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DRI·Darden Restaurants, Inc.

$200.46
-2.68 (-1.32%)
High
$203.00
Open
$202.38
Market Cap
22.66B
52W High
$229.77
Low
$199.72
P. Close
$200.46
P/E
19.17
52W Low
$169.00
Fwd P/E
16.38
DailyIQ Est.
$240.77
Inst. Ownership
56.2%
Short Interest
5.43%
Days to Cover
5.6
Technical Score (1D)
32
BEARISH
News Sentiment
35
BEARISH
DRI scores 32 on the 1D chart, with a SELL signal and declining momentum driving the bearish price trend. The setup is compressed - not oversold, and not showing the kind of exhaustion that typically precedes a sustainable bounce. Sentiment at 35 is aligned with the technical picture, reinforcing the view that both the price action and the news backdrop are pointing the same direction. That kind of confirmed alignment tends to make rallies short-lived and selling pressure more persistent. Traders positioned to the downside are watching $190.82 as the next meaningful reference - a break below that level would likely extend the current leg. Any recovery toward $211.12 should be evaluated carefully before treating it as a reversal rather than a continuation of the downtrend. Short sellers watching DRI are less concerned with catching the exact bottom than with managing risk against $211.12 - a level that, if reclaimed, would force a reassessment of the whole thesis. Until then, the alignment between declining momentum and aligned with sentiment gives the downside case more conviction than a purely technical or purely news-driven read would on its own.
LOW TARGET
$163 -18.7%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$233 +16.4%
19 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$276 +37.7%
13 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$163.00 - $276.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
10/10/12/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$240.77 (+20.1%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
DRI
Description
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is a leading operator of full-service dining establishments across the United States and Canada. The company's portfolio features a diverse collection of well-known brands, including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, among others. Darden's value proposition centers on providing a variety of dining experiences, from casual to upscale, catering to a broad consumer base. Established in 1938, the company has built a strong competitive position in the restaurant industry, offering a wide array of choices under different brands. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Darden Restaurants, Inc. continues to maintain a significant presence in the North American dining market.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
114,141 shares
$23.3M
Madonna John W.SVP, Corporate Controller
Gift75 shares2026-09-29
Madonna John W.SVP, Corporate Controller
Gift510 shares2026-09-28
ATKINS M SHAN-
Award/Grant936 shares2026-09-23
FOGARTY JAMES P-
Award/Grant936 shares2026-09-23
JAMISON CYNTHIA T-
Award/Grant1,404 shares2026-09-23
68/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
20.3%
Net Margin
9.1%
Revenue CAGR
3.9%
Current Ratio
0.31x
Debt / Equity
1.06x
Return on Equity
54.7%
Earnings Summary
Darden Restaurants, Inc. operates a portfolio of full‑service dining brands such as Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and Cheddar’s Scratch Kitchen, positioning it as a major player in the North American consumer‑cyclical restaurant sector. The company’s strategy centers on delivering diverse dining experiences across casual to upscale segments, leveraging brand recognition to sustain traffic and revenue. In Q1 2025 DRI reported earnings of $2.80 per share, narrowly beating the $2.795 estimate, while revenue rose to $3.158 billion, reflecting a modest uptick from prior periods. Q2 2025 continued this trend with $2.98 EPS versus a $2.967 estimate and revenue of $3.271 billion, marking the second consecutive quarter of earnings beats and revenue growth. However, Q3 2025 saw a reversal: EPS fell to $1.97 against a $2.011 estimate and revenue dipped to $3.045 billion, indicating a slowdown in both profitability and top line. Q4 2025 EPS of $2.08 slightly missed the $2.097 estimate, with revenue at $3.102 billion, suggesting a modest rebound in earnings but a continued decline in revenue momentum. The most recent Q2 2026 results showed EPS of $2.08 versus a $2.124 estimate and revenue of $3.102 billion versus a $3.101 billion estimate, essentially flat, while Q3 2026 EPS of $2.95 beat the $2.941 estimate and revenue of $3.345 billion surpassed the $3.330 billion estimate, indicating a recovery in earnings and top line. Historically, DRI has posted YoY revenue growth of roughly 3–4% in the last few years, with EPS growth fluctuating around 5–10% when beats occur, but the company has experienced a pattern of earnings misses in the latter half of fiscal years, often accompanied by margin compression. Recent news highlights a Q1 2027 earnings miss of $2.05 versus a $2.06 estimate, prompting a 3% stock decline and downward revisions to price targets by major banks; analysts also flagged concerns over free cash flow sufficiency for dividends and noted that higher labor and food costs have pressured operating and free‑cash‑flow margins, though potential commodity cost reductions from policy changes may help.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.82$2.14$2.46$2.78$3.10Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$2.25 - -
Q1'27$2.32$2.05-11.6%
Q3'26$2.94$2.95+0.3%
Q2'26$2.12$2.08-2.0%
Q4'25$2.10$2.08-0.8%
Q3'25$2.01$1.97-2.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$3.1B$3.2B$3.3B$3.4BQ3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$3.3B - -
Q1'27$3.2B$3.2B-1.2%
Q3'26$3.3B$3.3B+0.4%
Q2'26$3.1B$3.1B+0.0%
Q4'25 - $3.1B -
Q3'25 - $3.0B -

