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VMRK·Vivmark Residential Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

$60.39
+0.30 (+0.50%)
Overnight$60.55+0.16 (+0.26%)
High
$60.93
Open
$59.83
Market Cap
46.67B
52W High
$71.50
Low
$59.70
P. Close
$60.39
P/E
53.32
52W Low
$57.57
Fwd P/E
41.06
DailyIQ Est.
$74.07
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
2.32%
Days to Cover
2.9
Technical Score (1D)
18
BEARISH
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
VMRK is deeply oversold on the 1D chart at 18, with a SELL signal and declining momentum reflecting persistent selling. RSI is neutral range, a backdrop where stabilization attempts become more common even if the trend is still down. Sentiment at 51 is diverging from the weakness. $58.13 is the bounce-watch zone; $62.97 is the first hurdle if a relief rally develops. Capitulation-style selloffs like this often need a second test of $58.13 before a durable base forms - the first bounce tends to fail as trapped longs use the relief to exit. Patience through that second test, rather than chasing the initial bounce, has historically produced the better entries in setups with this kind of neutral range reading.
LOW TARGET
$66 +9.0%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$73 +21.3%
18 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$80 +32.1%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$66.00 - $80.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/7/14/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$74.07 (+22.3%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
58,286 shares
$3.7M
Carr Chris-
Sell1,130 shares2026-09-09
NEITHERCUT DAVID J-
Gift977 shares2026-09-09
NEITHERCUT DAVID J-
Gift1,322 shares2026-09-09
NEITHERCUT DAVID J-
Gift1,325 shares2026-09-09
Fenster ScottEVP & General Counsel
Award/Grant14,397 shares2026-08-31
64/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
307178.4%
Net Margin
291689.8%
Revenue CAGR
-50.6%
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Return on Equity
10.1%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.01$0.40$0.80$1.19$1.58Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.19 - -
Q3'25 - $1.40 -

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B$1.4BQ3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B - -
Q3'25 - - -

Market Data

VMRK Stock Snapshot

BEARISH18/100
$60.55+$0.16 (0.3%)
Market cap
46.67B
P/E ratio
53.3
Day range
$59.70 – $60.93
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$73.44 (+21.3%)
Consensus
Hold · 29 analysts
52-week range+5.2% off low · -15.3% from high
$57.57$71.50
Price $60.55 DailyIQ Est. $74.07

The signals on VMRK lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What VMRK's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
22.8% 71st pct
Below its peak
-35.7%
vs 200-day average
-6.2%
Up days (1y)
51%

Vivmark Residential Common Shares of Beneficial Interest is currently running 22.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VMRK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 71st percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 19.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VMRK is trading -35.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.5%, and the deepest was -46.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -6.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 25th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year VMRK closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, VMRK finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.6% and an average of -1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.5% on average, its weakest September at -3.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VMRK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 81 of 3,266 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.9% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VMRK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VMRK's sector?

Vivmark Residential Common Shares of Beneficial Interest sits in the Real Estate sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
9

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VMRK?

CallsPuts

For Vivmark Residential Common Shares of Beneficial Interest's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is tracked across both sides of the chain, with at-the-money implied volatility around 1.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $59.85–$60.15.

ATM implied volatility
1.6%
Total open interest
17
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.2% ($59.85–$60.15)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VMRK?

Evercore ISI Group most recently reiterated its rating on Vivmark Residential Common Shares of Beneficial Interest to In-Line on Sep 21, 2026 with a price target of $70 (from $72). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Evercore ISI Group — In-Line
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 21, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$72 → $70
Sep 17, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Perform$70 → $66
Sep 17, 2026BTIGReiteratedNeutral-
Sep 15, 2026UBSInitiatedBuy$75
Sep 8, 2026MizuhoUpgradeNeutral → Outperform$70 → $73
Sep 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$76 → $75
Aug 26, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$75 → $76
Aug 26, 2026KeybancInitiatedSector Weight-
Aug 24, 2026JP MorganInitiatedNeutral$73
Aug 24, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$75 → $74
Aug 21, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$72
Aug 19, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$79 → $79

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

51/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Vivmark Residential (NYSE: VMRK) announced that its Board of Trustees declared a third‑quarter dividend of $0.7025 per common share, payable on October 16, 2026, to shareholders of record on October 5, 2026. The company also declared a preferred dividend of $1.03625 per Series K Preferred share, payable on September 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 18, 2026. The dividend declaration follows the company’s recent merger of equals between AvalonBay Communities and Equity Residential, which closed on August 17, 2026, and reflects VMRK’s ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders.
What did this article say?
Evercore ISI Group analyst Steve Sakwa has trimmed Vivmark Residential’s (VMRK) price target from $72 to $70, while keeping the rating in‑line. The downgrade reflects a more cautious view on the company’s growth prospects amid a competitive residential market. The move signals that investors may need to reassess the upside potential of VMRK’s current valuation.
What did this article say?
Scotiabank has lowered its price target for Vivmark Residential (VMRK) from $70 to $66 while keeping a Sector Perform rating. The downgrade reflects a modest view that the company’s growth prospects are slightly weaker than previously expected. The cut is not a drastic hit but signals a more cautious outlook for the residential real‑estate platform.
What did this article say?
BTIG analyst Michael Gorman has kept his rating on Vivmark Residential (VMRK) unchanged, maintaining a Neutral view. The firm cites a lack of new catalysts or significant earnings surprises to justify a change. The decision reflects a cautious outlook amid a competitive residential real‑estate market.
What did this article say?
Vivmark Residential (VMRK) released a slide deck during the BofA NY Global Real Estate Conference, providing an overview of its current strategy and market positioning. The presentation outlines recent portfolio developments, occupancy trends, and future acquisition plans, but does not include new financial guidance or material operational changes. The deck serves primarily as a communication tool for investors and does not signal any immediate upside or downside for the company.
What did this article say?
Vivmark Residential (VMRK) issued a new investor presentation on September 15, 2026, coinciding with its appearance at the BofA Securities Global Real Estate Conference. The deck reiterates the company’s full‑year 2026 Same Store Residential revenue outlook of 2% at the midpoint, matching prior guidance from its predecessor entities, AvalonBay and Equity Residential. The update underscores continued outperformance in Northern California and New York City, with rent growth aligning with expectations. No new financial guidance or material operational changes were disclosed, suggesting the presentation serves primarily to reaffirm existing forecasts.
What did this article say?
Vivmark Residential (VMRK) confirmed its 2% same‑store revenue growth forecast during an investor presentation at the BofA Securities Global Real Estate Conference. The company highlighted steady demand for its residential properties and cited improved operating efficiencies as key drivers. Management emphasized that the guidance remains unchanged despite market volatility, reinforcing confidence in its growth trajectory.
What did this article say?
UBS analyst Ami Probandt has initiated coverage on Vivmark Residential (VMRK) with a Buy rating and a new price target of $75. The move signals confidence in VMRK’s residential real‑estate platform and its growth prospects. The rating upgrade may lift investor sentiment and support the stock’s valuation.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

18
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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