has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with EPS generally exceeding analyst expectations, though revenue has occasionally lagged behind forecasts, as seen in Q3 2026 where revenue missed the $2.1 billion consensus. Recent news highlights the deployment of the AI platform Byte by Yum across KFC and Taco Bell, which reportedly cut drive‑thru wait times by 8 % and refunds by 12 %, contributing to a 3 % sales lift; the opening of the KFC Muse flagship in Dubai and the termination of the Puerto Rican franchise agreement are also material developments that could influence future unit economics.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.32$1.47$1.61$1.75$1.89Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.83 - -
Q3'26$1.50$1.56+3.8%
Q2'26$1.56$1.62+3.7%
Q1'26$1.39$1.50+8.0%
Q3'25$1.48$1.58+6.7%
Q2'25$1.46$1.44-1.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.8B$2.0B$2.2B$2.4B$2.6BQ2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$2.5B - -
Q3'26$2.1B$2.1B-1.1%
Q2'26$2.2B$2.2B-2.3%
Q1'26$2.0B$2.1B+0.8%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $1.9B -

Market Data

YUM Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL36/100
$161.14+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
43.38B
P/E ratio
12.6
Day range
$160.96 – $166.09
News sentiment
66/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$171.56 (+6.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 34 analysts
52-week range+20.0% off low · -5.3% from high
$134.26$170.14
Price $161.14 DailyIQ Est. $173.87

YUM is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into YUM?

FAIR

At today's price, Yum! Brands, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 8.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.35% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 5.6% a year, so the market is asking for 2.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis YUM looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
8.1%
Growth trend
5.6%
Growth gap
+2.6 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.35%
Beta
0.54

Behaviour On Record

What YUM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.5% 87th pct
Below its peak
-2.9%
vs 200-day average
+6.4%
Up days (1y)
51%

Yum! Brands, Inc. is currently running 29.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against YUM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 19.5%.

YUM is trading -2.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.1%, and the deepest was -45.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year YUM closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, YUM finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.0% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.0%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: YUM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 90 of 3,268 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.9% and -7.0%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, YUM moved an average of 3.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.9% and a largest of +5.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against YUM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of YUM's sector?

Yum! Brands, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for YUM?

CallsPuts

For Yum! Brands, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.20), with at-the-money implied volatility around 40.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $155.21–$180.03.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.20
ATM implied volatility
40.5%
Total open interest
5,795
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±7.4% ($155.21–$180.03)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect YUM to earn?

Analysts expect Yum! Brands, Inc. to earn $6.33 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.65 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026$1.46$1.35 to $1.5416$2.02B15
Dec 2026$1.75$1.56 to $1.9116$2.42B15
Mar 2027$1.49$1.41 to $1.594~$1.89B-
Jun 2027$1.65$1.55 to $1.704~$2.10B-
Sep 2027$1.68$1.64 to $1.724~$2.14B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$6.33$6.09 to $6.4719$8.67B18
Dec 2027$6.84$6.41 to $7.2019$8.64B18
Dec 2028$7.65$7.38 to $7.883~$9.72B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on YUM?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Yum! Brands, Inc. to Neutral on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $171 (from $163). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$163 → $171
Nov 4, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$170 → $180
Nov 4, 2026BTIGReiteratedNeutral-
Nov 3, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$177 → $180
Oct 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$176 → $163
Oct 7, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$180 → $177
Oct 6, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$180 → $155
Sep 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$160 → $150
Sep 24, 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeBuy → Hold-
Sep 16, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$174 → $165
Sep 16, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$162
Sep 10, 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$165 → $175

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Yum! Brands, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Nov 3, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone55.4/ 100-9.0 vs prior release
Hedging words0.41per 100 words+0.26 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–74

Most important lines

  1. 1

    2026 GAAP Operating Profit figures presented below reflect a pre-tax gain of approximately $1.7 billion related to the sales of Pizza Hut.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Excluding the results of Pizza Hut from both 2026 and 2025, Core Operating Profit grew 1% for the quarter and 6% for the year to date.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Company-owned restaurant margins were 12.3%, down 140 basis points year-over-year, primarily driven by the 15 lower margin stores being tested under the Saucy brand in 2026.

    New this quarterNegative tone

Peers & ETF holders

YUM peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about YUM?

YUM rose 15.2% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 4 and 46 from Oct 6 to Oct 12, then jumped to 100 on Oct 13.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$140$160Oct 6: tone 44Oct 7: tone 46Oct 8: tone 38Oct 9Oct 12: tone 4Oct 13: tone 100Oct 14: tone 46Oct 15: tone 56Oct 16: tone 65Oct 19: tone 55Oct 20: tone 64Oct 21: tone 51Oct 22: tone 68Oct 23: tone 51Oct 26: tone 25Oct 27: tone 33Oct 28: tone 52Oct 29: tone 19Oct 30: tone 49Nov 2: tone 39Nov 3: tone 62Nov 4: tone 59Nov 5: tone 75Nov 6: tone 70Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 23 -3.2%same day: Yum! Brands' Growth Set to Accelerate as Taco Bell Recovers, UBS Says
  2. Oct 29 +3.1%same day: Unlocking Q3 Potential of Yum (YUM): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
  3. Nov 4 +5.9%same day: Yum! Brands Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Technical analysis

How strong is YUM's momentum right now?

On the daily chart YUM ranks at the 36th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling YUM?

81 of the 207 tracked managers added to YUM in their latest 13F and 114 trimmed. Together they own 76.4% of the company, worth $32.6B. BlackRock and JPMorgan Chase alone hold 17.2%.

81adding114trimming12unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of YUM
  1. $4.2B positionTrimmed 0.9% last quarter
  2. $3.2B positionAdded 3.3% last quarter
  3. $2.9B positionTrimmed 0.0% last quarter
  4. $2.7B positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
  5. $2.2B positionAdded 0.4% last quarter
  6. $2.1B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
  7. $1.3B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
  8. $802.8M positionAdded 7.5% last quarter
  9. $774.7M positionAdded 20.1% last quarter
  10. $740.5M positionAdded 4.3M shares last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading YUM?

9 members of Congress disclosed 11 YUM trades between Aug 25, 2014 and Mar 27, 2026: 4 buys and 7 sells, about $246.5K in estimated value.

BuysSells201620182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has YUM done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, YUM returned +3.3%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 8 did better, led by DRI at +15.6%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6DRI +15.6%YUM +3.3%TJX −13.0%