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DPZ·Domino's Pizza, Inc.

$334.96
-6.67 (-1.95%)
High
$341.63
Open
$329.77
Market Cap
11.21B
52W High
$442.35
Low
$328.02
P. Close
$334.96
P/E
18.39
52W Low
$282.00
Fwd P/E
16.07
DailyIQ Est.
$362.32
Inst. Own.
89.8%
Short Interest
7.08%
Days to Cover
2.5
Div. Yield
2.26%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 15
Div. Growth
12+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 13, 2026tone +2.7 vs prior release · 29 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
15
BEARISH
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
With a Technical Score of 15, Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) sits in the bottom tier of the momentum ranking on the 1D timeframe. The bearish bias and SELL signal follow from that rank, and trend strength reads as weak. Sentiment at 54 is diverging from the chart. Because the score is relative, it can stay low even in a rising market if DPZ keeps trailing its peers. $318.31 is the near-term floor and $344.83 is where a recovery attempt would meet its first test. DailyIQ's indicator breakdown shows how individual readings such as RSI (neutral range) and MACD (bearish) look right now. Those readings are context only and do not feed the Technical Score, which ranks DPZ's momentum against the rest of the universe.
LOW TARGET
$257 -23.3%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$356 +6.4%
24 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$425 +26.9%
11 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$257.00 - $425.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/11/18/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$362.32 (+8.2%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
DPZ
Description
Domino's Pizza Inc. is a global leader in the pizza industry, primarily operating through a franchise model across the United States and international markets. The company's core business centers on the sale of pizza and related food items, including bread products, chicken wings, pasta, sandwiches, and desserts, all branded under the Domino's name. This diverse menu is offered through a network of both company-owned and franchised stores, ensuring broad market coverage. Domino's also maintains a supply chain segment, supporting its operations with essential resources. Founded in 1960 and based in Ann Arbor, Michigan, Domino's has established a strong presence in the quick-service restaurant sector.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
35,518 shares
$11.4M
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGHChief Executive Officer
Option Exercise4,870 shares2026-11-02
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGHChief Executive Officer
Sell4,870 shares2026-11-02
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGHChief Executive Officer
Option Exercise4,870 shares2026-11-02
TRUMBULL KATHERINE EEVP, Chief Marketing Officer
Tax Withholding9 shares2026-11-02
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGHChief Executive Officer
Award/Grant10,170 shares2026-10-01
63/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
40.0%
Net Margin
12.2%
Revenue CAGR
10.2%
Current Ratio
1.65x
Debt / Equity
0.00x
Return on Equity
-15.4%
Earnings Summary
In recent quarters, Domino’s demonstrated resilient revenue growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.53574 billion beating the $1.53491 billion estimate, and Q2 2026 revenue of $1.19443 billion slightly above the $1.19054 billion estimate; however, EPS lagged behind expectations in Q1 and Q2 2026, falling short of the $4.35444 and $4.16912 estimates respectively. The company’s earnings pattern shows a mix of beats and misses: it beat EPS in Q1 2025, missed in Q2 2025, beat in Q3 2025, and narrowly missed in Q4 2025, indicating a volatile earnings trajectory. Historically, Domino’s has maintained year‑over‑year revenue growth, with Q3 2026 revenue up to $1.1856 billion versus the prior year, while EPS rose to $4.60 from $4.13, reflecting a positive earnings trend despite occasional misses. Recent news highlights a dividend yield of 2.5% and a $1.99 quarterly dividend, underscoring a disciplined capital‑return strategy; share repurchases under 2024 authorization further support shareholder value.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.58$4.39$5.20$6.01$6.81Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$6.44 - -
Q3'26$4.41$4.60+4.3%
Q2'26$4.17$4.07-2.4%
Q1'26$4.35$4.13-5.2%
Q4'25$5.43$5.35-1.4%
Q3'25$3.96$4.08+3.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.2B$1.4B$1.6B$1.8BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.7B - -
Q3'26$1.2B$1.2B-0.2%
Q2'26$1.2B$1.2B+0.3%
Q1'26$1.2B$1.2B-4.1%
Q4'25$1.5B$1.5B+0.1%
Q3'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

DPZ Stock Snapshot

BEARISH15/100
$334.96−$6.67 (2.0%)
Market cap
11.21B
P/E ratio
18.4
Day range
$328.02 – $341.63
News sentiment
54/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$356.48 (+6.4%)
Consensus
Hold · 37 analysts
52-week range+18.8% off low · -24.3% from high
$282.00$442.35
Price $334.96 DailyIQ Est. $362.32

Domino's Pizza, Inc. is trading in the lower half of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into DPZ?

