SBUX|Analyst Targets
SBUX|Company Info
SBUX|Insider Trading
SBUX|Fundamentals
SBUX|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $0.77 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $0.73 | $0.80 | +9.5% |
| Q3'26 | $0.65 | $0.85 | +30.8% |
| Q2'26 | $0.63 | $0.50 | -21.1% |
| Q1'26 | $0.59 | $0.56 | -4.6% |
| Q3'25 | $0.56 | $0.52 | -6.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $9.6B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $9.4B | $9.1B | -2.9% |
| Q3'26 | $9.3B | $9.3B | -0.2% |
| Q2'26 | $9.0B | $9.5B | +5.7% |
| Q1'26 | $9.8B | $9.9B | +1.0% |
| Q3'25 | - | $9.6B | - |
SBUX|Monthly Returns
Market Data
SBUX Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 124.66B
- P/E ratio
- 62.9
- Day range
- $104.80 – $107.82
- News sentiment
- 54/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $110.76 (+5.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 45 analysts
The technical read on SBUX is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into SBUX?
At today's price, Starbucks Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 21.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.02% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.3% a year, so the market is asking for 14.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SBUX looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 21.0%
- Growth trend
- 6.3%
- Growth gap
- +14.7 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.02%
- Beta
- 0.91
Behaviour On Record
What SBUX's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 24.6% 64th pct
- Below its peak
- -13.1%
- vs 200-day average
- +10.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Starbucks Corporation is currently running 24.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SBUX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.6%.
SBUX is trading -13.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.4%, and the deepest was -40.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +10.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 69th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year SBUX closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, SBUX finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.4% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.4%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: SBUX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 29 of 3,268 sessions (0.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.2% and -5.9%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, SBUX moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of -2.9%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SBUX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of SBUX's sector?
Starbucks Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 82
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect SBUX to earn?
Analysts expect Starbucks Corporation to earn $3.21 per share in the fiscal year ending Sep 2027 and $3.73 in the fiscal year ending Sep 2028, from 30 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SBUX?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Starbucks Corporation to Neutral on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $107 (from $104). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Starbucks Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Global Q4 Comparable Coffeehouse Sales Up 7.2%
New this quarter - 2
Q4 GAAP Operating Margin 10.8%, Up 790 Basis Points; Non-GAAP Operating Margin 14.0%, Up 450 Basis Points
New this quarter - 3
Q4 GAAP EPS $0.59, Up 392% ; Non-GAAP EPS $0.80, Up 54%
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
SBUX peers & ETF holders
RestaurantsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about SBUX?
SBUX rose 12.4% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 42 and 76 from Oct 5 to Oct 7, then dropped to 47 on Oct 8.
- Oct 15 +3.5%same day: Starbucks Has Raised Its Dividend for 16 Consecutive Years. Is the Payout Still Sustainable?
- Nov 4 +4.7%same day: Is China Licensing Shift Altering The Investment Case For Starbucks (SBUX)?
- Nov 5 -3.2%same day: Starbucks is ready for the holidays with its new seasonal menu
Technical analysis
How strong is SBUX's momentum right now?
On the daily chart SBUX ranks at the 61st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling SBUX?
107 of the 212 tracked managers added to SBUX in their latest 13F and 100 trimmed. Together they own 73.1% of the company, worth $88.5B. Capital Research Global Investors and Capital World Investors alone hold 16.9%.
- $11.2B positionAdded 7.1% last quarter
- 2Capital World Investors7.69%$9.3B positionTrimmed 11.5% last quarter
- 3BlackRock, Inc.7.00%$8.5B positionAdded 4.6% last quarter
- $7.6B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp4.14%$5.0B positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
- 6Invesco Ltd.3.24%$3.9B positionAdded 61.0% last quarter
- $3.1B positionAdded 2.2% last quarter
- $2.9B positionAdded 2.0% last quarter
- 9FMR LLC (Fidelity)2.21%$2.7B positionAdded 2.1% last quarter
- 10Morgan Stanley1.68%$2.0B positionTrimmed 19.8% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading SBUX?
16 members of Congress disclosed 25 SBUX trades between Oct 29, 2024 and Sep 23, 2026: 6 buys and 19 sells, about $322.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has SBUX done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, SBUX returned +1.4%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 9 did better, led by RCL at +21.4%.
- 1RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.up 21.4%+20.0 pts
- 2TXRHTexas Roadhouse Inc.up 21.4%+20.0 pts
- 3HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.up 18.1%+16.7 pts
- 4DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.up 17.6%+16.2 pts
- 5MARMarriott International, Inc.up 17.4%+16.0 pts
- 6ARMKAramarkup 11.1%+9.7 pts
- 7HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 10.5%+9.1 pts
- 8CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.up 9.9%+8.5 pts
- 10SBUXThis stockup 1.4%
- 16MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.down 16.1%−17.6 pts