DailyIQ
Last updated 1 hour ago

DPZ·Domino's Pizza, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$317.50
Open
$316.62
Market Cap
10.53B
52W High
$496.00
Low
$312.02
P. Close
$316.52
P/E
17.79
52W Low
$297.48
Fwd P/E
15.09
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
9
SELL
News Sentiment
44
BEARISH
Domino's Pizza (DPZ) shares have seen a significant decline over the past year, underperforming the broader market. This trend persisted following Q1 results, which missed analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share, despite a modest year-over-year revenue increase. Management attributed the weaker-than-expected quarter to specific factors, leading to an immediate stock price drop. Adding to recent headwinds, a robotics company that had partnered with DPZ for automated pizza production has ceased operations and is liquidating its assets due to insolvency. This firm, which aimed for high-volume, low-staff pizza output, had previously secured substantial funding. The shutdown of this technological collaboration raises questions about the near-term feasibility and timeline of such automation initiatives within the food service industry. Investors will be watching for any updates on DPZ's strategy to address operational efficiencies and its broader approach to technological integration in light of this development.
Earnings Summary
Domino's Pizza Inc. is a global leader in the pizza industry, operating primarily through a franchise model and offering a diverse menu of pizza and related food items. As a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant sector, Domino's leverages its extensive network of company-owned and franchised stores, supported by a dedicated supply chain segment, to serve markets across the United States and internationally. The company's business model is centered on broad market coverage and brand recognition within the fast-casual dining space. In its recent earnings performance, Domino's demonstrated a mixed trend in its last two reported quarters compared to the prior two. For Q1 2026, the company reported an EPS of $4.13 against an estimate of $4.35, missing expectations, and revenue of $1.15 billion against an estimate of $1.20 billion, also a miss. This follows a Q4 2025 where EPS was $5.35 against an estimate of $5.43, a miss, and revenue of $1.54 billion against an estimate of $1.53 billion, a slight beat. Prior to this, Q3 2025 saw an EPS of $4.08 against an estimate of $3.96, a beat, and Q2 2025 reported an EPS of $3.81 against an estimate of $3.95, a miss. This pattern indicates some volatility in meeting analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue. Analyzing the historical streak, Domino's has shown a fluctuating growth trajectory. The company has experienced periods of both beating and missing analyst estimates for earnings per share. For instance, the most recent quarters show a trend of missing EPS estimates, contrasting with a beat in Q3 2025. While revenue estimates were not consistently provided for all historical quarters, the available data suggests a mixed performance in meeting revenue targets as well, with a beat in Q4 2025 and a miss in Q1 2026. There isn't a clear consistent pattern of revenue growth despite EPS misses based on the provided data. Recent news highlights significant strategic moves by Domino's. Berkshire Hathaway has fully exited its stake in the company, coinciding with Domino's announcement of a $1 billion share repurchase program and plans for over 175 net new U.S. stores in 2026. The company is also launching a World Cup promotion offering free pizzas tied to specific soccer events, requiring fan registration. These developments aim to reshape the company's investment narrative and drive consumer engagement amidst concerns about long-term revenue growth rates. Looking ahead, investors will be watching for the impact of the substantial share repurchase program and the planned store expansion on the company's financial performance and investment narrative. Key will be whether these initiatives can effectively offset concerns about future revenue increases and improve the company's growth trajectory. Additionally, the success of promotional campaigns in driving customer traffic and order volume will be a crucial factor to monitor in the upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.57$4.09$4.62$5.15$5.67Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$4.25 - -
Q1'26$4.35$4.13-5.2%
Q4'25$5.43$5.35-1.4%
Q3'25$3.96$4.08+3.2%
Q2'25$3.95$3.81-3.6%
Q1'25$4.07$4.33+6.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.0B$1.2B$1.3B$1.5B$1.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.2B - -
Q1'26$1.2B$1.2B-4.1%
Q4'25$1.5B$1.5B+0.1%
Q3'25 - $1.1B -
Q2'25 - $1.1B -
Q1'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

DPZ Stock Snapshot

DPZ is currently trading at $312.63, giving Domino's Pizza, Inc. a market cap of 10.53B and a P/E ratio of 17.8. Today's range spans $312.02–$317.50, with shares opening at $316.62 and moving down $3.89 (1.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 9/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 44/100.

Over the past year DPZ has traded between $297.48 and $496.00 - the current price is +5.1% off the 52-week low and -37.0% from the high.

When DPZ shows a SELL (9/100) alongside neutral sentiment (44/100), the right posture for most Consumer Cyclical investors is reduced exposure rather than conviction buying. Price: $312.63 (near 52-week lows). (P/E: 17.8) At 10.53B in capitalization, the structural support levels within the $297.48–$496.00 annual range are where the setup becomes reassessable - not before.

The current SELL phase for DPZ (9/100) at $312.63 (near 52-week lows) suggests that the market is discounting either a fundamental deterioration or a sector headwind that hasn't fully appeared in the earnings line yet. Sentiment at 44/100 (neutral) confirms that news flow is not providing a counternarrative. At 10.53B in Consumer Cyclical capitalization, DPZ has the liquidity for institutional exits to be orderly — but orderly doesn't mean shallow within the $297.48–$496.00 range.

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