DRI|Analyst Targets
DRI|Company Info
DRI|Insider Trading
DRI|Fundamentals
DRI|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $2.25 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $2.32 | $2.05 | -11.6% |
| Q3'26 | $2.94 | $2.95 | +0.3% |
| Q2'26 | $2.12 | $2.08 | -2.0% |
| Q4'25 | $2.10 | $2.08 | -0.8% |
| Q3'25 | $2.01 | $1.97 | -2.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $3.3B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $3.2B | $3.2B | -1.2% |
| Q3'26 | $3.3B | $3.3B | +0.4% |
| Q2'26 | $3.1B | $3.1B | +0.0% |
| Q4'25 | - | $3.1B | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.0B | - |
DRI|Monthly Returns
Market Data
DRI Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 22.66B
- P/E ratio
- 19.2
- Day range
- $199.72 – $203.00
- News sentiment
- 35/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $233.44 (+16.5%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 34 analysts
The trend on DRI is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into DRI?
At today's price, Darden Restaurants, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 6.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.03% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.5% a year, so the market is asking for 2.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DRI looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 6.8%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 9.5%
- Growth gap
- -2.7 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.03%
- Beta
- 0.62
Behaviour On Record
What DRI's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 33.1% 81st pct
- Below its peak
- -12.2%
- vs 200-day average
- -2.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 50%
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is currently running 33.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DRI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 81st percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
DRI is trading -12.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.3%, and the deepest was -69.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -2.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 23rd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DRI closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On October specifically: over 13 years of records, DRI finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.5% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.6% on average, its weakest March at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: DRI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 126 of 3,267 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.4% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DRI moved an average of 2.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.5% and a largest of -5.3%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DRI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of DRI's sector?
Darden Restaurants, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #7 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 45
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DRI?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Darden Restaurants, Inc. to Buy on Sep 25, 2026 with a price target of $247 (from $248). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
DRI Competitive Positioning
- DRIyou're hereDarden Restaurants, Inc.$22.7B-1.32%
- MCDMcDonald's Corporation$164.2B-0.41%
- CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$39.2B-1.13%
- YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$38.7B+0.15%
- ARMKAramark$14.6B-1.03%
- TXRHTexas Roadhouse Inc.$10.5B-0.65%
Held by These ETFs
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital World Investors | ▲ Buy | 15,169,444 | 13.46% | $3.13B | 2026-08-12 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 14,063,355 | 12.48% | $2.59B | 2026-01-29 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | ▲ Buy | 9,781,606 | 8.68% | $2.02B | 2026-08-07 |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | ▼ Sell | 3,884,070 | 3.45% | $800.16M | 2026-08-14 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | ▲ Buy | 3,460,025 | 3.07% | $711.36M | 2026-08-12 |
| Bank of America Corp | ▼ Sell | 3,163,986 | 2.81% | $651.81M | 2026-08-14 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | ▲ Buy | 2,006,758 | 1.78% | $412.79M | 2026-08-12 |
| Morgan Stanley | ▲ Buy | 1,880,762 | 1.67% | $387.46M | 2026-08-13 |
| Northern Trust Corp | ▼ Sell | 1,665,243 | 1.48% | $343.06M | 2026-08-13 |
| Invesco Ltd. | ▼ Sell | 1,373,006 | 1.22% | $282.85M | 2026-08-14 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 784,641 | 0.70% | $161.64M | 2026-08-14 |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | ▲ Buy | 745,227 | 0.66% | $153.00M | 2026-08-14 |
| Wells Fargo & Company | ▲ Buy | 716,256 | 0.64% | $147.56M | 2026-08-14 |
| Norges Bank | ▼ Sell | 656,068 | 0.58% | $135.16M | 2026-08-12 |
| Susquehanna International Group, LLP | ▲ Buy | 533,471 | 0.47% | $109.90M | 2026-08-14 |
| Citigroup Inc | ▲ Buy | 518,401 | 0.46% | $106.80M | 2026-08-03 |
| Neuberger Berman Group LLC | ▼ Sell | 480,911 | 0.43% | $99.07M | 2026-08-13 |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | ▲ Buy | 351,342 | 0.31% | $72.38M | 2026-08-14 |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | • Hold | 322,130 | 0.29% | $66.36M | 2026-09-02 |
| FMR LLC (Fidelity) | ▲ Buy | 309,420 | 0.27% | $63.74M | 2026-08-13 |
| Squarepoint Ops LLC | ▼ Sell | 233,099 | 0.21% | $48.02M | 2026-08-14 |
| Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. | ▲ Buy | 197,104 | 0.17% | $40.61M | 2026-08-14 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | • Hold | 132,683 | 0.12% | $26.01M | 2026-05-15 |
| AllianceBernstein L.P. | ▼ Sell | 123,697 | 0.11% | $24.25M | 2026-08-14 |
| Marshall Wace, LLP | ▲ Buy | 110,905 | 0.10% | $21.74M | 2026-05-15 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gottheimer | House | NJ05 | ▼ Sell | $15K - $50K | 2026-04-09 | 2026-05-19 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | OK | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Rick Larsen | House | WA02 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-21 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-21 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-21 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-09-25 | 2025-10-22 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-07-22 | 2025-08-13 |
| Lisa McClain | House | MI09 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-07-16 | 2025-08-13 |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | PA08 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-04-08 | 2025-05-08 |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | PA08 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-01-13 | 2025-02-13 |