SBUX·Starbucks Corporation
SBUX|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $0.60 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.68 | $0.85 | +25.4% |
| Q2'26 | $0.63 | $0.50 | -21.1% |
| Q3'25 | $0.56 | $0.52 | -6.5% |
| Q2'25 | $0.65 | $0.50 | -22.5% |
| Q1'25 | $0.48 | $0.41 | -15.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $9.8B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $9.3B | $9.3B | -0.2% |
| Q2'26 | $9.0B | $9.5B | +5.7% |
| Q3'25 | - | $9.6B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $9.5B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $8.8B | - |
SBUX|Monthly Returns
Market Data
SBUX Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 110.20B
- P/E ratio
- 55.6
- Day range
- $95.11 – $96.95
- News sentiment
- 43/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $112.23 (+16.9%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 46 analysts
Starbucks Corporation is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into SBUX?
At today's price, Starbucks Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 29.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.56% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 10.9% a year, so the market is asking for 18.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SBUX looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 29.6%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 10.9%
- Growth gap
- +18.7 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.56%
- Beta
- 0.90
Behaviour On Record
What SBUX's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 22.0% 52nd pct
- Below its peak
- -24.4%
- vs 200-day average
- -2.5%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Starbucks Corporation is currently running 22.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SBUX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 21.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
SBUX is trading -24.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.9%, and the deepest was -40.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -2.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year SBUX closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, SBUX finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.0% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: SBUX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 29 of 3,267 sessions (0.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.2% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, SBUX moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.8% and a largest of -2.9%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SBUX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of SBUX's sector?
Starbucks Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #10 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 10
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SBUX?
Seaport Global most recently initiated coverage on Starbucks Corporation to Neutral on Sep 16, 2026. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Seaport Global — Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
SBUX Competitive Positioning
- SBUXyou're hereStarbucks Corporation$110.2B+0.19%
- YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$38.4B+0.05%
- DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$23.6B+0.15%
- TXRHTexas Roadhouse Inc.$11.1B+0.79%
- DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$9.8B+0.39%
- CAVACAVA Group, Inc.$5.8B+0.60%