AMCR·Amcor plc
AMCR|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26 | $0.17 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $1.04 | $1.23 | +18.7% |
| Q3'26 | $1.17 | $0.96 | -17.6% |
| Q3'25 | $0.18 | $0.19 | +4.9% |
| Q2'25 | $0.22 | $0.20 | -7.2% |
| Q1'25 | $0.18 | $0.18 | -1.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26 | $5.7B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $6.2B | $6.4B | +3.7% |
| Q3'26 | $6.0B | $5.9B | -1.2% |
| Q3'25 | - | $5.7B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $5.1B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $3.3B | - |
AMCR|Monthly Returns
Market Data
AMCR Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 19.40B
- P/E ratio
- 17.5
- Day range
- $41.81 – $42.73
- News sentiment
- 67/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $50.18 (+17.4%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 22 analysts
The setup on Amcor plc is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into AMCR?
At today's price, Amcor plc needs to grow free cash flow about 4.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.79% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.3% a year, so the market is asking for 3.3 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis AMCR looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 4.9%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 8.3%
- Growth gap
- -3.3 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.79%
- Beta
- 0.75
Behaviour On Record
What AMCR's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 23.5% 43rd pct
- Below its peak
- -37.9%
- vs 200-day average
- -2.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 46%
Amcor plc is currently running 23.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AMCR's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 43rd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
AMCR is trading -37.9% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.9%, and the deepest was -46.3% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 44th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year AMCR closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 8 years of records, AMCR finished the month higher 2 of 8 times, with a median return of -4.3% and an average of -4.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.5% on average, its weakest September at -4.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: AMCR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 106 of 1,828 sessions (5.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.1% and -8.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, AMCR moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.2% and a largest of +3.4%.
All figures computed from 1,829 daily closes between 2019-06-11 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AMCR's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of AMCR's sector?
Amcor plc sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #10 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 10
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AMCR?
JP Morgan most recently downgraded Amcor plc to Neutral on Aug 17, 2026 with a price target of $47 (from $44). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- JP Morgan — Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 2
- Net rating momentum
- -2