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DailyIQ
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SBUX·Starbucks Corporation

$106.16
-3.54 (-3.23%)
Pre-Market
High
$107.82
Open
$105.41
Market Cap
124.66B
52W High
$115.51
Low
$104.80
P. Close
$106.16
P/E
62.87
52W Low
$81.76
Fwd P/E
28.48
DailyIQ Est.
$111.65
Inst. Own.
73.1%
Short Interest
3.67%
Days to Cover
4.0
Div. Yield
2.33%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 13
Div. Growth
15+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 29, 2026tone -0.3 vs prior release · 116 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
61
BULLISH
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
On Nov 4, Starbucks reported a 54% jump in earnings, beating expectations and signaling that the company’s sales slowdown may be ending. The earnings beat suggested stronger performance across its core coffee and beverage segments, providing a positive outlook for the brand’s recovery. The results were seen as confirmation that the company’s recent operational adjustments are proving effective. The company’s management highlighted that the operational changes have begun to pay off, contributing to the earnings growth. This development was reported as a key indicator of Starbucks’ comeback story.
LOW TARGET
$82 -21.8%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$111 +5.7%
28 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$141 +34.5%
14 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$82.00 - $141.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/12/21/3/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$111.65 (+6.5%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
SBUX
Description
Starbucks Corporation is a global leader in the coffee industry, operating as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of premium coffee and related products. The company's core business revolves around its company-operated and licensed stores, which offer a wide array of beverages, including coffee, tea, and ready-to-drink options, alongside food items like pastries and sandwiches. Starbucks strategically segments its operations into North America, International, and Channel Development, reflecting its diverse global presence. Beyond its retail footprint, the company extends its brand reach through licensed stores and the distribution of packaged coffees and single-serve products under brands such as Starbucks Coffee and Teavana. Founded in 1971, Starbucks has established a strong competitive position by cultivating a premium brand image and offering a differentiated customer experience.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
69,181.515 shares
$6.9M
BREWER BRADYceo, International
Sell588 shares2026-10-20
BREWER BRADYceo, International
Sell1,641 shares2026-10-05
KELLY SARAevp, chief partner officer
Tax Withholding1,453.695 shares2026-09-15
Niccol Brian Rchairman and ceo
Tax Withholding56,267 shares2026-09-09
BREWER BRADYceo, International
Sell2,229 shares2026-09-04
57/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
5.0%
Revenue CAGR
7.9%
Current Ratio
0.72x
Debt / Equity
-1.99x
Return on Equity
-22.9%
Earnings Summary
In the latest quarters, Starbucks’ EPS has shown mixed performance: Q1 2025 EPS of 0.41 missed estimates, Q2 2025 EPS of 0.5 missed estimates, Q3 2025 EPS of 0.52 missed estimates, Q1 2026 EPS of 0.56 missed estimates, Q2 2026 EPS of 0.5 missed estimates, Q3 2026 EPS of 0.85 exceeded estimates, and Q4 2026 EPS of 0.8 exceeded estimates, indicating a recent turnaround. Revenue has fluctuated, with Q1 2026 revenue of 9.92 billion beating the 9.82 billion estimate, Q2 2026 revenue of 9.53 billion beating the 9.02 billion estimate, Q3 2026 revenue of 9.32 billion slightly below the 9.34 billion estimate, and Q4 2026 revenue of 9.14 billion below the 9.21 billion estimate, reflecting modest YoY declines in some periods. Historically, Starbucks has maintained a YoY revenue growth of around 2–3% in recent years, with EPS growth lagging until the last two quarters where it surpassed estimates, suggesting improving profitability. Recent news on November 2, 2026, highlights a 4% YoY revenue decline in Q4 2026, a 0.9% growth in international comparable sales, and the launch of AI initiatives to reduce waste, while HSBC raised its price target to $104, signaling institutional confidence.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.45$0.56$0.68$0.79$0.90Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$0.77 - -
Q4'26$0.73$0.80+9.5%
Q3'26$0.65$0.85+30.8%
Q2'26$0.63$0.50-21.1%
Q1'26$0.59$0.56-4.6%
Q3'25$0.56$0.52-6.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$8.9B$9.2B$9.5B$9.8B$10.0BQ3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$9.6B - -
Q4'26$9.4B$9.1B-2.9%
Q3'26$9.3B$9.3B-0.2%
Q2'26$9.0B$9.5B+5.7%
Q1'26$9.8B$9.9B+1.0%
Q3'25 - $9.6B -

Market Data

SBUX Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL61/100
$104.80−$1.65 (1.6%)
Market cap
124.66B
P/E ratio
62.9
Day range
$104.80 – $107.82
News sentiment
54/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$110.76 (+5.7%)
Consensus
Hold · 45 analysts
52-week range+28.2% off low · -9.3% from high
$81.76$115.51
Price $104.80 DailyIQ Est. $111.65

The technical read on SBUX is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into SBUX?