CHEAP

At today's price, Domino's Pizza, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 0.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.56% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 4.5% a year, so the market is asking for 4.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DPZ looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
0.0%
Growth trend
4.5%
Growth gap
-4.5 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.56%
Beta
0.63

Behaviour On Record

What DPZ's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
46.4% 96th pct
Below its peak
-44.8%
vs 200-day average
-8.8%
Up days (1y)
46%

Domino's Pizza, Inc. is currently running 46.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DPZ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 96th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 25.0%.

DPZ is trading -44.8% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.0%, and the deepest was -45.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DPZ closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, DPZ finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.8% and an average of +6.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.4% on average, its weakest December at -1.6%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DPZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 81 of 3,268 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.0% and -9.9%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, DPZ moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +1.3% and a largest of +3.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DPZ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DPZ's sector?

Domino's Pizza, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DPZ?

CallsPuts

For Domino's Pizza, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 36.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $309.94–$357.44.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
1.14
ATM implied volatility
36.6%
Total open interest
3,388
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±7.1% ($309.94–$357.44)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect DPZ to earn?

Analysts expect Domino's Pizza, Inc. to earn $19.11 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $22.39 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 5 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$6.36$6.08 to $6.6421$1.67B23
Mar 2027$4.51$4.37 to $4.6216$1.18B16
Jun 2027$4.75$4.65 to $5.006~$1.20B-
Sep 2027$4.92$4.77 to $5.036~$1.25B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$19.11$18.80 to $19.4925$5.19B28
Dec 2027$20.69$19.89 to $21.5025$5.27B28
Dec 2028$22.39$21.96 to $22.755~$5.68B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DPZ?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Domino's Pizza, Inc. to Neutral on Oct 14, 2026 with a price target of $308 (from $335). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
2
Net rating momentum
-2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$335 → $308
Oct 14, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$420 → $380
Oct 14, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$350 → $320
Oct 14, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$357 → $345
Oct 14, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$325 → $320
Oct 14, 2026BairdMaintainedNeutral$325 → $320
Oct 14, 2026StoneXMaintainedBuy$430 → $400
Oct 14, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$455 → $410
Oct 14, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$425
Oct 13, 2026TD CowenReiteratedHold$320
Oct 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$350 → $325
Sep 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$380 → $350

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Domino's Pizza, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 13, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone85.5/ 100+2.7 vs prior release
Hedging words0.13per 100 words+0.02 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–91

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Diluted EPS was $4.60 in the third quarter of 2026 as compared to $4.08 in the third quarter of 2025, representing a $0.52, or 12.7%, increase.

  2. 2

    Income from operations increased $18.6 million, or 8.3%, in the third quarter of 2026 as compared to the third quarter of 2025.

  3. 3

    Net income increased $12.9 million, or 9.2%, in the third quarter of 2026 as compared to the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher income from operations.

Peers & ETF holders

DPZ peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about DPZ?

DPZ rose 10.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 37 and 97 from Oct 6 to Oct 22, then dropped to 45 on Oct 26.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$300$320$340Oct 6: tone 73Oct 7: tone 71Oct 8: tone 50Oct 9: tone 45Oct 12: tone 44Oct 13: tone 53Oct 14: tone 38Oct 15: tone 50Oct 16: tone 60Oct 19: tone 54Oct 20Oct 21: tone 51Oct 22: tone 97Oct 23Oct 26: tone 45Oct 27Oct 28: tone 50Oct 29: tone 34Oct 30: tone 44Nov 2Nov 3: tone 50Nov 4Nov 5: tone 0Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 13 -5.6%same day: Domino's Pizza® Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  2. Oct 20 +3.0%
  3. Nov 4 +5.5%

Technical analysis

How strong is DPZ's momentum right now?

On the daily chart DPZ ranks at the 15th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling DPZ?

75 of the 188 tracked managers added to DPZ in their latest 13F and 112 trimmed. Together they own 89.9% of the company, worth $8.9B. Fidelity and Soroban Capital Partners alone hold 20.3%.

75adding112trimming1unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of DPZ
  1. $1.2B positionAdded 61.1% last quarter
  2. $786.9M positionAdded 6.5% last quarter
  3. $715.7M positionAdded 2.1% last quarter
  4. $616.5M positionAdded 4.6% last quarter
  5. $595.8M positionAdded 11.7% last quarter
  6. $451.5M positionAdded 22.1% last quarter
  7. $386.6M positionTrimmed 4.5% last quarter
  8. $373.4M positionAdded 18.8% last quarter
  9. $341.5M positionAdded 37.3% last quarter
  10. $284.3M positionAdded 24.5% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading DPZ?

4 members of Congress disclosed 8 DPZ trades between May 5, 2020 and Sep 18, 2026: 5 buys and 3 sells, about $131.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells202120222023202420252026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has DPZ done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, DPZ returned +3.0%. Of the 7 related stocks, 5 did better, led by TXRH at +16.2%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6TXRH +16.2%DPZ +3.0%MCD −3.0%