KGC·Kinross Gold Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

49.5% 65th pct

Below its peak

-42.0%

vs 200-day average

-24.2%

Up days (1y)

50%

Kinross Gold Corporation is currently running 49.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against KGC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 43.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

KGC is trading -42.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -38.8%, and the deepest was -60.8% in 2014. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -24.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year KGC closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, KGC finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -5.6% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +8.3% on average, its weakest September at -1.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: KGC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 407 of 3,268 sessions (12.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.8% and -12.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against KGC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.