RICH

At today's price, Starbucks Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 21.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.02% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.3% a year, so the market is asking for 14.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SBUX looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
21.0%
Growth trend
6.3%
Growth gap
+14.7 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.02%
Beta
0.91

Behaviour On Record

What SBUX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
24.6% 64th pct
Below its peak
-13.1%
vs 200-day average
+10.0%
Up days (1y)
53%

Starbucks Corporation is currently running 24.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SBUX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.6%.

SBUX is trading -13.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.4%, and the deepest was -40.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +10.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 69th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year SBUX closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, SBUX finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.4% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.4%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SBUX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 29 of 3,268 sessions (0.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.2% and -5.9%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, SBUX moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of -2.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SBUX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of SBUX's sector?

Starbucks Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
82

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for SBUX?

CallsPuts

For Starbucks Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-12-18, 42 days out), open interest is tracked across both sides of the chain, with at-the-money implied volatility around 0.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $106.40–$106.96.

ATM implied volatility
0.8%
Total open interest
104
Expected move by 2026-12-18
±0.3% ($106.40–$106.96)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect SBUX to earn?

Analysts expect Starbucks Corporation to earn $3.21 per share in the fiscal year ending Sep 2027 and $3.73 in the fiscal year ending Sep 2028, from 30 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$0.75$0.69 to $0.8126$9.36B23
Mar 2027$0.63$0.56 to $0.7426$8.91B23
Jun 2027$0.83$0.70 to $0.887~$9.78B-
Dec 2027$0.93$0.89 to $0.953~$9.69B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2027$3.21$3.00 to $3.7233$37.83B29
Sep 2028$3.73$3.26 to $4.0630$39.40B30

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SBUX?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Starbucks Corporation to Neutral on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $107 (from $104). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$104 → $107
Nov 2, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedNeutral$97 → $103
Oct 30, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$110
Oct 30, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$115
Oct 30, 2026TD CowenReiteratedBuy$120
Oct 23, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$115 → $105
Oct 21, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$125 → $120
Oct 20, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$112 → $104
Oct 9, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$110
Oct 8, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$112 → $105
Sep 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$112 → $105
Sep 16, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedNeutral-

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Starbucks Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 29, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone65.2/ 100-0.3 vs prior release
Hedging words0.76per 100 words+0.38 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–79

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Global Q4 Comparable Coffeehouse Sales Up 7.2%

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Q4 GAAP Operating Margin 10.8%, Up 790 Basis Points; Non-GAAP Operating Margin 14.0%, Up 450 Basis Points

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Q4 GAAP EPS $0.59, Up 392% ; Non-GAAP EPS $0.80, Up 54%

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

SBUX peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about SBUX?

SBUX rose 12.4% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 42 and 76 from Oct 5 to Oct 7, then dropped to 47 on Oct 8.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 5 to Nov 5
$90$100$110Oct 5: tone 42Oct 6: tone 49Oct 7: tone 76Oct 8: tone 47Oct 9: tone 41Oct 12: tone 50Oct 13: tone 68Oct 14: tone 40Oct 15: tone 53Oct 16: tone 45Oct 19: tone 39Oct 20: tone 64Oct 21: tone 52Oct 22: tone 68Oct 23: tone 57Oct 26: tone 45Oct 27: tone 53Oct 28: tone 50Oct 29: tone 49Oct 30: tone 64Nov 2: tone 52Nov 3: tone 52Nov 4: tone 60Nov 5: tone 62Oct 5News toneNov 5123
  1. Oct 15 +3.5%same day: Starbucks Has Raised Its Dividend for 16 Consecutive Years. Is the Payout Still Sustainable?
  2. Nov 4 +4.7%same day: Is China Licensing Shift Altering The Investment Case For Starbucks (SBUX)?
  3. Nov 5 -3.2%same day: Starbucks is ready for the holidays with its new seasonal menu

Technical analysis

How strong is SBUX's momentum right now?

On the daily chart SBUX ranks at the 61st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling SBUX?

107 of the 212 tracked managers added to SBUX in their latest 13F and 100 trimmed. Together they own 73.1% of the company, worth $88.5B. Capital Research Global Investors and Capital World Investors alone hold 16.9%.

107adding100trimming5unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of SBUX
  1. $11.2B positionAdded 7.1% last quarter
  2. $9.3B positionTrimmed 11.5% last quarter
  3. $8.5B positionAdded 4.6% last quarter
  4. $7.6B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
  5. $5.0B positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
  6. $3.9B positionAdded 61.0% last quarter
  7. $3.1B positionAdded 2.2% last quarter
  8. $2.9B positionAdded 2.0% last quarter
  9. $2.7B positionAdded 2.1% last quarter
  10. $2.0B positionTrimmed 19.8% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading SBUX?

16 members of Congress disclosed 25 SBUX trades between Oct 29, 2024 and Sep 23, 2026: 6 buys and 19 sells, about $322.5K in estimated value.

BuysSellsJan ’25MaySepJan ’26MaySep
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has SBUX done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 5, SBUX returned +1.4%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 9 did better, led by RCL at +21.4%.

Change since May 5, through Nov 5
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 5JunJulAugSepOctNov 5RCL +21.4%SBUX +1.4%MELI −16.1%