DailyIQ
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Sector:Basic MaterialsAll sectors
Last updated 1 minute ago

LYB·LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$59.26
Open
$58.36
Market Cap
18.90B
52W High
$83.94
Low
$57.37
P. Close
$58.00
P/E
-
52W Low
$41.58
Fwd P/E
17.22
DailyIQ Est.
$68.63
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
LyondellBasell (LYB) has reported that its free cash flow remains positive even as revenue has fallen, indicating that the company still has liquidity to fund operations and potential dividends. The decline in top‑line sales suggests that demand for polymers and polyolefins is softening, a trend that could pressure LYB’s earnings over the next 1–10 trading days. In contrast, Dow Holdings is generating negative cash flow, limiting its ability to invest or return capital to shareholders and making it a less attractive play for investors seeking cash generation. LYB’s focus on polymers means its risk profile is closely tied to the cyclical demand for these materials, whereas Dow’s diversified portfolio across agriculture, construction, and electronics provides a broader base to weather sector swings. The positive cash flow at LYB gives management flexibility to manage costs or pursue opportunistic acquisitions, which could help offset the revenue contraction. Traders should monitor LYB’s sales trends and cost‑management initiatives, as any further decline in polymer demand could erode margins. Additionally, watch for any changes in Dow’s cash flow situation, as a shift toward positive cash generation would alter the comparative advantage between the two companies. The next 1–10 trading days will be critical for assessing whether LYB can sustain its cash flow while navigating a softer polymer market. Keep an eye on macro indicators such as commodity prices and industrial production that influence polymer demand, as these will be key drivers of LYB’s short‑term performance.
Earnings Summary
LyondellBasell Industries NV is a global chemical company headquartered in Houston, Texas, that produces olefins, polyolefins, and intermediate chemicals while also offering advanced polymer solutions, refining services, and technology licensing. Its products serve key sectors such as food packaging, automotive components, and paints and coatings, positioning the firm at the intersection of industrial demand and material innovation. In the most recent reporting cycle, LyondellBasell posted a Q4 2024 EPS of $0.75 versus an estimate of $0.70 and revenue of $9.50 billion, but the following quarter saw EPS drop to $0.33 against a $0.43 forecast while revenue fell to $7.68 billion. The company then rebounded in Q2 2025 with EPS of $0.62 versus a $0.78 estimate and revenue of $7.66 billion, followed by a strong Q3 2025 EPS of $1.01 beating a $0.80 forecast and revenue of $7.73 billion, but Q4 2025 delivered a negative EPS of $-0.26 against a $0.13 estimate and revenue of $7.09 billion, marking a 8% decline from the prior quarter. In the first quarter of 2026, EPS fell to $0.49 versus a $2.69 estimate and revenue slipped to $7.20 billion against a $8.77 billion forecast, underscoring continued earnings volatility amid a shrinking top line. Over the past two years, LyondellBasell’s revenue has contracted from $9.50 billion in Q4 2024 to $7.20 billion in Q1 2026, while EPS has swung from a healthy $0.75 to a negative $-0.26, reflecting a volatile earnings environment. Free cash flow has remained positive despite the revenue decline, giving the company flexibility to manage costs or pursue opportunistic acquisitions, while a partnership with Mondelez, Amcor, and Taghleef to supply 75% recycled‑content packaging signals a strategic push into sustainable polymers that could support future demand. Investors should watch for sales trends and cost‑management initiatives, monitor polymer demand indicators, and assess guidance on revenue, EPS, and free cash flow in the next earnings call, as these factors will determine whether the company can sustain its liquidity advantage amid a softening polymer market.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.80$0.38$1.55$2.73$3.91Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.37 - -
Q1'26$2.69$0.49-81.8%
Q4'25$0.13$-0.26-299.7%
Q3'25$0.80$1.01+25.9%
Q2'25$0.78$0.62-20.8%
Q1'25$0.43$0.33-24.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.5B$7.3B$8.1B$8.9B$9.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$9.3B - -
Q1'26$8.8B$7.2B-18.0%
Q4'25$6.9B$7.1B+3.3%
Q3'25 - $7.7B -
Q2'25 - $7.7B -
Q1'25 - $7.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

LYB Stock Snapshot

LYB is currently trading at $57.74, giving LyondellBasell Industries N.V. a market cap of 18.90B. Today's range spans $57.37–$59.26, with shares opening at $58.36 and moving down $0.26 (0.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.

Over the past year LYB has traded between $41.58 and $83.94 - the current price is +38.9% off the 52-week low and -31.2% from the high. 25 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $69.24 (range $48.00–$95.00), implying upside of +19.9%.

The quality factor scores well for LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) even in a HOLD phase - at 18.90B in Basic Materials market cap with a 50/100 technical read (HOLD) and neutral sentiment (50/100), the stock's balance sheet and earnings stability attract defensive allocators who don't need a mixed signal to hold the position. Price: $57.74 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). Range: $41.58–$83.94.

The 52-week range of $41.58–$83.94 for LYB provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $57.74 (in the lower half of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 50/100 and neutral news backdrop (50/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.