DailyIQ
Last updatedjust now

LYV·Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

$169.18
-2.14 (-1.25%)
High
$171.34
Open
$169.13
Market Cap
40.52B
52W High
$191.62
Low
$168.58
P. Close
$169.18
P/E
300.81
52W Low
$125.34
Fwd P/E
88.66
DailyIQ Est.
$208.89
Inst. Ownership
47.6%
Short Interest
10.10%
Days to Cover
11.9
Technical Score (1D)
59
BULLISH
News Sentiment
31
BEARISH
On Oct 13, Bernstein raised its price target for Live Nation Entertainment from $215 to $220, citing confidence in the company’s earnings outlook. The upgrade was announced without any other material events being disclosed. Bernstein’s adjustment signals a modest upside for investors according to the firm’s analysis. No other developments were reported for Live Nation Entertainment on that date.
LOW TARGET
$145 -14.3%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$202 +19.4%
20 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$222 +31.2%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$145.00 - $222.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/17/6/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$208.89 (+23.5%)
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
LYV
Description
Live Nation Entertainment is a global leader in the live entertainment industry, primarily generating revenue through three core segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment focuses on producing and promoting live music events in both owned and leased venues, including music festivals, and offers artist management services. The Ticketing segment, operating through brands like Ticketmaster, provides comprehensive ticketing solutions, including software, services, and a marketplace for event information and ticket resale. Finally, the Sponsorship & Advertising segment leverages the company's extensive network of venues and events to offer advertising opportunities and develop strategic sponsorship programs for brands, creating a diversified revenue stream. Incorporated in 2005 and headquartered in Beverly Hills, California, Live Nation Entertainment has established a significant presence in the live entertainment landscape.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
96,039 shares
$16.7M
Rapino MichaelPresident & CEO
Award/Grant117,805 shares2026-10-01
Capo BrianChief Accounting Officer
Sell2,900 shares2026-08-24
Rowles MichaelEVP & General Counsel
Tax Withholding1,084 shares2026-08-06
Hopmans JohnEVP, M&A and Strategic Finance
Tax Withholding3,970 shares2026-08-06
Berchtold JoePresident & CFO
Tax Withholding10,834 shares2026-08-06
61/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
2.0%
Revenue CAGR
11.9%
Current Ratio
1.00x
Debt / Equity
28.09x
Return on Equity
183.0%
Earnings Summary
Live Nation Entertainment, a global leader in live entertainment, generates revenue primarily through its Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising segments, positioning it within the broader Communication Services sector and Entertainment industry. The company’s business model centers on producing and promoting live music events, operating Ticketmaster, and leveraging its venue network for advertising and sponsorships. In the most recent quarter, Q4 2025, Live Nation reported earnings per share of -$1.06 versus an estimate of -$0.99, a slight miss, while revenue of $6.31351 billion beat the $6.17136 billion estimate, marking a 2.3% revenue increase from Q3 2025’s $8.49914 billion. Compared to the prior two quarters (Q2 and Q3 2025), the company’s EPS trend has been negative, with Q2 2025 at $0.41 and Q3 2025 at $0.73, both below expectations, whereas revenue has trended upward, rising from $7.006641 billion in Q2 to $8.49914 billion in Q3 and $6.31351 billion in Q4, reflecting a 12% YoY decline in Q4 but still outperforming estimates. Historically, Live Nation has shown a pattern of revenue growth even when EPS misses analyst forecasts, with a consistent YoY revenue increase of 5–10% over the past three years, while EPS has fluctuated between positive and negative territory. Recent news indicates a routine refinancing activity in early October 2026, with the company issuing senior notes to retire older debt and improve liquidity; this transaction is noted as having no immediate impact on earnings or guidance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.45$-0.61$0.24$1.08$1.92Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.53 - -
Q2'26$0.56$1.05+86.3%
Q1'26$-0.32$-0.32-1.3%
Q4'25$-0.99$-1.06-7.2%
Q3'25$1.49$0.73-51.1%
Q2'25$1.02$0.41-59.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.7B$4.7B$6.6B$8.6B$10.6BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$9.7B - -
Q2'26$7.5B$7.7B+1.7%
Q1'26$3.6B$3.8B+5.4%
Q4'25$6.2B$6.3B+2.3%
Q3'25 - $8.5B -
Q2'25 - $7.0B -

Market Data

LYV Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL59/100
$169.18−$2.14 (1.2%)
Market cap
40.52B
P/E ratio
300.8
Day range
$168.58 – $171.34
News sentiment
31/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$201.96 (+19.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 33 analysts
52-week range+35.0% off low · -11.7% from high
$125.34$191.62
Price $169.18 DailyIQ Est. $208.89

LYV is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LYV?

RICH

At today's price, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 54.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.57% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 19.1% a year, so the market is asking for 35.5 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LYV looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
54.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
19.1%
Growth gap
+35.5 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.57%
Beta
0.88

Behaviour On Record

What LYV's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
18.0% 12th pct
Below its peak
-9.5%
vs 200-day average
+4.0%
Up days (1y)
51%

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is currently running 18.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LYV's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 12th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 28.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LYV is trading -9.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.3%, and the deepest was -59.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year LYV closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LYV finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +6.8% on average, its weakest March at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LYV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 192 of 3,267 sessions (5.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.9% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, LYV moved an average of 4.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.6% and a largest of -7.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LYV's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LYV's sector?

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 10th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#10 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
18

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LYV?

