DailyIQ
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Sector:Basic MaterialsAll sectors
Last updated 4 minutes ago

LYB·LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$56.74
Open
$56.00
Market Cap
17.88B
52W High
$83.94
Low
$55.39
P. Close
$56.34
P/E
-
52W Low
$41.58
Fwd P/E
8.31
DailyIQ Est.
$69.81
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
77
BULLISH
Jim Cramer’s latest commentary on LyondellBasell signals a potential rebound after a recent dip, citing improving earnings prospects as the main catalyst. The analyst notes that the company’s recent surge in stock offerings and debt issuance could weigh on the broader bull market, creating a short‑term risk premium for the stock. If earnings guidance in the next earnings release confirms the upward trend, the market may shift sentiment from cautious to bullish, lifting the stock’s valuation. The debt issuance, however, remains a lingering concern; a higher debt load could dampen investor enthusiasm if the company’s cash flow does not keep pace. Traders should therefore monitor LYB’s upcoming earnings guidance for any upward revisions to revenue or margin expectations. Simultaneously, any announcement of changes in debt levels—such as new issuances or repayments—will be a key confirmation of the company’s financial health. The combination of a stronger earnings outlook and a stable debt profile could trigger a short‑term rally over the next 1–10 trading days. Watch for the earnings call and any subsequent debt‑related disclosures to gauge whether the market’s optimism is justified.
Earnings Summary
LyondellBasell Industries NV is a global chemical company that produces olefins, polyolefins, and intermediate chemicals, serving key markets such as the United States, Germany, and China, and positioning itself within the basic materials specialty chemicals sector. In the most recent quarters, the company posted EPS of $1.01 in Q3 2025, beating the estimate of $0.80, but then reported a negative EPS of –$0.26 in Q4 2025 against an estimate of $0.13, and a further decline to $0.49 in Q1 2026 versus a high estimate of $2.69; revenue remained relatively flat, moving from $7.73 B in Q3 2025 to $7.09 B in Q4 2025 and then to $7.20 B in Q1 2026, indicating modest growth but a lack of momentum; the company’s earnings beat pattern has been inconsistent, with a strong beat in Q3 2025 followed by misses in the next two quarters, reflecting volatility in profitability. Historically, LyondellBasell has shown a mixed earnings trajectory, with occasional upside relative to analyst expectations but also periods of underperformance, and the data suggest that while revenue growth has been modest, EPS has fluctuated significantly, pointing to sensitivity to raw‑material costs and market demand; the company’s ability to generate positive earnings has been uneven, underscoring the importance of cost control and market conditions. Recent news highlights a partnership with Mondelez, Amcor, and Taghleef to launch a 75 % recycled‑content packaging solution for Marabou chocolate bars, signaling a strategic shift toward sustainability that could boost demand for LYB’s recycled polymer feedstock and improve margin profiles, while UBS’s recent price‑target cut to $56 reflects concerns over tighter industry margins and volatile raw‑material costs, creating a mixed outlook that investors should monitor closely. Forward‑looking watch points include watching for the Q2 2026 earnings release for guidance on revenue, operating margin, and the impact of the new recycled‑polymer partnership, monitoring raw‑material price swings that could affect cost structure, and keeping an eye on regulatory developments around recycled content mandates that could accelerate or constrain the partnership’s growth trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.80$0.37$1.53$2.69$3.85Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.31 - -
Q1'26$2.69$0.49-81.8%
Q4'25$0.13$-0.26-299.7%
Q3'25$0.80$1.01+25.9%
Q2'25$0.78$0.62-20.8%
Q1'25$0.43$0.33-24.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.5B$7.3B$8.1B$8.9B$9.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$9.3B - -
Q1'26$8.8B$7.2B-18.0%
Q4'25$6.9B$7.1B+3.3%
Q3'25 - $7.7B -
Q2'25 - $7.7B -
Q1'25 - $7.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

LYB Stock Snapshot

LYB is currently trading at $56.39, giving LyondellBasell Industries N.V. a market cap of 17.88B. Today's range spans $55.39–$56.74, with shares opening at $56.00 and moving up $0.05 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 77/100.

Over the past year LYB has traded between $41.58 and $83.94 - the current price is +35.6% off the 52-week low and -32.8% from the high. 25 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $70.41 (range $48.00–$95.00), implying upside of +24.9%.

The bearish momentum on LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) - 27/100 (SELL), sentiment bullish at 77/100, price $56.39 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) - is the type of setup where stop-loss selling from long-side momentum strategies amplifies the initial technical weakness. At 17.88B in Basic Materials market cap, the 52-week range of $41.58–$83.94 provides the structural reference, and the lower end of that range becomes the next key test if the current SELL signal persists.

When a large-cap Basic Materials name with 17.88B in capitalization prints a SELL signal (27/100) alongside bullish news sentiment (77/100), the risk isn't just price depreciation — it's the loss of institutional sponsorship that makes recovery harder. At $56.39 (in the lower half of its 52-week range in the $41.58–$83.94 range), the structural support levels are where that sponsorship question gets answered.