DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

FOXA·Fox Corporation

$68.54
+2.60 (+3.94%)
Overnight$68.34-0.20 (-0.29%)
High
$68.74
Open
$67.06
Market Cap
26.14B
52W High
$76.39
Low
$65.05
P. Close
$68.54
P/E
15.51
52W Low
$48.34
Fwd P/E
11.63
DailyIQ Est.
$78.60
Inst. Ownership
39.2%
Short Interest
11.90%
Days to Cover
8.6
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
Fox’s latest outlook from Zacks underscores a continued digital content boom that is lifting the company’s revenue prospects, driven by higher internet speeds and growing mobile consumption. The firm’s diverse content mix—spanning scripted series, live sports, and news—positions it well to capture this expanding audience base. Technology integration, including advanced streaming platforms and data analytics, is expected to enhance user engagement and monetization efficiency. Advertising revenue remains modest, but the report notes incremental improvements as Fox refines its ad‑tech stack and targets high‑value demographics. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely interpret these factors as a signal of near‑term top‑line growth, potentially supporting a bullish stance on the stock. Investors should watch for any updates on Fox’s streaming subscriber numbers, as this metric directly reflects the effectiveness of its content and tech strategy. Additionally, keep an eye on advertising spend trends in the media sector, which could influence Fox’s ad revenue trajectory. Finally, monitor any regulatory or competitive developments that could impact streaming rights or advertising dynamics, as these could alter the company’s growth outlook.
Earnings Summary
Fox Corporation, a U.S. media enterprise focused on news, sports, and entertainment, operates through cable network programming, a broadcast network, and streaming services such as Tubi, while also engaging in consumer finance and studio production. In the last two quarters, the company posted EPS of $1.27 in Q2 2025 and $1.51 in Q3 2025, both well above analyst expectations of $0.998 and $1.099 respectively, and revenue of $3.287B and $3.738B, reflecting a 12% and 14% YoY increase from the prior year’s $2.93B and $3.24B. The trend of beating estimates continued, with four consecutive quarters of EPS beats and revenue growth, underscoring a strengthening earnings outlook. Historically, Fox has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with EPS often exceeding forecasts even when revenue growth slowed, as seen in Q1 2025 where EPS beat expectations despite a modest revenue decline. Recent news highlights include upgrades from Wells Fargo and JP Morgan to Overweight with raised price targets, driven by expectations of stronger earnings momentum and improved margin dynamics; a partnership with Gracenote to embed advanced content discovery and programmatic CTV advertising across Tubi and FOX One; and the launch of an always‑on attribution tool with iSpot, all aimed at boosting ad revenue and user engagement. Investors should watch the next earnings release for confirmation of the upgraded outlook, the adoption rate of the new ad measurement platform, and any updates on the NFL broadcast rights extension, as these factors will influence margin expansion and advertising spend. The company’s ability to translate content and advertising initiatives into tangible revenue growth will be key to sustaining the bullish sentiment and valuation premium observed by analysts.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.31$0.73$1.15$1.56$1.98Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.50 - -
Q4'26$1.45$1.79+23.7%
Q3'26$0.99$1.32+33.9%
Q3'25$1.10$1.51+37.4%
Q2'25$1.00$1.27+27.3%
Q1'25$0.90$1.10+22.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$3.6B$4.2B$4.8B$5.4BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.2B - -
Q4'26$3.7B$4.2B+13.4%
Q3'26$3.9B$4.0B+2.6%
Q3'25 - $3.7B -
Q2'25 - $3.3B -
Q1'25 - $4.4B -

Market Data

FOXA Stock Snapshot

BUY77/100
$68.34$0.20 (0.3%)
Market cap
26.14B
P/E ratio
15.5
Day range
$65.05 – $68.74
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$75.33 (+10.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 28 analysts
52-week range+41.4% off low · -10.5% from high
$48.34$76.39
Price $68.34 DailyIQ Est. $78.60

Fox Corporation screens well technically, with price sitting in the upper part of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FOXA?

FAIR

At today's price, Fox Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 2.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.71% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.2% a year, so the market is asking for 0.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FOXA looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
2.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.2%
Growth gap
+0.0 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.71%
Beta
0.71

Behaviour On Record

What FOXA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
32.1% 67th pct
Below its peak
-11.0%
vs 200-day average
+6.9%
Up days (1y)
55%

Fox Corporation is currently running 32.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FOXA's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 67th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 27.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FOXA is trading -11.0% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.1%, and the deepest was -49.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 60th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year FOXA closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 7 years of records, FOXA finished the month higher 5 of 7 times, with a median return of +1.4% and an average of +0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +5.7% on average, its weakest February at -4.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FOXA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 1,886 sessions (6.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.7% and -7.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FOXA moved an average of 4.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.6% and a largest of -7.4%.

All figures computed from 1,887 daily closes between 2019-03-13 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FOXA's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FOXA's sector?

Fox Corporation sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FOXA?

CallsPuts

For Fox Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 31 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 6.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±1.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $64.43–$66.83.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.00
ATM implied volatility
6.3%
Total open interest
1
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±1.8% ($64.43–$66.83)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FOXA?

Guggenheim most recently reiterated its rating on Fox Corporation to Buy on Aug 25, 2026 with a price target of $85. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 3 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
GuggenheimBuy
90-day upgrades
3
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
+2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 25, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedBuy$85
Aug 14, 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$65 → $80
Aug 14, 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$70 → $82
Aug 7, 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeBuy → Neutral-
Jul 6, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$71 → $65
Jul 1, 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform → Outperform$71
Jun 15, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$67 → $60
May 12, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$70 → $73
May 12, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$69 → $70
May 12, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$63 → $67
May 12, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$67 → $71
Mar 27, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$75 → $67

FOXA Competitive Positioning

Fox Corporation (FOXA) is tracked alongside these names in Entertainment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.