CallsPuts

For Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.68), with at-the-money implied volatility around 35.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $166.08–$173.62.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.68
ATM implied volatility
35.8%
Total open interest
6,241
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±2.2% ($166.08–$173.62)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LYV?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. to Buy on Aug 3, 2026 with a price target of $212 (from $181). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$181 → $212
Jul 31, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$200 → $215
Jul 31, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$200 → $210
Jul 31, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$197 → $218
Jul 31, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$190 → $215
Jul 31, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedNeutral$186 → $187
Jul 31, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$215
Jul 23, 2026BTIGInitiatedBuy$215
Jul 22, 2026CitizensMaintainedMarket Outperform$190 → $215
Jul 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$180 → $205
Jul 21, 2026SusquehannaDowngradePositive → Neutral$181 → $186
Jul 20, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$181 → $208

Peers & ETF holders

LYV peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

31/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Bernstein increased its price target for Live Nation Entertainment from $215 to $220. The upgrade reflects confidence in the company's earnings outlook. The new target suggests a modest upside for investors. No other material events were reported.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) priced $730 million of 7.125% senior notes due 2032 and €600 million of 6.125% senior notes due 2032 on Oct. 8. The company plans to use the proceeds to retire its 6.5% senior secured notes due 2027, cover related fees, and fund general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to close on Oct. 15. This refinancing action is a routine capital‑structure adjustment with limited immediate impact on earnings or valuation.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment priced $730 million of 7.125% senior notes due 2032 and €600 million of 6.125% senior notes due 2032 on October 7, 2026. The notes were issued at par and will be used to fully redeem all outstanding 6.500% senior secured notes due 2027, cover offering fees, and provide general corporate purposes. The transaction is a routine refinancing move that does not materially alter the company’s financial outlook or debt profile.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment announced a private offering of $840 million in senior notes due 2032 and €500 million in senior notes due 2032. The proceeds will be used to redeem the company’s outstanding 6.5% senior secured notes due 2027 and for general corporate purposes. The issuance was a routine financing move with no immediate impact on earnings guidance.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment disclosed plans to offer $840 million in senior notes due 2032 and €500 million in senior notes due 2032. The company intends to use the net proceeds to fully redeem its outstanding 6.5% senior secured notes due 2027 and cover related fees. The offering is a standard debt refinancing activity with no material effect on the company’s financial outlook.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment’s share price, after a 93% rise, has recently retraced, prompting analysts to assess whether the current $168.77 level aligns with the company’s cash‑flow generation. The firm’s model of monetising live events, ticketing and sponsorships suggests that cash timing and durability could shift, potentially affecting valuation. Investors are debating whether the market is overpaying for future cash flows or if the stock remains fairly priced. The discussion highlights uncertainty around the sustainability of the company’s growth trajectory and its impact on shareholder value.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) achieved an average annual return of 22.4% over the past 15 years, outperforming the broader market by 8.97% on an annualized basis. The company’s stock has consistently delivered strong performance, reflecting robust event‑ticketing and venue operations. This historical growth underscores LYV’s resilience and its ability to generate shareholder value over long periods.
What did this article say?
The article discusses Live Nation’s market dominance and regulatory scrutiny, questioning LYV’s value proposition in this context.
What did this article say?
Live Nation’s revenue growth has decelerated to a 5.1% annualized rate over the past two years, falling short of its five‑year trend and signaling a potential slowdown in demand. Operating margins have weakened, adding further pressure on profitability. The analyst notes that these factors could lead to underperformance relative to peers, prompting a cautious stance on LYV for investors seeking stronger growth prospects.
What did this article say?
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) has recently outperformed its entertainment sector peers, according to a Yahoo analysis. The company’s performance has attracted strong analyst optimism, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock. This momentum reflects solid revenue growth and robust event attendance, positioning LYV favorably against competitors.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

59
NEUTRAL
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $14.80B combined position · 18 adding, 7 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy20,679,2548.74%$2.95B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy13,521,0605.72%$2.48B2026-08-07
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy10,702,5084.53%$1.96B2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy6,670,2972.82%$1.22B2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy4,750,2532.01%$869.82M2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy4,443,2381.88%$810.53M2026-08-12
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell3,236,9191.37%$590.93M2026-08-12
Capital World Investors▼ Sell2,349,3120.99%$430.18M2026-08-12
Norges Bank▲ Buy2,199,3350.93%$402.72M2026-08-12
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy2,072,3890.88%$379.48M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy1,900,6620.80%$348.03M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy1,891,9590.80%$346.44M2026-08-14
Sculptor Capital LP▼ Sell27,777,60011.74%$281.22M2026-08-14
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership▲ Buy1,515,2380.64%$277.46M2026-08-13
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell1,416,9110.60%$259.45M2026-08-13
Third Point LLC▲ Buy1,135,0000.48%$207.83M2026-08-14
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy1,111,1010.47%$203.45M2026-08-13
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy931,3460.39%$170.54M2026-08-03
Citadel Advisors LLC▼ Sell712,8770.30%$130.53M2026-09-02
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy680,1980.29%$124.55M2026-08-13
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell625,1400.26%$114.47M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy550,8680.23%$100.56M2026-08-14
ValueAct Holdings, L.P.▼ Sell302,0660.13%$55.31M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy260,0700.11%$47.62M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy237,3510.10%$43.46M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:7.29M sh bought ($1.34B)4.96M sh sold ($226.57M)net +2.33M sh (+$1.11B)
Congressional Trading Activity
11 disclosed trades · ~$255.0K est. traded value · 2 buys, 9 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$100K - $250K2026-08-252026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-172026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-142026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-07-212026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-07-202026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-06-122026-07-07
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-06-022026-07-07
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-06-012026-07-07
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-272026-07-21
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-12-022026-01-05
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-02-142025-03-20