YUM|Analyst Targets
YUM|Company Info
YUM|Insider Trading
YUM|Fundamentals
YUM|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.83 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.50 | $1.56 | +3.8% |
| Q2'26 | $1.56 | $1.62 | +3.7% |
| Q1'26 | $1.39 | $1.50 | +8.0% |
| Q3'25 | $1.48 | $1.58 | +6.7% |
| Q2'25 | $1.46 | $1.44 | -1.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.5B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.1B | $2.1B | -1.1% |
| Q2'26 | $2.2B | $2.2B | -2.3% |
| Q1'26 | $2.0B | $2.1B | +0.8% |
| Q3'25 | - | $2.0B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $1.9B | - |
YUM|Monthly Returns
Market Data
YUM Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 43.38B
- P/E ratio
- 12.6
- Day range
- $160.96 – $166.09
- News sentiment
- 66/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $171.56 (+6.5%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 34 analysts
YUM is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into YUM?
At today's price, Yum! Brands, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 8.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.35% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 5.6% a year, so the market is asking for 2.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis YUM looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 8.1%
- Growth trend
- 5.6%
- Growth gap
- +2.6 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.35%
- Beta
- 0.54
Behaviour On Record
What YUM's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 29.5% 87th pct
- Below its peak
- -2.9%
- vs 200-day average
- +6.4%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Yum! Brands, Inc. is currently running 29.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against YUM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 19.5%.
YUM is trading -2.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.1%, and the deepest was -45.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +6.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year YUM closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, YUM finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.0% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.0%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: YUM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 90 of 3,268 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.9% and -7.0%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, YUM moved an average of 3.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.9% and a largest of +5.9%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against YUM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of YUM's sector?
Yum! Brands, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #5 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 91
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect YUM to earn?
Analysts expect Yum! Brands, Inc. to earn $6.33 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.65 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on YUM?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Yum! Brands, Inc. to Neutral on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $171 (from $163). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Yum! Brands, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
2026 GAAP Operating Profit figures presented below reflect a pre-tax gain of approximately $1.7 billion related to the sales of Pizza Hut.
New this quarter - 2
Excluding the results of Pizza Hut from both 2026 and 2025, Core Operating Profit grew 1% for the quarter and 6% for the year to date.
New this quarter - 3
Company-owned restaurant margins were 12.3%, down 140 basis points year-over-year, primarily driven by the 15 lower margin stores being tested under the Saucy brand in 2026.
New this quarterNegative tone
Peers & ETF holders
YUM peers & ETF holders
RestaurantsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about YUM?
YUM rose 15.2% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 4 and 46 from Oct 6 to Oct 12, then jumped to 100 on Oct 13.
- Oct 23 -3.2%same day: Yum! Brands' Growth Set to Accelerate as Taco Bell Recovers, UBS Says
- Oct 29 +3.1%same day: Unlocking Q3 Potential of Yum (YUM): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
- Nov 4 +5.9%same day: Yum! Brands Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
Technical analysis
How strong is YUM's momentum right now?
On the daily chart YUM ranks at the 36th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling YUM?
81 of the 207 tracked managers added to YUM in their latest 13F and 114 trimmed. Together they own 76.4% of the company, worth $32.6B. BlackRock and JPMorgan Chase alone hold 17.2%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.9.73%$4.2B positionTrimmed 0.9% last quarter
- 2JPMorgan Chase & Co7.43%$3.2B positionAdded 3.3% last quarter
- $2.9B positionTrimmed 0.0% last quarter
- $2.7B positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
- $2.2B positionAdded 0.4% last quarter
- 6State Street Corp4.90%$2.1B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
- $1.3B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- 8Norges Bank1.87%$802.8M positionAdded 7.5% last quarter
- 9Invesco Ltd.1.80%$774.7M positionAdded 20.1% last quarter
- $740.5M positionAdded 4.3M shares last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading YUM?
9 members of Congress disclosed 11 YUM trades between Aug 25, 2014 and Mar 27, 2026: 4 buys and 7 sells, about $246.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has YUM done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, YUM returned +3.3%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 8 did better, led by DRI at +15.6%.
- 1DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.up 15.6%+12.3 pts
- 2MARMarriott International, Inc.up 15.3%+12.0 pts
- 3HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.up 15.2%+11.9 pts
- 4ARMKAramarkup 14.8%+11.5 pts
- 5TXRHTexas Roadhouse Inc.up 14.5%+11.2 pts
- 6RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.up 13.9%+10.6 pts
- 7HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 6.3%+3.0 pts
- 8CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.up 4.8%+1.5 pts
- 9YUMThis stockup 3.3%
- 16TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.down 13.0%−16.2 pts