DailyIQ
Last updated 3 minutes ago

YUM·Yum! Brands, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$156.60
Open
$151.00
Market Cap
41.44B
52W High
$170.14
Low
$147.67
P. Close
$147.92
P/E
23.84
52W Low
$137.33
Fwd P/E
19.82
DailyIQ Est.
$176.66
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
41
BEARISH
The latest development is that YUM’s Taco Bell has stopped using lettuce from a supplier linked to a cyclosporiasis outbreak. This supply‑chain disruption could tighten inventory availability for the quick‑service chain, potentially leading to temporary menu adjustments. The halt signals heightened regulatory scrutiny from the FDA, which may prompt YUM to accelerate its food‑safety compliance initiatives. In the short term, the move could exert modest sales pressure on YUM’s quick‑service segment as the company navigates the supply gap. The impact is expected to be brief, as analysts note that past outbreaks have had mixed and often transient effects on revenue. The incident underscores the importance of robust supply‑chain oversight for YUM, especially given the brand’s reliance on a global network of suppliers. Over the next 1–10 trading days, investors should watch for any updates on the lettuce supply restoration and whether YUM announces alternative sourcing arrangements. Additionally, monitor any FDA communications that could indicate broader regulatory actions affecting the quick‑service restaurant sector. Finally, keep an eye on YUM’s earnings guidance for the upcoming quarter to see if the company adjusts its revenue projections in light of the outbreak.
Earnings Summary
Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick‑service restaurant leader headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, operating iconic franchises such as KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill. The company’s business model centers on franchising, generating revenue primarily from franchise royalties and marketing fees within the consumer‑cyclical restaurant sector. In the most recent earnings cycle, Yum! reported Q4 2024 revenue of $2.362 billion and EPS of $1.61, narrowly beating the $1.59593 estimate, while Q1 2025 revenue fell to $1.787 billion with EPS of $1.30 versus a $1.28041 estimate, again a beat. Revenue has trended upward from $1.933 billion in Q2 2025 to $1.979 billion in Q3 2025 and $2.059 billion in Q1 2026, indicating accelerating top‑line growth, though Q1 2026 EPS of $1.50, though a beat, is slightly lower than the $1.58 reported in Q3 2025. Across the last five quarters, the company has beaten analyst EPS estimates in four, with only the Q2 2025 quarter falling short. Historically, Yum! has maintained a consistent pattern of revenue expansion each quarter while delivering EPS that largely exceeds expectations, underscoring the resilience of its franchise‑based model. Recent news highlights a series of operational challenges: a food‑safety controversy that could erode consumer confidence, a cyber‑attack disrupting KFC Japan’s logistics and menu availability, and the announced sale of the Pizza Hut banner in Q3 2026, which will reshape the royalty mix and reduce owned‑store footprint. These developments suggest that short‑term sentiment may be sensitive to safety and supply‑chain incidents, while the divestiture could free capital for higher‑margin brands. Investors should watch for Yum!’s communication on its food‑safety strategy, the speed of menu restoration in Japan, the progress of the Pizza Hut sale, and any regulatory actions stemming from the parasite outbreak, as these factors will shape the company’s near‑term earnings trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.23$1.34$1.45$1.55$1.66Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.56 - -
Q1'26$1.39$1.50+8.0%
Q3'25$1.48$1.58+6.7%
Q2'25$1.46$1.44-1.3%
Q1'25$1.28$1.30+1.5%
Q4'24$1.60$1.61+0.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$1.9B$2.1B$2.3B$2.4BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.2B - -
Q1'26$2.0B$2.1B+0.8%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $1.9B -
Q1'25 - $1.8B -
Q4'24 - $2.4B -

Market Data

YUM Stock Snapshot

YUM is currently trading at $148.73, giving Yum! Brands, Inc. a market cap of 41.44B and a P/E ratio of 23.8. Today's range spans $147.67–$156.60, with shares opening at $151.00 and moving up $0.81 (0.5%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 41/100.

Over the past year YUM has traded between $137.33 and $170.14 - the current price is +8.3% off the 52-week low and -12.6% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $174.24 (range $147.00–$200.00), implying upside of +17.2%.

Earnings estimate risk is at the forefront for Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) - a large-cap Consumer Cyclical name (41.44B market cap) showing a SELL (14/100) alongside neutral sentiment (41/100) often flags a period where consensus estimates are still catching down to what the market is already pricing in. Price: $148.73 (in the lower half of its 52-week range in $137.33–$170.14). (P/E: 23.8) Active managers who track the technical-fundamental gap tend to position ahead of the revision, not after it.

When a large-cap Consumer Cyclical name with 41.44B in capitalization prints a SELL signal (14/100) alongside neutral news sentiment (41/100), the risk isn't just price depreciation — it's the loss of institutional sponsorship that makes recovery harder. At $148.73 (in the lower half of its 52-week range in the $137.33–$170.14 range), the structural support levels are where that sponsorship question gets answered.