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CZR·Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

$29.65
-0.03 (-0.10%)
High
$29.75
Open
$29.70
Market Cap
6.05B
52W High
$30.88
Low
$29.65
P. Close
$29.65
P/E
-
52W Low
$17.86
Fwd P/E
41.03
DailyIQ Est.
$31.23
Inst. Ownership
77.1%
Short Interest
9.81%
Days to Cover
8.0
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
29
BEARISH
Caesars Entertainment’s most recent analysis highlights a persistent 10 % annual revenue growth over the past five years and a decline in capital returns from an already low base, underscoring a material downside risk that traders should weigh over the next ten days. The same report notes that new capital expenditures have not translated into higher ROIC, signaling diminishing returns on invested capital and casting doubt on the company’s ability to generate sustainable earnings growth. These structural concerns are compounded by a recent Q2 earnings miss, where the company reported a $0.30 loss per share against a $0.07 consensus while revenue only edged past expectations, indicating rising costs and margin pressure that could dampen short‑term sentiment. In contrast, Caesars has recently rolled out a sportsbook marketing campaign featuring NFL legend Clay Matthews to boost brand visibility ahead of the NFL season, but analysts agree that the initiative is unlikely to alter underlying fundamentals in the near term. The company’s valuation narrative remains mixed: some research teams argue the stock is undervalued given its strong cash flow generation and potential digital monetization, while others caution that reputational damage from a liability verdict over security failures at the LINQ Promenade could trigger regulatory scrutiny and additional operational costs. The latest downgrade from TD Cowen to Hold, coupled with a $31 price target, reflects concerns over earnings volatility and high leverage, suggesting that any further earnings miss could put downward pressure on the stock. On the upside, Caesars’ recent acquisition announcement of Fertitta Entertainment has already spurred a 21 % rally, indicating that strategic moves can still generate short‑term momentum. Traders should monitor the upcoming earnings release for guidance on cost control, the progress of the sportsbook app updates, and any regulatory developments stemming from the LINQ verdict, as these factors will shape the company’s near‑term trajectory.
Earnings Summary
Caesars Entertainment, a leading North American gaming and hospitality company, operates a diversified portfolio of casinos, hotels, and increasingly, sports wagering and iGaming platforms, positioning it within the broader consumer cyclical resorts & casinos sector. In the most recent two quarters, Q1 2026 and Q2 2026, Caesars posted revenue of $2.87 billion and $2.99 billion respectively, a modest 3.5% increase from the prior year’s $2.80 billion and $2.90 billion, while EPS swung from a $0.48 loss in Q1 to a $0.30 loss in Q2, both below the $0.28 and $0.03 estimates, indicating continued margin pressure despite revenue growth. Historically, the company has shown a YoY revenue trajectory that has hovered near flat or slightly positive, with EPS consistently missing analyst expectations in the last four quarters, underscoring a pattern of profitability challenges even as top line remains stable. Recent news highlights an insider sale by Chief Marketing Officer Josh Jones and an Argus Research upgrade to HOLD citing stronger revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, suggesting that market sentiment may be cautiously optimistic; however, downgrades from TD Cowen and Capital One to Hold reflect concerns over earnings volatility and leverage. Investors should watch the next earnings release for evidence of cost‑control measures, any updates to the share‑repurchase program, and debt‑repayment plans, as these factors will determine whether the company can translate revenue stability into improved profitability and address the persistent EPS misses noted in recent quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.59$-0.35$-0.10$0.14$0.39Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.08 - -
Q2'26$0.03$-0.30-1138.1%
Q1'26$0.28$-0.48-273.5%
Q4'25$-0.17$-0.33-98.3%
Q3'25$0.08$-0.26-411.7%
Q2'25$0.09$-0.20-325.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.8B$2.9B$2.9B$3.0B$3.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.0B - -
Q2'26$3.0B$3.0B-0.6%
Q1'26$3.0B$2.9B-3.4%
Q4'25$2.9B$2.9B-0.0%
Q3'25 - $2.9B -
Q2'25 - $2.9B -

Market Data

CZR Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$29.65$0.03 (0.1%)
Market cap
6.05B
Day range
$29.65 – $29.75
News sentiment
29/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$31.27 (+5.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 23 analysts
52-week range+66.0% off low · -4.0% from high
$17.86$30.88
Price $29.65 DailyIQ Est. $31.23

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. is consolidating: price is near its 52-week high without a decisive push either way. Company-specific news dominates here; sector-level flows matter less than for larger names.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CZR?

RICH

At today's price, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 44.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 15.45% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 34.2% a year, so the market is asking for 10.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CZR looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
44.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
34.2%
Growth gap
+10.2 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
15.45%
Beta
1.18

Behaviour On Record

What CZR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
6.0% 0th pct
Below its peak
-75.2%
vs 200-day average
+11.3%
Up days (1y)
51%

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. is currently running 6.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CZR's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 0th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 41.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CZR is trading -75.2% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.5%, and the deepest was -88.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +11.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 54th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year CZR closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 12 years of records, CZR finished the month higher 8 of 12 times, with a median return of +4.6% and an average of +2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +10.8% on average, its weakest March at -6.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CZR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 275 of 3,012 sessions (9.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.9% and -14.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CZR moved an average of 3.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.7% and a largest of +8.6%.

All figures computed from 3,013 daily closes between 2014-09-22 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CZR's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CZR's sector?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CZR?

CallsPuts

For Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.06), with at-the-money implied volatility around 11.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $28.26–$31.06.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.06
ATM implied volatility
11.1%
Total open interest
92,128
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.7% ($28.26–$31.06)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CZR?

TD Cowen most recently downgraded Caesars Entertainment, Inc. to Hold on Jul 29, 2026 with a price target of $31. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
TD CowenHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
2
Net rating momentum
-2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 29, 2026TD CowenDowngradeBuy → Hold$31
Jul 29, 2026MacquarieMaintainedNeutral$31
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysDowngradeOverweight → Equal-Weight$35 → $31
Jun 15, 2026StifelDowngradeBuy → Hold$31
Jun 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$26 → $31
Jun 1, 2026MacquarieDowngradeOutperform → Neutral$35 → $31
Jun 1, 2026Deutsche BankDowngradeBuy → Hold$35 → $31
May 29, 2026CBREDowngradeBuy → Hold$31
May 29, 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$32 → $31
May 29, 2026SusquehannaDowngradePositive → Neutral$34 → $31
May 29, 2026JP MorganDowngradeOverweight → Neutral$35 → $31
May 28, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$35

CZR Competitive Positioning

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) is tracked alongside these names in Resorts & Casinos on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.