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LYB·LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

$61.63
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Pre-Market
High
$61.63
Open
$0.00
Market Cap
20.35B
52W High
$83.94
Low
$61.63
P. Close
$61.63
P/E
-
52W Low
$41.58
Fwd P/E
9.64
DailyIQ Est.
$71.52
Inst. Own.
29.7%
Short Interest
3.49%
Days to Cover
3.4
Div. Yield
5.58%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 23
Div. Growth
13+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 30, 2026tone -5.0 vs prior release · 118 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
78
BULLISH
News Sentiment
41
BEARISH
On Nov 4, LyondellBasell Industries was highlighted among dividend stocks that may face dividend cuts, with its yield of 5.14% flagged as potentially unsustainable. The article noted that the company’s year‑to‑date price gain of 59.84% supports the yield, yet analysts warned that earnings and free cash flow may not fully cover the payout. Rising debt levels were cited as a risk that could threaten the ability to sustain the dividend. The report emphasized that the yield’s sustainability was uncertain, signaling a moderate negative outlook for LYB’s dividend prospects.
LOW TARGET
$58 -5.9%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$72 +17.3%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$93 +50.9%
7 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$58.00 - $93.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/10/12/3/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$71.52 (+16.0%)
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Specialty Chemicals
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
LYB
Description
LyondellBasell Industries NV is a global chemical company with a diverse operational footprint spanning key markets like the United States, Germany, and China. The company's core business revolves around the production and marketing of a broad range of chemicals, including olefins, polyolefins, and intermediate chemicals, which serve as essential building blocks for various industries. LyondellBasell also offers advanced polymer solutions and refining services, further diversifying its portfolio. Through its technology segment, the company develops and licenses chemical and polyolefin process technologies, solidifying its position within the industry. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, LyondellBasell's offerings are integral to applications across sectors such as food packaging, automotive components, and paints and coatings.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
18,685 shares
$1.3M
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC-
Gift1,000,000 shares2026-11-03
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC-
J12,000,000 shares2026-11-03
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC-
J4,000,000 shares2026-11-03
Hayes Matthew DSVP & CAO
Tax Withholding152 shares2026-10-15
KAMSKY VIRGINIA A-
Tax Withholding139 shares2026-09-30
50/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
8.5%
Net Margin
4.7%
Revenue CAGR
-3.3%
Current Ratio
1.77x
Debt / Equity
1.22x
Return on Equity
14.2%
Earnings Summary
The company’s earnings history shows a volatile pattern: Q1 2025 EPS of $0.33 fell short of the $0.43 estimate, while revenue remained steady at $7.677 billion; Q2 2025 EPS of $0.62 missed the $0.78 estimate, with revenue flat at $7.658 billion. A turnaround occurred in Q3 2025, where EPS rose to $1.01, beating the $0.80 estimate, and revenue increased modestly to $7.727 billion. However, Q4 2025 saw a sharp EPS decline to –$0.26 versus a $0.13 estimate, with revenue up to $7.091 billion, indicating margin compression. In 2026, EPS rebounded to $0.49 in Q1 and $4.30 in Q2, both beating high estimates of $2.69 and $3.42, respectively, while revenue grew from $7.197 billion to $9.177 billion, a 27% YoY increase; Q3 2026 EPS of $2.54 narrowly missed the $2.59 estimate, and revenue fell to $8.499 billion, a 5% decline from Q2. Historically, the company has oscillated between earnings misses and beats, with revenue growth persisting even during EPS downturns, suggesting resilience in top‑line performance. Recent news reports a November 1 earnings beat in Q3 2026, driven by a $2.38 EPS and $8.5 billion revenue, and highlights a $320.5 million sale of a Houston refinery, reinforcing a cash‑focused strategy; analyst upgrades from multiple banks signal confidence in the company’s earnings trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.94$0.54$2.02$3.50$4.98Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.82 - -
Q3'26$2.59$2.54-2.1%
Q2'26$3.42$4.30+25.6%
Q1'26$2.69$0.49-81.8%
Q4'25$0.13$-0.26-299.7%
Q3'25$0.80$1.01+25.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.5B$7.3B$8.1B$8.8B$9.6BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$8.4B - -
Q3'26$9.0B$8.5B-5.2%
Q2'26$9.2B$9.2B-0.6%
Q1'26$8.8B$7.2B-18.0%
Q4'25$6.9B$7.1B+3.3%
Q3'25 - $7.7B -

Market Data

LYB Stock Snapshot

BULLISH78/100
$61.63+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
20.35B
Day range
$61.63 – $61.63
News sentiment
41/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$72.28 (+17.3%)
Consensus
Hold · 27 analysts
52-week range+48.2% off low · -26.6% from high
$41.58$83.94
Price $61.63 DailyIQ Est. $71.52

LYB's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Basic Materials tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LYB?

