SBUX·Starbucks Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

17.1% 28th pct

Below its peak

-25.5%

vs 200-day average

-4.4%

Up days (1y)

50%

Starbucks Corporation is currently running 17.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SBUX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 28th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 21.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SBUX is trading -25.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.9%, and the deepest was -40.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 25th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year SBUX closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SBUX finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SBUX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 29 of 3,267 sessions (0.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.2% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, SBUX moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.8% and a largest of -2.9%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SBUX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.