FDX|Analyst Targets
FDX|Company Info
FDX|Insider Trading
FDX|Fundamentals
FDX|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $5.30 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $5.95 | $6.31 | +6.0% |
| Q3'26 | $3.40 | $3.74 | +10.1% |
| Q2'26 | $4.02 | $4.82 | +19.9% |
| Q4'25 | $4.11 | $4.82 | +17.2% |
| Q3'25 | $3.61 | $3.83 | +6.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $24.1B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $24.3B | $25.0B | +3.0% |
| Q3'26 | $22.6B | $22.9B | +0.9% |
| Q2'26 | $23.4B | $23.5B | +0.3% |
| Q4'25 | - | $23.5B | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $22.2B | - |
FDX|Monthly Returns
Market Data
FDX Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 77.15B
- P/E ratio
- 19.8
- Day range
- $310.15 – $317.00
- News sentiment
- 63/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $357.00 (+14.8%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 35 analysts
FDX is trading with the trend behind it, which is what pushes the technical read bullish. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into FDX?
At today's price, FedEx Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 2.2% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.44% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 0.0% a year, so the market is asking for 2.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FDX looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 2.2%
- Growth trend
- 0.0%
- Growth gap
- +2.2 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.44%
- Beta
- 0.91
Behaviour On Record
What FDX's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 24.0% 49th pct
- Below its peak
- -2.8%
- vs 200-day average
- +7.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 54%
FedEx Corporation is currently running 24.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FDX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 49th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.3%.
FDX is trading -2.8% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.9%, and the deepest was -46.0% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +7.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 62nd percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year FDX closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, FDX finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +6.5% and an average of +6.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest December at -3.1%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: FDX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 49 of 3,267 sessions (1.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.7% and -9.4%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FDX moved an average of 3.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.3% and a largest of +6.7%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FDX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of FDX's sector?
FedEx Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect FDX to earn?
Analysts expect FedEx Corporation to earn $18.16 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $22.25 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FDX?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on FedEx Corporation to Buy on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $374 (from $373). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did FedEx Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Loss on short-term investment$5.18$—
New this quarterNegative tone - 2
FedEx recognized a loss of $1.2 billion during the quarter within “Gain/(loss) on short-term investment” on the income statement.
New this quarterNegative tone - 3
As previously announced, effective January 4, 2027, FedEx parcel shipping rates will increase by an average of 5.9%.
New this quarterNegative tone
Peers & ETF holders
FDX peers & ETF holders
Integrated Freight & LogisticsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about FDX?
FDX rose 7.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 28 and 92 from Oct 6 to Oct 16, then jumped to 92 on Oct 19.
- Oct 29 +3.3%same day: FedEx (FDX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Nov 4 +3.6%
- Nov 5 -3.8%same day: US Army enlists FedEx to modernize logistics at depots
Technical analysis
How strong is FDX's momentum right now?
On the daily chart FDX ranks at the 84th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling FDX?
130 of the 227 tracked managers added to FDX in their latest 13F and 95 trimmed. Together they own 65.8% of the company, worth $50.9B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 14.1%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.38%$6.5B positionAdded 10.5% last quarter
- $4.4B positionAdded 2.0% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp4.05%$3.2B positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
- 4PRIMECAP Management Co3.29%$2.6B positionTrimmed 1.8% last quarter
- $2.3B positionAdded 2.8% last quarter
- 6Dodge & Cox2.92%$2.3B positionTrimmed 27.5% last quarter
- $1.7B positionTrimmed 9.0% last quarter
- $1.6B positionAdded 0.9% last quarter
- 9FMR LLC (Fidelity)2.03%$1.6B positionTrimmed 19.7% last quarter
- 10Norges Bank1.50%$1.2B positionAdded 25.0% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading FDX?
11 members of Congress disclosed 25 FDX trades between Feb 4, 2019 and Oct 8, 2026: 14 buys and 11 sells, about $481.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has FDX done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, FDX returned +2.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 6 did better, led by EXPD at +23.1%.
- 1EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.up 23.1%+20.4 pts
- 2CNICanadian National Railway Companyup 11.8%+9.2 pts
- 3CSXCSX Corporationup 10.5%+7.8 pts
- 4UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.up 9.3%+6.6 pts
- 5UNPUnion Pacific Corporationup 9.2%+6.6 pts
- 6CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Limitedup 7.8%+5.1 pts
- 7FDXThis stockup 2.7%
- 8NSCNorfolk Southern Corporationup 1.5%−1.1 pts
- 16DYDycom Industries Inc.down 55.0%−57.7 pts