Market Data

DRI Stock Snapshot

BEARISH32/100
$200.46−$2.68 (1.3%)
Market cap
22.66B
P/E ratio
19.2
Day range
$199.72 – $203.00
News sentiment
35/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$233.44 (+16.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 34 analysts
52-week range+18.6% off low · -12.8% from high
$169.00$229.77
Price $200.46 DailyIQ Est. $240.77

The trend on DRI is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into DRI?

FAIR

At today's price, Darden Restaurants, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 6.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.03% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.5% a year, so the market is asking for 2.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DRI looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
6.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
9.5%
Growth gap
-2.7 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
8.03%
Beta
0.62

Behaviour On Record

What DRI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.1% 81st pct
Below its peak
-12.2%
vs 200-day average
-2.1%
Up days (1y)
50%

Darden Restaurants, Inc. is currently running 33.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DRI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 81st percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DRI is trading -12.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.3%, and the deepest was -69.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -2.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 23rd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DRI closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, DRI finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.5% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.6% on average, its weakest March at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DRI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 126 of 3,267 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.4% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DRI moved an average of 2.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.5% and a largest of -5.3%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DRI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DRI's sector?

Darden Restaurants, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
45

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DRI?

CallsPuts

For Darden Restaurants, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.62), with at-the-money implied volatility around 3.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $202.00–$204.00.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.62
ATM implied volatility
3.1%
Total open interest
8,838
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.5% ($202.00–$204.00)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DRI?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Darden Restaurants, Inc. to Buy on Sep 25, 2026 with a price target of $247 (from $248). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 25, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$248 → $247
Sep 25, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedBuy$235
Sep 25, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$235 → $245
Sep 25, 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainedBuy$255 → $260
Sep 25, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$225 → $220
Sep 25, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$235
Sep 25, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedEqual-Weight$220
Sep 24, 2026TD CowenReiteratedHold$215
Sep 21, 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainedBuy$255
Sep 16, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$240
Sep 15, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$235 → $245
Sep 14, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$236 → $255

DRI Competitive Positioning

Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) is tracked alongside these names in Restaurants on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

