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DailyIQ
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MGM·MGM Resorts International

$32.33
-0.21 (-0.65%)
After Hours
High
$32.45
Open
$31.94
Market Cap
8.23B
52W High
$51.59
Low
$31.73
P. Close
$32.33
P/E
19.33
52W Low
$26.20
Fwd P/E
21.40
DailyIQ Est.
$39.56
Inst. Own.
53.4%
Short Interest
9.00%
Days to Cover
4.8
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 28, 2026tone -13.0 vs prior release · 104 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
33
BEARISH
News Sentiment
41
BEARISH
On Nov 2, Susquehanna Research reduced its price target for MGM Resorts International from $41 to $39, reflecting a more cautious outlook on the casino and resort operator. The downgrade came after the firm reassessed the company’s earnings outlook and competitive positioning in the U.S. market. The adjustment signals a modest negative view on MGM’s near‑term performance, though the company remains overweight by the firm’s standards.
LOW TARGET
$26 -19.7%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$39 +19.3%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$57 +76.1%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$26.00 - $57.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
3/12/12/2/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$39.56 (+22.2%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Resorts & Casinos
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
MGM
Description
MGM Resorts International is a leading gaming and entertainment enterprise with a diverse portfolio of casino resorts and digital platforms. Primarily operating in the United States and China, the company's core business centers on providing a comprehensive hospitality experience. This includes traditional casino gaming, hotel accommodations, dining, entertainment venues, and retail offerings, catering to a broad customer base. Beyond its physical locations, MGM expands its reach through online gaming and digital sports betting via its BetMGM platform. The company's customer base encompasses a range of segments, including high-end gaming clients, leisure travelers, business professionals, and groups seeking convention and meeting spaces, solidifying its position in the competitive entertainment market.
Bought (1Y)
1,745,592 shares
$51.7M
Sold (1Y)
184,194 shares
$5.7M
Meister Keith A.-
Buy7,518 shares2026-11-02
Meister Keith A.-
Buy1,504,076 shares2026-10-30
Meister Keith A.-
Buy233,998 shares2026-10-30
Molino Ayesha KhannaCHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
Option Exercise3,346 shares2026-10-07
Molino Ayesha KhannaCHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
Tax Withholding1,317 shares2026-10-07
58/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
1.2%
Revenue CAGR
5.4%
Current Ratio
1.23x
Debt / Equity
2.56x
Return on Equity
8.5%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.24$0.05$0.34$0.63$0.92Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.43 - -
Q3'26$0.09$-0.11-219.3%
Q2'26$0.58$0.59+2.2%
Q3'25$0.30$0.24-19.9%
Q2'25$0.55$0.79+44.0%
Q1'25$0.45$0.69+54.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.2B$4.3B$4.3B$4.4B$4.5BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$4.5B - -
Q3'26$4.3B$4.2B-1.2%
Q2'26$4.5B$4.5B-0.3%
Q3'25 - $4.3B -
Q2'25 - $4.4B -
Q1'25 - $4.3B -

Market Data

MGM Stock Snapshot

BEARISH33/100
$32.37+$0.04 (0.1%)
Market cap
8.23B
P/E ratio
19.3
Day range
$31.73 – $32.45
News sentiment
41/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$38.63 (+19.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+23.5% off low · -37.3% from high
$26.20$51.59
Price $32.37 DailyIQ Est. $39.56

The trend on MGM is bearish, and its momentum ranks in the lower part of DailyIQ's universe. Thinner liquidity means moves can extend past what the fundamentals alone justify.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into MGM?

CHEAP

At today's price, MGM Resorts International needs to grow free cash flow about -12.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.15% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 15.7% a year, so the market is asking for 27.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis MGM looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-12.0%
Growth trend
15.7%
Growth gap
-27.8 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.15%
Beta
1.15

Behaviour On Record

What MGM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
42.5% 74th pct
Below its peak
-35.1%
vs 200-day average
-15.3%
Up days (1y)
44%

MGM Resorts International is currently running 42.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MGM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 33.5%.

MGM is trading -35.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.6%, and the deepest was -78.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -15.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 11th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MGM closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, MGM finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.7% and an average of +5.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.5% on average, its weakest September at -4.7%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MGM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 151 of 3,268 sessions (4.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.0% and -13.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MGM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MGM's sector?

