MGM|Analyst Targets
MGM|Company Info
MGM|Insider Trading
MGM|Fundamentals
MGM|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.43 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.09 | $-0.11 | -219.3% |
| Q2'26 | $0.58 | $0.59 | +2.2% |
| Q3'25 | $0.30 | $0.24 | -19.9% |
| Q2'25 | $0.55 | $0.79 | +44.0% |
| Q1'25 | $0.45 | $0.69 | +54.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $4.5B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $4.3B | $4.2B | -1.2% |
| Q2'26 | $4.5B | $4.5B | -0.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $4.3B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $4.4B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $4.3B | - |
MGM|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MGM Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 8.23B
- P/E ratio
- 19.3
- Day range
- $31.73 – $32.45
- News sentiment
- 41/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $38.63 (+19.3%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 30 analysts
The trend on MGM is bearish, and its momentum ranks in the lower part of DailyIQ's universe. Thinner liquidity means moves can extend past what the fundamentals alone justify.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MGM?
At today's price, MGM Resorts International needs to grow free cash flow about -12.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.15% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 15.7% a year, so the market is asking for 27.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis MGM looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -12.0%
- Growth trend
- 15.7%
- Growth gap
- -27.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.15%
- Beta
- 1.15
Behaviour On Record
What MGM's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 42.5% 74th pct
- Below its peak
- -35.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -15.3%
- Up days (1y)
- 44%
MGM Resorts International is currently running 42.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MGM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 33.5%.
MGM is trading -35.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.6%, and the deepest was -78.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -15.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 11th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MGM closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, MGM finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.7% and an average of +5.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.5% on average, its weakest September at -4.7%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MGM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 151 of 3,268 sessions (4.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.0% and -13.2%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MGM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MGM's sector?
MGM Resorts International sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #5 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 91
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect MGM to earn?
Analysts expect MGM Resorts International to earn $1.50 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $2.26 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MGM?
Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on MGM Resorts International to Equal-Weight on Oct 30, 2026 with a price target of $28 (from $29). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Wells Fargo: Equal-Weight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did MGM Resorts International's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Regional Operations increased revenue 1% on a same-store basis
New this quarter - 2
MGM China achieved record quarterly revenue as well as record quarterly market share of 17.1%
New this quarter - 3
Our trailing twelve months Las Vegas Strip Resorts Segment Adjusted EBITDAR has grown by nearly 70% since calendar year 2019 and, while lower room rates during the third quarter impacted our results, October has rebounded favorably.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
MGM peers & ETF holders
Resorts & CasinosMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about MGM?
MGM rose 5.5% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 7 and 76 from Oct 7 to Oct 15, then dropped to 6 on Oct 16.
- Oct 29 +5.3%same day: MGM Resorts (MGM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Oct 30 +4.4%same day: Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on MGM Resorts International, Lowers Price Target to $28
- Nov 4 +4.9%
Technical analysis
How strong is MGM's momentum right now?
On the daily chart MGM ranks at the 33rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling MGM?
69 of the 176 tracked managers added to MGM in their latest 13F and 102 trimmed. Together they own 53.4% of the company, worth $6.4B. Davis Selected Advisers and BlackRock alone hold 14.4%.
- 1Davis Selected Advisers9.40%$1.1B positionTrimmed 1.6% last quarter
- 2BlackRock, Inc.4.97%$604.3M positionTrimmed 2.1% last quarter
- $581.2M positionAdded 0.6% last quarter
- $395.2M positionTrimmed 0.4% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp2.77%$337.0M positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
- 6Invesco Ltd.2.11%$256.9M positionTrimmed 19.3% last quarter
- 7Corvex Management LP2.10%$255.7M positionUnchanged last quarter
- $240.7M positionTrimmed 0.8% last quarter
- 9Morgan Stanley1.87%$226.8M positionTrimmed 3.9% last quarter
- 10Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.23%$149.7M positionTrimmed 3.2% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading MGM?
2 members of Congress disclosed 2 MGM trades between Mar 14, 2025 and Mar 27, 2026: 1 buy and 1 sell, about $16.0K in estimated value.
Discover more
How has MGM done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, MGM returned −15.9%. Of the 15 related stocks, 13 did better, led by ABNB at +35.7%.
- 1ABNBAirbnb, Inc.up 35.7%+51.6 pts
- 2DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.up 19.2%+35.2 pts
- 3MARMarriott International, Inc.up 15.3%+31.2 pts
- 4HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.up 15.2%+31.1 pts
- 5RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.up 13.9%+29.8 pts
- 6UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.up 13.4%+29.3 pts
- 7RBLXRoblox Corporationup 12.6%+28.5 pts
- 8CCLCarnival Corporation & plcup 8.0%+23.9 pts
- 14MGMThis stockdown 15.9%
- 16LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.down 23.6%−7.7 pts