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FDX·FedEx Corporation

$311.06
-5.74 (-1.81%)
High
$317.00
Open
$312.54
Market Cap
77.15B
52W High
$345.61
Low
$310.15
P. Close
$311.06
P/E
19.79
52W Low
$203.98
Fwd P/E
15.17
DailyIQ Est.
$382.15
Inst. Own.
65.8%
Short Interest
2.06%
Days to Cover
4.1
Div. Yield
1.51%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 14
Div. Growth
5+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 28, 2026tone +3.0 vs prior release · 130 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
84
BULLISH
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
On Nov 5, FedEx Corp. completed a comprehensive modernization of the U.S. Army’s domestic non‑tactical logistics network, updating supply‑chain procedures and 23 government‑owned facilities. The project, led by FedEx Dataworks, leveraged analytics, AI and digital technology to enhance real‑time visibility and risk mitigation across military equipment and munitions. This contract underscores FedEx’s strategic pivot toward premium B2B logistics services in high‑margin sectors such as defense, healthcare and aerospace. The initiative positions the company to capture new revenue streams and strengthen its presence in the defense logistics market.
LOW TARGET
$160 -48.6%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$357 +14.8%
19 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$479 +54.0%
14 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$160.00 - $479.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/16/7/2/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$382.15 (+22.9%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
FDX
Description
FedEx Corporation is a global leader in transportation and business services, primarily operating through its Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. Its core value proposition lies in providing comprehensive shipping solutions, encompassing express delivery, freight transportation, and small-package ground services, catering to diverse customer needs. Beyond core transportation, FedEx offers a suite of e-commerce and digital solutions, including printing, shipping management, and document services, enhancing its value proposition for businesses. The company's competitive advantage is further strengthened by its logistics services, encompassing freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and supply chain management, offering end-to-end solutions. Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, FedEx has established itself as a critical infrastructure provider for global commerce.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
39,200 shares
$12.4M
ADAMS GINA F.EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY
Sell3,014 shares2026-11-02
WALSH PAUL S-
Award/Grant398 shares2026-11-01
SCHWAB SUSAN C-
Award/Grant398 shares2026-11-01
Russ Claude FInterim CFO & Interim CAO
Award/Grant479 shares2026-11-01
Ramo Joshua Cooper-
Award/Grant129 shares2026-11-01
66/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
4.7%
Revenue CAGR
5.2%
Current Ratio
1.48x
Debt / Equity
0.74x
Return on Equity
14.0%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, FedEx’s Q4 2026 revenue surged to $25.0 billion from $22.9 billion in Q3 2026, while EPS rose from $3.74 to $6.31, reflecting a strong earnings beat against the $5.95 forecast; the company also posted a 12% YoY revenue increase in Q3 2026, driven by fuel‑price surcharges and higher package yields. Historically, FedEx has shown a pattern of robust revenue growth coupled with EPS beats, with the company raising its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $18.00‑$18.60 per share after Q3 2026 results, indicating confidence in continued earnings momentum. Recent news from October 30 reports that higher diesel prices increased operating expenses, yet FedEx raised its annual revenue guidance and highlighted efficient cost management; additionally, the company announced a $2 billion share‑repurchase program and a change to its fiscal year end, underscoring its focus on cash flow and financial flexibility.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.96$3.91$4.85$5.80$6.75Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$5.30 - -
Q4'26$5.95$6.31+6.0%
Q3'26$3.40$3.74+10.1%
Q2'26$4.02$4.82+19.9%
Q4'25$4.11$4.82+17.2%
Q3'25$3.61$3.83+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$21.8B$22.7B$23.6B$24.5B$25.4BQ3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$24.1B - -
Q4'26$24.3B$25.0B+3.0%
Q3'26$22.6B$22.9B+0.9%
Q2'26$23.4B$23.5B+0.3%
Q4'25 - $23.5B -
Q3'25 - $22.2B -

Market Data

FDX Stock Snapshot

BULLISH84/100
$311.06−$5.74 (1.8%)
Market cap
77.15B
P/E ratio
19.8
Day range
$310.15 – $317.00
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$357.00 (+14.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 35 analysts
52-week range+52.5% off low · -10.0% from high
$203.98$345.61
Price $311.06 DailyIQ Est. $382.15

FDX is trading with the trend behind it, which is what pushes the technical read bullish. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FDX?

FAIR

At today's price, FedEx Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 2.2% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.44% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 0.0% a year, so the market is asking for 2.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FDX looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
2.2%
Growth trend
0.0%
Growth gap
+2.2 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.44%
Beta
0.91

Behaviour On Record

What FDX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
24.0% 49th pct
Below its peak
-2.8%
vs 200-day average
+7.9%
Up days (1y)
54%

FedEx Corporation is currently running 24.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FDX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 49th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.3%.