35/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Baird reduced its price target for Darden Restaurants from $250 to $225 while keeping an outperform rating. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers. The adjustment signals a modest headwind for DRI’s valuation but does not alter its overall positive outlook.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants reported fiscal first‑quarter results that fell slightly below Wall Street expectations, with adjusted EPS of $2.05 versus a $2.06 estimate and revenue of $3.20 billion against a $3.21 billion forecast. The company experienced a 3.1% compound growth rate, down from the 4.6% growth recorded a quarter earlier, indicating a deceleration in performance. Despite the miss, every business unit posted positive growth, and the CEO highlighted that the company absorbed an 80‑basis‑point hit from World Cup‑related disruption and a Cyclospora‑linked lettuce scare. The market reaction saw shares dip up to 5% before moderating to a 2% decline after the earnings call comments.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants reported a first‑quarter earnings miss that has prompted analysts to question whether the current share price reflects the chain’s future cash‑flow potential. The company’s slower growth at Olive Garden and continued marketing spend have tightened free‑cash‑flow availability. Share buyback activity remains robust, but the earnings shortfall suggests investors may need to reassess the valuation multiple. The market’s reaction indicates a moderate negative outlook for the stock.
What did this article say?
On September 27, analysts compared the dividend sustainability of Darden Restaurants (DRI) and Starbucks (SBUX). DRI’s free cash flow was insufficient to fully fund its higher dividend payout, while Starbucks maintained a stronger cash flow position. The comparison highlighted DRI’s potential risk of dividend cuts or reduced buybacks. The analysis suggested that investors seeking reliable dividend income might favor Starbucks over DRI. The article concluded that DRI’s dividend quality was a concern amid recent market selloffs.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants reported robust same‑restaurant sales in every segment for fiscal Q1 2027 and reaffirmed its full‑year earnings guidance. The company maintained a $1.62 quarterly dividend and continued aggressive share repurchases, underscoring its commitment to returning cash to shareholders. Analysts remained broadly positive, viewing the post‑earnings price pullback as a potential buying opportunity amid expectations of sustained growth and profitability.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants reported Q1 2027 revenue up 5.1% to $3.20 B with blended same‑restaurant sales rising 3.1%, driven by Yard House and LongHorn. Margins were mixed and the outlook for growth appeared underwhelming, reflecting broader macroeconomic pressures. Shareholder returns remained attractive with a dividend and buybacks, but the company’s valuation was deemed fairly level.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants Inc. (DRI) reported first‑quarter fiscal 2027 earnings of $2.05 per share, falling short of the $2.06 consensus estimate. The miss triggered a 3% decline in DRI’s stock price on September 25. The earnings shortfall was the primary driver of the negative market reaction, with no other material events disclosed in the report.
What did this article say?
Citigroup analyst Jon Tower kept a Buy recommendation for Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI) but reduced the price target from $248 to $247. The downgrade reflects a modest view that the company’s valuation should be slightly lower than previously expected. The change does not alter the overall positive stance on the stock, but signals a more conservative outlook on future earnings growth. Investors may interpret the adjustment as a cautious reassessment of DRI’s valuation metrics.
What did this article say?
Darden Restaurants (DRI) reported Q3 2026 revenue of $3.2 billion, matching analysts’ expectations, but GAAP earnings per share fell short by $0.03, reflecting a 1.3% miss. Operating margin contracted to 10% from 11.1% year‑on‑year, while same‑store sales grew 3.1%. The company’s full‑year guidance remained near consensus, suggesting management views the miss as a temporary setback.
What did this article say?
Citigroup reduced its price target for Darden Restaurants (DRI) from $248 to $247 while keeping a buy rating. The change reflects a modest adjustment in the bank’s valuation assumptions. The slight downward revision does not alter the overall positive outlook for the company. The update signals confidence in DRI’s business model but indicates a more conservative earnings forecast. The move is unlikely to materially impact investor sentiment.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

32
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $12.59B combined position · 15 adding, 8 trimming, 2 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Capital World Investors▲ Buy15,169,44413.46%$3.13B2026-08-12
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy14,063,35512.48%$2.59B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy9,781,6068.68%$2.02B2026-08-07
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell3,884,0703.45%$800.16M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy3,460,0253.07%$711.36M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell3,163,9862.81%$651.81M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy2,006,7581.78%$412.79M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy1,880,7621.67%$387.46M2026-08-13
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell1,665,2431.48%$343.06M2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell1,373,0061.22%$282.85M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy784,6410.70%$161.64M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy745,2270.66%$153.00M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy716,2560.64%$147.56M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell656,0680.58%$135.16M2026-08-12
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy533,4710.47%$109.90M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy518,4010.46%$106.80M2026-08-03
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell480,9110.43%$99.07M2026-08-13
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy351,3420.31%$72.38M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold322,1300.29%$66.36M2026-09-02
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy309,4200.27%$63.74M2026-08-13
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell233,0990.21%$48.02M2026-08-14
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▲ Buy197,1040.17%$40.61M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.• Hold132,6830.12%$26.01M2026-05-15
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell123,6970.11%$24.25M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy110,9050.10%$21.74M2026-05-15
Q2 2026 flow:1.73M sh bought ($356.37M)3.78M sh sold ($779.52M)net -2.05M sh (−$423.15M)
Congressional Trading Activity
11 disclosed trades · ~$112.5K est. traded value · 6 buys, 5 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▼ Sell$15K - $50K2026-04-092026-05-19
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-272026-07-21
Rick LarsenHouseWA02▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-01-072026-01-14
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-312025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-09-252025-10-22
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-07-222025-08-13
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-07-162025-08-13
Rob BresnahanHousePA08▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-04-082025-05-08
Rob BresnahanHousePA08▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-01-132025-02-13