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FANG·Diamondback Energy, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$199.90
Open
$197.10
Market Cap
55.01B
52W High
$214.51
Low
$194.23
P. Close
$199.79
P/E
193.69
52W Low
$134.30
Fwd P/E
11.68
DailyIQ Est.
$241.75
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
77
BULLISH
UBS just trimmed its price target for Diamondback Energy to $243 from $246, signaling a slightly more cautious valuation outlook. This modest cut comes after the firm’s recent assessment that the company’s earnings potential may not justify the higher valuation, which could temper short‑term upside expectations. Meanwhile, Susquehanna lifted its target to $255 from $245, reflecting renewed confidence in Diamondback’s future earnings and drilling activity. The divergent views from UBS and Susquehanna create uncertainty for traders, as the market must reconcile a cautious stance with an optimistic one. Citigroup’s earlier downgrade to $221, citing valuation concerns amid market volatility, adds a third perspective that underscores the volatility risk in the energy sector. These conflicting analyst positions suggest that Diamondback’s valuation is highly sensitive to upcoming earnings data and commodity price swings. In the next 1–10 trading days, the focus will be on the company’s earnings announcement, which will reveal production figures, cost trends, and drilling progress. Traders should also watch for any guidance on capital allocation or cost management that could validate or invalidate the differing price targets. Finally, monitoring broader oil and gas price movements will help gauge how Diamondback’s valuation may adjust in response to commodity volatility.
Earnings Summary
Diamondback Energy (FANG) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on the Permian Basin’s Spraberry, Wolfcamp, and Bone Spring plays, leveraging its expertise in unconventional formations to drive production growth. The company’s strategy centers on acquiring and developing onshore reserves within the prolific Midland and Delaware basins, positioning it as a key player in the U.S. energy sector. In the most recent quarters, Diamondback reported EPS of $3.64 in Q4 2024, beating the $3.38 estimate, and $4.54 in Q1 2025, surpassing the $4.20 forecast; however, EPS dipped to $2.67 in Q2 2025, missing the $2.72 estimate, before rising to $3.08 in Q3 2025, again exceeding the $2.94 target, and falling to $1.74 in Q4 2025, below the $2.00 estimate, before rebounding to $4.23 in Q1 2026, well above the $3.37 projection. Revenue followed a similar pattern, growing from $3.71 B in Q4 2024 to $4.05 B in Q1 2025, declining to $3.68 B in Q2 2025, rising to $3.92 B in Q3 2025, falling to $3.38 B in Q4 2025, and climbing to $4.24 B in Q1 2026, reflecting the company’s sensitivity to commodity price swings and production cycles. Historically, Diamondback has delivered EPS beats in five of the last six quarters, while revenue growth has been uneven, underscoring a pattern of strong earnings performance amid fluctuating top‑line results. Recent developments include the July 1 acquisition of Riverbend Oil & Gas IX assets, which expands the company’s Permian footprint and could enhance future production and royalty income, and analyst commentary that has seen price targets trimmed by JPMorgan, Truist, and Morgan Stanley amid concerns over earnings volatility, while Roth Capital and Argus Research have maintained bullish stances; the upcoming Aug 3 earnings release will be a key barometer for validating these expectations. Investors should watch for guidance on debt and capital allocation, the integration progress of the Riverbend assets, and oil‑price movements that could materially impact margins and production volumes in the next reporting period.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.09$2.50$3.90$5.31$6.71Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$6.06 - -
Q1'26$3.37$4.23+25.5%
Q4'25$2.00$1.74-13.2%
Q3'25$2.94$3.08+4.6%
Q2'25$2.72$2.67-2.0%
Q1'25$4.20$4.54+8.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$3.6B$4.1B$4.7B$5.2BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.0B - -
Q1'26$3.8B$4.2B+10.8%
Q4'25$3.3B$3.4B+3.7%
Q3'25 - $3.9B -
Q2'25 - $3.7B -
Q1'25 - $4.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

FANG Stock Snapshot

FANG is currently trading at $199.80, giving Diamondback Energy, Inc. a market cap of 55.01B and a P/E ratio of 193.7. Today's range spans $194.23–$199.90, with shares opening at $197.10 and moving up $0.01 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 77/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 77/100.

Over the past year FANG has traded between $134.30 and $214.51 - the current price is +48.8% off the 52-week low and -6.9% from the high. 38 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $231.71 (range $186.00–$272.00), implying upside of +16.0%.

The breakout geometry on FANG is constructive - price at $199.80 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range in $134.30–$214.51), scoring 77/100 (BUY) with bullish sentiment (77/100). (P/E: 193.7) At 55.01B in Energy market cap, technical breakouts through prior resistance at this capitalization tier tend to be better validated than in smaller-cap peers - institutional participation means that cleared levels attract follow-through buying rather than immediate fade behavior.

The combination of a BUY signal (77/100) and bullish news sentiment (77/100) puts FANG on the screens of active managers who run quality-momentum overlays — a cohort that can build meaningful positions at 55.01B in Energy market cap without immediately moving the stock. At $199.80 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range in the $134.30–$214.51 range), the entry discipline is clean and the potential re-rating if sentiment continues to improve is meaningful.