DailyIQ
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Sector:IndustrialsAll sectors
Last updated 3 minutes ago

FDX·FedEx Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$317.64
Open
$313.85
Market Cap
75.09B
52W High
$404.03
Low
$310.71
P. Close
$314.71
P/E
16.75
52W Low
$216.10
Fwd P/E
15.33
DailyIQ Est.
$372.23
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
57
BULLISH
FedEx has set pricing for its $4.15 billion note buyback program, signaling confidence in cash flow and a move to reduce leverage, so traders should monitor the timing of the buyback and any changes to the offer price. The pricing uses a waterfall structure that prioritizes the 4.5% 2065, 3.25% 2041, and 4.05% 2048 notes, which will improve the debt profile and potentially lift earnings per share, so watch the acceptance rates of these notes. Early tender results announced by the company indicate participation levels, giving insight into shareholder mandate and capital structure decisions, so keep an eye on the final acceptance rates and any subsequent adjustments. FedEx’s launch of a dedicated Life Sciences division expands its high‑margin healthcare logistics offering, targeting the $80 billion market, which could boost revenue and diversify the business, so watch the first‑quarter performance of the new unit. Amazon Shipping’s strategy of eliminating surcharges and opening services to all businesses threatens FedEx’s market share, especially if overnight services materialize, adding competitive pressure, so monitor Amazon’s service rollouts and FedEx’s Q3 earnings for signs of revenue impact. Morgan Stanley warns that Amazon’s expanding logistics network could erode FedEx’s pricing power, so watch for any shifts in FedEx’s pricing strategy or market share metrics. Jim Cramer praised FedEx’s conservative guidance and spinoff strategy, noting a dividend hike, which may support investor sentiment, so watch the company’s guidance for the next quarter and any updates on automation initiatives. Finally, traders should watch the acceptance rates of the tender offers, early results, the Life Sciences unit’s performance, and Amazon’s competitive moves over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
FedEx Corporation, a global leader in transportation and business services, operates through its Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments, delivering express delivery, freight transportation, and small‑package ground services while also offering e‑commerce and digital solutions such as printing and shipping management; the company’s integrated freight and logistics operations place it firmly within the industrials sector. In the most recent two quarters, FedEx reported Q3 2026 revenue of $24.0 B and EPS of $5.25, up from $22.244 B and $3.83 in Q3 2025, while Q4 2026 revenue rose to $25.007 B and EPS to $6.31 versus $23.469 B and $4.82 in Q4 2025, indicating a steady acceleration in both top‑line and earnings growth; the company has beaten analyst estimates in six of the last seven quarters, with Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q2 2026, Q3 2026, and Q4 2026 all exceeding EPS expectations, and only Q1 2025 falling short. Historically, FedEx has maintained a consistent upward trajectory in revenue, with YoY increases from $23.469 B in Q4 2025 to $25.007 B in Q4 2026, and EPS growth from $4.82 to $6.31 over the same period, underscoring a pattern of robust earnings expansion even as the company navigates cost pressures; the company’s earnings beats have largely outpaced revenue growth, reflecting effective margin management. Recent news highlights a 5 % dividend hike to $4.88 per share and the spin‑off of FedEx Freight, which are expected to influence investor sentiment and provide a clearer valuation for each business; the earnings call will also address cost‑management initiatives, freight volume trends, and guidance on margin improvement, all of which are material to the company’s financial outlook. Investors should watch for guidance on freight volume performance, the impact of the freight spin‑off on standalone profitability, and any updates on cost discipline and margin expansion, as these factors will be key to assessing FedEx’s ability to sustain its recent earnings momentum and shareholder returns.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.21$4.08$4.96$5.84$6.71Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$5.95$6.31+6.0%
Q3'26$4.16$5.25+26.1%
Q2'26$4.02$4.82+19.9%
Q4'25$4.11$4.82+17.2%
Q3'25$3.61$3.83+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$21.8B$22.7B$23.6B$24.5B$25.4BQ3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$24.3B$25.0B+3.0%
Q3'26$23.7B$24.0B+1.5%
Q2'26$23.4B$23.5B+0.3%
Q4'25 - $23.5B -
Q3'25 - $22.2B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

FDX Stock Snapshot

FDX is currently trading at $316.00, giving FedEx Corporation a market cap of 75.09B and a P/E ratio of 16.8. Today's range spans $310.71–$317.64, with shares opening at $313.85 and moving up $1.29 (0.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 57/100.

Over the past year FDX has traded between $216.10 and $404.03 - the current price is +46.2% off the 52-week low and -21.8% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $350.99 (range $160.00–$479.00), implying upside of +11.1%.

It's a pause for FDX: technical score 36/100 (HOLD), sentiment neutral (57/100), price $316.00 (in the middle of its 52-week range). (P/E: 16.8) At 75.09B in Industrials market cap, pauses like this often occur when the stock has run ahead of near-term fundamental catalysts and is waiting for earnings or macro data to validate the prior move. Annual range: $216.10–$404.03. The consolidation is the story for now.

The 52-week range of $216.10–$404.03 for FDX provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $316.00 (in the middle of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 36/100 and neutral news backdrop (57/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.