DPZ|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.40 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.17 | $4.07 | -2.4% |
| Q1'26 | $4.35 | $4.13 | -5.2% |
| Q4'25 | $5.43 | $5.35 | -1.4% |
| Q3'25 | $3.96 | $4.08 | +3.2% |
| Q2'25 | $3.95 | $3.81 | -3.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.2B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.2B | $1.2B | +0.3% |
| Q1'26 | $1.2B | $1.2B | -4.1% |
| Q4'25 | $1.5B | $1.5B | +0.1% |
| Q3'25 | - | $1.1B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $1.1B | - |
DPZ|Monthly Returns
Market Data
DPZ Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 10.69B
- P/E ratio
- 17.9
- Day range
- $310.65 – $322.89
- News sentiment
- 61/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $381.00 (+22.3%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 37 analysts
Domino's Pizza, Inc. is trading near its 52-week low with momentum still pointing lower. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into DPZ?
At today's price, Domino's Pizza, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -0.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.23% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 17.7% a year, so the market is asking for 17.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DPZ looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -0.1%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 17.7%
- Growth gap
- -17.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.23%
- Beta
- 0.65
Behaviour On Record
What DPZ's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 38.4% 88th pct
- Below its peak
- -44.6%
- vs 200-day average
- -13.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 44%
Domino's Pizza, Inc. is currently running 38.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DPZ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 88th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 24.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
DPZ is trading -44.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.1%, and the deepest was -45.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -13.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 7th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DPZ closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, DPZ finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of -0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.5% on average, its weakest December at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: DPZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 81 of 3,268 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.0% and -9.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DPZ moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.4% and a largest of +3.7%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DPZ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of DPZ's sector?
Domino's Pizza, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #9 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 20
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DPZ?
TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on Domino's Pizza, Inc. to Hold on Sep 10, 2026 with a price target of $320 (from $310). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- TD Cowen — Hold
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 2
- Net rating momentum
- -2
