FANG·Diamondback Energy, Inc.
FANG|Analyst Targets
FANG|Company Info
FANG|Insider Trading
FANG|Fundamentals
FANG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $6.15 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $5.57 | $5.86 | +5.2% |
| Q2'26 | $5.98 | $6.48 | +8.3% |
| Q1'26 | $3.37 | $4.23 | +25.5% |
| Q4'25 | $2.00 | $1.74 | -13.2% |
| Q3'25 | $2.94 | $3.08 | +4.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $4.9B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $4.7B | $5.4B | +14.7% |
| Q2'26 | $5.0B | $5.6B | +10.8% |
| Q1'26 | $3.8B | $4.2B | +10.8% |
| Q4'25 | $3.3B | $3.4B | +3.7% |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.9B | - |
FANG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
FANG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 51.07B
- P/E ratio
- 34.8
- Day range
- $182.20 – $182.20
- News sentiment
- 67/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $238.90 (+31.1%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 41 analysts
Price is in the middle of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into FANG?
At today's price, Diamondback Energy, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -8.8% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.61% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 19.1% a year, so the market is asking for 27.9 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis FANG looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -8.8%
- Growth trend
- 19.1%
- Growth gap
- -27.9 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.61%
- Beta
- 0.76
Behaviour On Record
What FANG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 42.1% 65th pct
- Below its peak
- -13.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -2.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Diamondback Energy, Inc. is currently running 42.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FANG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 36.6%.
FANG is trading -13.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.6%, and the deepest was -82.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -2.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 35th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FANG closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, FANG finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.9% and an average of +2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +6.1% on average, its weakest March at -2.1%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: FANG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 245 of 3,268 sessions (7.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +14.8% and -12.4%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, FANG moved an average of 2.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 4 times, with a median move of -2.3% and a largest of -3.7%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FANG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of FANG's sector?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 18
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect FANG to earn?
Analysts expect Diamondback Energy, Inc. to earn $22.51 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $15.90 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FANG?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Diamondback Energy, Inc. to Buy on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $260 (from $256). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- UBS: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Diamondback Energy, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Increased annual base dividend by 7.3% to $4.72 per share; marks an 18% year over year increase and a ~2.2% annualized yield 2
New this quarter - 2
markets; regional supply and demand factors, including delays, curtailments or interruptions of production, or governmental orders, rules or regulations that impose production limits; federal and state legislative and regulatory initiatives relating to hydraulic fracturing, including the effect of existing and future laws and governmental regulations; physical and transition risks relating to climate change, changing political and social perspectives on climate change and other environmental, social and governance factors, and risks from our publicly disclosed targets related to sustainability and emissions reduction initiatives; challenges in developing our existing leasehold acreage and finding, developing or acquiring additional reserves; restrictions on the use of water, including limits on the use of produced water and a moratorium on new produced water disposal well permits recently imposed by the Texas Railroad Commission in an effort to control induced seismicity in the Permian Basin; significant declines in prices for oil, natural gas, or natural gas liquids, which could require recognition of significant impairment charges; conditions in the capital, financial and credit markets, including the availability and pricing of capital for acquisitions, exploration and development operations; challenges with employee retention and an increasingly competitive labor market; changes in availability or cost of rigs, equipment, raw materials, supplies and oilfield services; changes in safety, health, environmental, tax and other regulations or requirements (including those addressing air emissions, water management, or the impact of global climate change); security threats, including cybersecurity threats and disruptions to our business and operations from breaches of our information technology systems, or from breaches of information technology systems of third parties with whom we transact business; lack of, or disruption in, access to adequate and reliable electrical power, internet and telecommunication infrastructure, information and computer systems, transportation, processing, storage and other facilities for our oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; failures or delays in achieving expected reserve or production levels from existing and future oil and natural gas developments, including due to operating hazards, drilling risks, or the inherent uncertainties in predicting reserve and reservoir performance; inability to keep pace with technological developments in our industry; failure to meet our obligations under our oil purchase contracts; loss of one or more customers or their inability to meet their obligations; geographical concentration of our primary operations; risks from our return of capital activity, and uncertainties over our future dividends and share repurchases; difficulty in obtaining necessary approvals and permits; severe weather conditions and natural disasters; changes in the financial strength of counterparties to our credit facilities and hedging contracts; our substantial indebtedness and restrictions to our operating and financial flexibility; changes in our credit rating; failure to identify, complete and successfully integrate acquisitions, including Viper’s Riverbend acquisition, Viper's McElroy Ranch acquisition and Viper’s Sitio acquisition; the Endeavor stockholders’ ability to significantly influence our business and potential conflicts of interest; and other risks described in Part I, Item 1A of Diamondback’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on February 25, 2026, and those risks disclosed in its subsequent filings on Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K, which can be obtained free of charge on the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov and Diamondback’s website at www.diamondbackenergy.com/investors.
New this quarterNegative tone - 3
Diamondback announced today that the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) approved a 7.3% increase to the Company's base cash dividend, raising it to $1.18 per common share for the third quarter of 2026, payable on November 19, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 12, 2026.
Peers & ETF holders
FANG peers & ETF holders
Oil & Gas E&PMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about FANG?
FANG fell 2.5% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 30 and 100 from Oct 6 to Oct 15, then dropped to 0 on Oct 16.
- Oct 16 +4.5%
- Nov 2 -6.1%same day: Letter to Stockholders Issued by Diamondback Energy, Inc.
- Nov 4 -4.9%same day: FANG Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Capital Discipline and Permian Growth
Technical analysis
How strong is FANG's momentum right now?
On the daily chart FANG ranks at the 77th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling FANG?
110 of the 199 tracked managers added to FANG in their latest 13F and 85 trimmed. Together they own 62.3% of the company, worth $30.8B. BlackRock and Wellington Management alone hold 12.6%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.6.70%$3.3B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
- $2.9B positionAdded 31.3% last quarter
- $2.2B positionAdded 0.3% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp4.48%$2.2B positionAdded 4.2% last quarter
- 5Invesco Ltd.3.99%$2.0B positionAdded 88.9% last quarter
- $1.7B positionTrimmed 0.1% last quarter
- 7Capital World Investors3.19%$1.6B positionAdded 135.6% last quarter
- 8Boston Partners2.09%$1.0B positionAdded 1.4% last quarter
- $943.4M positionAdded 1.2% last quarter
- 10FMR LLC (Fidelity)1.64%$807.6M positionTrimmed 5.8% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading FANG?
3 members of Congress disclosed 4 FANG trades between Apr 8 and Dec 22, 2025: 1 buy and 3 sells, about $32.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has FANG done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, FANG returned −12.8%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by MPC at +44.8%.
- 1MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporationup 44.8%+57.7 pts
- 2VLOValero Energy Corporationup 39.9%+52.8 pts
- 3PSXPhillips 66up 37.3%+50.1 pts
- 4CVXChevron Corporationup 11.2%+24.0 pts
- 5COPConocoPhillipsup 10.5%+23.3 pts
- 6XOMExxon Mobil Corporationup 7.2%+20.1 pts
- 7XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fundup 4.3%+17.1 pts
- 8CNQCanadian Natural Resources Limitedup 2.5%+15.4 pts
- 13FANGThis stockdown 12.8%
- 16OIHVanEck Oil Services ETFdown 21.0%−8.1 pts