MGM Resorts International sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MGM?

CallsPuts

For MGM Resorts International's nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.70), with at-the-money implied volatility around 54.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $26.99–$32.91.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.70
ATM implied volatility
54.6%
Total open interest
31,826
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±9.9% ($26.99–$32.91)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect MGM to earn?

Analysts expect MGM Resorts International to earn $1.50 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $2.26 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$0.43$0.22 to $0.819$4.42B17
Mar 2027$0.39$0.10 to $0.515$4.39B10
Jun 2027$0.54$0.46 to $0.644~$4.90B-
Sep 2027$0.25$0.02 to $0.504--
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$1.50$1.07 to $1.9312$17.57B21
Dec 2027$1.50$0.30 to $2.5214$17.70B21
Dec 2028$2.26$1.73 to $2.654~$20.51B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MGM?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on MGM Resorts International to Equal-Weight on Oct 30, 2026 with a price target of $28 (from $29). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wells Fargo: Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$29 → $28
Oct 29, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$48 → $46
Oct 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$42 → $39
Oct 29, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$37 → $34
Oct 29, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$45 → $40
Oct 29, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$40 → $35
Oct 20, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$53 → $42
Oct 20, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$49 → $40
Oct 20, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$55 → $45
Oct 19, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$43 → $29
Oct 19, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$48 → $29
Oct 13, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$48

Earnings Release, Scored

What did MGM Resorts International's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 28, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone52.2/ 100-13.0 vs prior release
Hedging words1.04per 100 words+0.74 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 47–82

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Regional Operations increased revenue 1% on a same-store basis

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    MGM China achieved record quarterly revenue as well as record quarterly market share of 17.1%

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Our trailing twelve months Las Vegas Strip Resorts Segment Adjusted EBITDAR has grown by nearly 70% since calendar year 2019 and, while lower room rates during the third quarter impacted our results, October has rebounded favorably.

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

MGM peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about MGM?

MGM rose 5.5% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 7 and 76 from Oct 7 to Oct 15, then dropped to 6 on Oct 16.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$28$30$33Oct 6Oct 7: tone 37Oct 8: tone 7Oct 9: tone 30Oct 12: tone 16Oct 13: tone 56Oct 14: tone 76Oct 15: tone 61Oct 16: tone 6Oct 19: tone 38Oct 20: tone 51Oct 21: tone 41Oct 22Oct 23: tone 29Oct 26: tone 64Oct 27: tone 28Oct 28: tone 38Oct 29: tone 40Oct 30: tone 37Nov 2: tone 35Nov 3: tone 35Nov 4: tone 48Nov 5: tone 24Nov 6: tone 25Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 29 +5.3%same day: MGM Resorts (MGM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  2. Oct 30 +4.4%same day: Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on MGM Resorts International, Lowers Price Target to $28
  3. Nov 4 +4.9%

Technical analysis

How strong is MGM's momentum right now?

On the daily chart MGM ranks at the 33rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling MGM?

69 of the 176 tracked managers added to MGM in their latest 13F and 102 trimmed. Together they own 53.4% of the company, worth $6.4B. Davis Selected Advisers and BlackRock alone hold 14.4%.

69adding102trimming5unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of MGM
  1. $1.1B positionTrimmed 1.6% last quarter
  2. $604.3M positionTrimmed 2.1% last quarter
  3. $581.2M positionAdded 0.6% last quarter
  4. $395.2M positionTrimmed 0.4% last quarter
  5. $337.0M positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
  6. $256.9M positionTrimmed 19.3% last quarter
  7. $255.7M positionUnchanged last quarter
  8. $240.7M positionTrimmed 0.8% last quarter
  9. $226.8M positionTrimmed 3.9% last quarter
  10. $149.7M positionTrimmed 3.2% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading MGM?

2 members of Congress disclosed 2 MGM trades between Mar 14, 2025 and Mar 27, 2026: 1 buy and 1 sell, about $16.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsMarMayJulSepNovJan ’26Mar
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

Discover more

How has MGM done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, MGM returned −15.9%. Of the 15 related stocks, 13 did better, led by ABNB at +35.7%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6ABNB +35.7%MGM −15.9%LVS −23.6%