RBLX·Roblox Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

60.4% 53rd pct

Below its peak

-66.5%

vs 200-day average

-12.1%

Up days (1y)

49%

Roblox Corporation is currently running 60.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RBLX's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 53rd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 58.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RBLX is trading -66.5% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -43.1%, and the deepest was -77.7% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -12.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 41st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RBLX closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, RBLX finished the month higher 5 of 6 times, with a median return of +11.0% and an average of +9.6%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +10.6% on average, its weakest April at -11.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RBLX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 61 of 1,405 sessions (4.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.1% and -7.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RBLX moved an average of 7.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.6% and a largest of -15.6%.

All figures computed from 1,406 daily closes between 2021-03-11 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RBLX's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.