RICH

At today's price, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. needs to grow free cash flow about -2.5% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.43% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -9.6% a year, so the market is asking for 7.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LYB looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-2.5%
Growth trend
-9.6%
Growth gap
+7.1 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.43%
Beta
0.78

Behaviour On Record

What LYB's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
35.2% 75th pct
Below its peak
-47.7%
vs 200-day average
-0.8%
Up days (1y)
48%

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is currently running 35.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LYB's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 75th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 27.5%.

LYB is trading -47.7% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -62.5% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -0.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 50th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year LYB closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, LYB finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.2% and an average of +3.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.0% on average, its weakest June at -3.2%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LYB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 152 of 3,268 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.3% and -9.6%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, LYB moved an average of 2.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 4 times, with a median move of -0.0% and a largest of +3.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LYB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LYB's sector?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 4th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#4 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
64

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LYB?

CallsPuts

For LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.39), with at-the-money implied volatility around 1.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $62.09–$62.47.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
1.39
ATM implied volatility
1.6%
Total open interest
15,581
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±0.3% ($62.09–$62.47)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect LYB to earn?

Analysts expect LyondellBasell Industries N.V. to earn $9.15 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.25 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 6 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$1.79$1.26 to $2.4317$8.34B11
Mar 2027$1.41$0.86 to $1.976$8.18B3
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$9.15$8.54 to $10.0519$33.36B9
Dec 2027$6.34$4.57 to $9.5017$32.57B15
Dec 2028$7.25$5.46 to $9.196~$36.05B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LYB?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on LyondellBasell Industries N.V. to Neutral on Nov 3, 2026 with a price target of $74 (from $63). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$63 → $74
Nov 3, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$62 → $69
Nov 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$66 → $69
Nov 2, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$68 → $82
Nov 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$70 → $76
Oct 13, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$72 → $68
Oct 13, 2026BarclaysInitiatedEqual-Weight$66
Sep 30, 2026CitigroupDowngradeBuy → Neutral$72 → $63
Sep 25, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$64 → $62
Sep 11, 2026KeybancInitiatedSector Weight-
Aug 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$65 → $72
Aug 4, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$56 → $64

Earnings Release, Scored

What did LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 30, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone53.5/ 100-5.0 vs prior release
Hedging words0.77per 100 words+0.25 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 48–72

Most important lines

  1. 1

    However, the industry's integrated polyethylene margins ended the third quarter at approximately 50% above 2025 levels, supported by positive polyethylene price momentum in September.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Through the Value Enhancement Program, LYB increased utilization of the Channelview PO/TBA asset to approximately 110%.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    These items, which impacted third quarter earnings by $0.22 per diluted share, included closure costs for a European propylene oxide (PO) joint venture.

    New this quarterNegative tone

Peers & ETF holders

LYB peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about LYB?

LYB rose 4.0% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 35 and 98 from Oct 5 to Oct 13, then jumped to 85 on Oct 15.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 5 to Nov 5
$60$65Oct 5: tone 50Oct 6Oct 7: tone 98Oct 8Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13: tone 35Oct 14Oct 15: tone 85Oct 16: tone 36Oct 19: tone 57Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23: tone 61Oct 26: tone 50Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30: tone 49Nov 2: tone 65Nov 3: tone 68Nov 4: tone 39Nov 5Oct 5News toneNov 5123
  1. Oct 22 +3.8%
  2. Oct 30 +4.5%same day: LyondellBasell reports third quarter 2026 earnings
  3. Nov 4 -4.7%

Technical analysis

How strong is LYB's momentum right now?

On the daily chart LYB ranks at the 78th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling LYB?

87 of the 160 tracked managers added to LYB in their latest 13F and 72 trimmed. Together they own 29.7% of the company, worth $5.2B. Vanguard Capital Management and State Street alone hold 9.6%.

87adding72trimming1unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of LYB
  1. $888.9M positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
  2. $775.8M positionAdded 9.1% last quarter
  3. $631.0M positionTrimmed 0.1% last quarter
  4. $247.2M positionAdded 32.9% last quarter
  5. $163.2M positionTrimmed 47.0% last quarter
  6. $149.3M positionAdded 2.6M shares last quarter
  7. $141.2M positionAdded 1.0% last quarter
  8. $149.8M positionAdded 10.3% last quarter
  9. $112.5M positionAdded 90.9% last quarter
  10. $89.0M positionAdded 78.3% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading LYB?

7 members of Congress disclosed 11 LYB trades between Mar 16, 2017 and Mar 27, 2026: 8 buys and 3 sells, about $222.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells20182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has LYB done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 5, LYB returned −20.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by ECL at +18.0%.

Change since May 5, through Nov 5
−100%−50%0%+50%May 5JunJulAugSepOctNov 5ECL +18.0%LYB −20.7%CTVA −85.7%