LYB|Analyst Targets
LYB|Company Info
LYB|Insider Trading
LYB|Fundamentals
LYB|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.82 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.59 | $2.54 | -2.1% |
| Q2'26 | $3.42 | $4.30 | +25.6% |
| Q1'26 | $2.69 | $0.49 | -81.8% |
| Q4'25 | $0.13 | $-0.26 | -299.7% |
| Q3'25 | $0.80 | $1.01 | +25.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $8.4B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $9.0B | $8.5B | -5.2% |
| Q2'26 | $9.2B | $9.2B | -0.6% |
| Q1'26 | $8.8B | $7.2B | -18.0% |
| Q4'25 | $6.9B | $7.1B | +3.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $7.7B | - |
LYB|Monthly Returns
Market Data
LYB Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 20.35B
- Day range
- $61.63 – $61.63
- News sentiment
- 41/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $72.28 (+17.3%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 27 analysts
LYB's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Basic Materials tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into LYB?
At today's price, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. needs to grow free cash flow about -2.5% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.43% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -9.6% a year, so the market is asking for 7.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LYB looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -2.5%
- Growth trend
- -9.6%
- Growth gap
- +7.1 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.43%
- Beta
- 0.78
Behaviour On Record
What LYB's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 35.2% 75th pct
- Below its peak
- -47.7%
- vs 200-day average
- -0.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 48%
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is currently running 35.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LYB's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 75th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 27.5%.
LYB is trading -47.7% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -62.5% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -0.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 50th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year LYB closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, LYB finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.2% and an average of +3.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.0% on average, its weakest June at -3.2%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: LYB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 152 of 3,268 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.3% and -9.6%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, LYB moved an average of 2.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 4 times, with a median move of -0.0% and a largest of +3.9%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LYB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of LYB's sector?
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 4th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #4 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 64
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect LYB to earn?
Analysts expect LyondellBasell Industries N.V. to earn $9.15 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.25 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 6 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LYB?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on LyondellBasell Industries N.V. to Neutral on Nov 3, 2026 with a price target of $74 (from $63). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
However, the industry's integrated polyethylene margins ended the third quarter at approximately 50% above 2025 levels, supported by positive polyethylene price momentum in September.
New this quarter - 2
Through the Value Enhancement Program, LYB increased utilization of the Channelview PO/TBA asset to approximately 110%.
New this quarter - 3
These items, which impacted third quarter earnings by $0.22 per diluted share, included closure costs for a European propylene oxide (PO) joint venture.
New this quarterNegative tone
Peers & ETF holders
LYB peers & ETF holders
Specialty ChemicalsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about LYB?
LYB rose 4.0% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 35 and 98 from Oct 5 to Oct 13, then jumped to 85 on Oct 15.
- Oct 22 +3.8%
- Oct 30 +4.5%same day: LyondellBasell reports third quarter 2026 earnings
- Nov 4 -4.7%
Technical analysis
How strong is LYB's momentum right now?
On the daily chart LYB ranks at the 78th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling LYB?
87 of the 160 tracked managers added to LYB in their latest 13F and 72 trimmed. Together they own 29.7% of the company, worth $5.2B. Vanguard Capital Management and State Street alone hold 9.6%.
- $888.9M positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
- 2State Street Corp4.46%$775.8M positionAdded 9.1% last quarter
- $631.0M positionTrimmed 0.1% last quarter
- 4Royal Bank of Canada1.42%$247.2M positionAdded 32.9% last quarter
- $163.2M positionTrimmed 47.0% last quarter
- $149.3M positionAdded 2.6M shares last quarter
- $141.2M positionAdded 1.0% last quarter
- $149.8M positionAdded 10.3% last quarter
- $112.5M positionAdded 90.9% last quarter
- 10Barclays PLC0.51%$89.0M positionAdded 78.3% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading LYB?
7 members of Congress disclosed 11 LYB trades between Mar 16, 2017 and Mar 27, 2026: 8 buys and 3 sells, about $222.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has LYB done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, LYB returned −20.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by ECL at +18.0%.
- 1ECLEcolab Inc.up 18.0%+38.7 pts
- 2PPGPPG Industries, Inc.up 15.8%+36.5 pts
- 3IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc.up 15.4%+36.1 pts
- 4SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Companyup 11.2%+31.9 pts
- 5NEMNewmont Corporationup 9.1%+29.9 pts
- 6RPMRPM International Inc.up 6.1%+26.8 pts
- 7LINLinde plcup 4.2%+25.0 pts
- 8BBarrick Mining Corporationup 3.5%+24.2 pts
- 13LYBThis stockdown 20.7%
- 16CTVACorteva, Inc.down 85.7%−65.0 pts