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THC·Tenet Healthcare Corporation

$260.61
-1.38 (-0.53%)
High
$263.58
Open
$261.93
Market Cap
21.10B
52W High
$284.60
Low
$258.02
P. Close
$260.61
P/E
9.41
52W Low
$157.58
Fwd P/E
12.43
DailyIQ Est.
$291.39
Inst. Ownership
54.0%
Short Interest
2.33%
Days to Cover
2.5
Technical Score (1D)
55
BUY
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
Tenet Healthcare’s most recent insider activity—director Nadja West selling 5 % of her direct holdings for roughly $298 k—came just after the company posted a 39 % year‑to‑date return, suggesting a short‑term confidence dip that could temper momentum in the next few trading days. The sale is unlikely to alter the long‑term stake, but it signals that some insiders are taking liquidity, a cue investors should weigh against the company’s upcoming earnings. A day earlier, THC’s price broke out above key resistance levels with volume and a moving‑average crossover that technical analysts flag as high‑probability, implying a potential short‑term rally if the breakout holds. The breakout aligns with a broader market rally, so THC could ride that wave for the next week, but traders should watch the next resistance zone near $X for reversal signals. On the fundamentals side, Zacks has placed THC on its Rank #1 Strong‑Buy list, citing a PEG of 0.81 and recent earnings revisions that reinforce a bullish outlook, which may attract value‑oriented traders in the coming days. The company’s $2.0 b refinancing and revenue‑cycle restructuring, highlighted in recent reports, could improve earnings quality and reduce interest costs, a development that may support the stock’s valuation if the debt terms are favorable. Demand for THC’s services remains robust due to an aging population and higher‑acuity procedures, but margin pressure from rising drug, supply, and labor costs could temper earnings growth, a risk that investors should monitor in the next earnings cycle. Finally, the combination of insider selling, a bullish technical setup, and a strong analyst consensus creates a mixed outlook: the stock may see short‑term upside if the breakout sustains, yet any sign of margin erosion or a reversal at the next resistance could quickly shift sentiment. Watch for the next earnings release and any updates to the refinancing terms, as these will be the key catalysts for the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates a diversified network of acute care hospitals and ambulatory surgery centers, providing a broad spectrum of medical services including surgery, radiology, and specialized treatments, positioning it as a key player in the medical care facilities sector. In Q4 2024, Tenet reported EPS of $3.44 versus an estimate of $2.83, while revenue reached $5.072 billion, a modest increase from prior periods; in Q4 2025 the company again beat expectations with EPS of $4.70 against an estimate of $4.09 and revenue of $5.527 billion nearly flat against the $5.527 billion estimate, indicating a steady revenue trajectory and consistent earnings outperformance. The two most recent quarters show a pattern of EPS growth and revenue stability, with the company beating analyst estimates in both periods and maintaining a 7 % revenue growth in Q2 2026, though EPS data for Q2 and Q3 2026 are pending. Historically, Tenet has demonstrated year‑over‑year revenue growth while occasionally missing on EPS guidance, yet it has consistently delivered earnings above consensus, underscoring a resilient profitability profile amid a competitive healthcare landscape. Recent news highlights Tenet’s participation in the Wells Fargo 21st Annual Healthcare Conference, where leadership reiterated operational efficiencies without altering guidance, and a significant debt refinancing that upsized its private senior notes to $2 billion, reducing short‑term leverage and extending the debt maturity profile; these developments reinforce the company’s focus on balance‑sheet strength and operational discipline. Investors should watch for the closing of the notes on September 22, 2026, any updates to guidance or cost‑control initiatives presented at the conference, and the release of Q2 and Q3 2026 earnings to assess whether the company sustains its EPS beat and revenue growth trajectory in the coming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.55$3.16$3.77$4.37$4.98Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$4.64 - -
Q4'25$4.09$4.70+14.8%
Q4'24$2.83$3.44+21.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.0B$5.2B$5.3B$5.4B$5.6BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.5B - -
Q4'25$5.5B$5.5B+0.0%
Q4'24 - $5.1B -

Market Data

THC Stock Snapshot

HOLD55/100
$260.61$1.38 (0.5%)
Market cap
21.10B
P/E ratio
9.4
Day range
$258.02 – $263.58
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$285.57 (+9.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+65.4% off low · -8.4% from high
$157.58$284.60
Price $260.61 DailyIQ Est. $291.39

Tenet Healthcare Corporation is consolidating: price is in the upper part of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into THC?

CHEAP

At today's price, Tenet Healthcare Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -8.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.44% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 30.0% a year, so the market is asking for 38.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis THC looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-8.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
30.0%
Growth gap
-38.0 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.44%
Beta
0.77

Behaviour On Record

What THC's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
27.8% 11th pct
Below its peak
-6.7%
vs 200-day average
+23.5%
Up days (1y)
50%

Tenet Healthcare Corporation is currently running 27.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against THC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 11th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 43.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

THC is trading -6.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -46.0%, and the deepest was -71.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +23.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 72nd percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year THC closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, THC finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -8.5% and an average of -6.5%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +10.9% on average, its weakest September at -6.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: THC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 288 of 3,267 sessions (8.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.0% and -12.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-23 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against THC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of THC's sector?

Tenet Healthcare Corporation sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for THC?

CallsPuts

For Tenet Healthcare Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 25 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.84), with at-the-money implied volatility around 43.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±10.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $233.54–$287.68.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.84
ATM implied volatility
43.2%
Total open interest
3,229
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±10.4% ($233.54–$287.68)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on THC?

Leerink Partners most recently reiterated its rating on Tenet Healthcare Corporation to Outperform on Sep 18, 2026 with a price target of $309. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Leerink PartnersOutperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 18, 2026Leerink PartnersMaintainedOutperform$309
Aug 3, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$231 → $281
Jul 28, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$270 → $290
Jul 28, 2026BairdMaintainedNeutral$210 → $280
Jul 28, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$242 → $283
Jul 27, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$288 → $308
Jul 27, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$233 → $263
Jul 27, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$254 → $274
Jul 27, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$236 → $283
Jul 24, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$240 → $271
Jul 20, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$252 → $242
Jul 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$213 → $231

THC Competitive Positioning

Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) is tracked alongside these names in Medical Care Facilities on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.