FDX is trading -2.8% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.9%, and the deepest was -46.0% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +7.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 62nd percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year FDX closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, FDX finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +6.5% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest December at -3.1%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FDX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 49 of 3,267 sessions (1.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.7% and -9.4%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FDX moved an average of 3.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.3% and a largest of +6.7%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FDX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FDX's sector?

FedEx Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
27

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FDX?

CallsPuts

For FedEx Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.24), with at-the-money implied volatility around 48.8%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
0.24
ATM implied volatility
48.8%
Total open interest
16,615

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect FDX to earn?

Analysts expect FedEx Corporation to earn $18.16 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $22.25 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$6.40$5.52 to $7.3521$25.44B16
Mar 2027$3.73$2.71 to $4.6416$22.11B10
Jun 2027$4.96$4.65 to $5.335~$23.39B-
Sep 2027$4.30$3.78 to $4.656~$20.27B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$18.16$17.40 to $18.5825$91.81B21
Dec 2027$20.87$18.12 to $22.6527$95.71B24
Dec 2028$22.25$19.75 to $23.504~$104.91B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FDX?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on FedEx Corporation to Buy on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $374 (from $373). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$373 → $374
Oct 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$399 → $400
Oct 27, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$378 → $359
Oct 7, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$359 → $373
Oct 7, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$365 → $350
Oct 5, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$400 → $399
Sep 28, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$350 → $351
Sep 9, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$323 → $350
Sep 8, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$460 → $400
Jul 15, 2026CitizensInitiatedMarket Outperform$375
Jun 25, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$425 → $365
Jun 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$357 → $359

Earnings Release, Scored

What did FedEx Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 28, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone52.6/ 100+3.0 vs prior release
Hedging words0.70per 100 words+0.09 vs prior release
Tone, last 4 releasesScale 41–66

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Loss on short-term investment$5.18$—

    New this quarterNegative tone
  2. 2

    FedEx recognized a loss of $1.2 billion during the quarter within “Gain/(loss) on short-term investment” on the income statement.

    New this quarterNegative tone
  3. 3

    As previously announced, effective January 4, 2027, FedEx parcel shipping rates will increase by an average of 5.9%.

    New this quarterNegative tone

Peers & ETF holders

FDX peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about FDX?

FDX rose 7.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 28 and 92 from Oct 6 to Oct 16, then jumped to 92 on Oct 19.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$300$320Oct 6: tone 69Oct 7: tone 51Oct 8: tone 32Oct 9: tone 52Oct 12: tone 45Oct 13: tone 42Oct 14Oct 15: tone 92Oct 16: tone 28Oct 19: tone 92Oct 20: tone 49Oct 21: tone 73Oct 22Oct 23: tone 44Oct 26: tone 49Oct 27: tone 39Oct 28: tone 59Oct 29: tone 70Oct 30: tone 54Nov 2: tone 61Nov 3: tone 62Nov 4: tone 59Nov 5: tone 61Nov 6: tone 50Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 29 +3.3%same day: FedEx (FDX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  2. Nov 4 +3.6%
  3. Nov 5 -3.8%same day: US Army enlists FedEx to modernize logistics at depots
Latest stories naming FedEx

Technical analysis

How strong is FDX's momentum right now?

On the daily chart FDX ranks at the 84th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling FDX?

130 of the 227 tracked managers added to FDX in their latest 13F and 95 trimmed. Together they own 65.8% of the company, worth $50.9B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 14.1%.

130adding95trimming2unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of FDX
  1. $6.5B positionAdded 10.5% last quarter
  2. $4.4B positionAdded 2.0% last quarter
  3. $3.2B positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
  4. $2.6B positionTrimmed 1.8% last quarter
  5. $2.3B positionAdded 2.8% last quarter
  6. $2.3B positionTrimmed 27.5% last quarter
  7. $1.7B positionTrimmed 9.0% last quarter
  8. $1.6B positionAdded 0.9% last quarter
  9. $1.6B positionTrimmed 19.7% last quarter
  10. $1.2B positionAdded 25.0% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading FDX?

11 members of Congress disclosed 25 FDX trades between Feb 4, 2019 and Oct 8, 2026: 14 buys and 11 sells, about $481.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells2020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has FDX done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, FDX returned +2.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 6 did better, led by EXPD at +23.1%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6EXPD +23.1%FDX +2.7%DY −55.0%