DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

BALL·Ball Corporation

$59.56
+0.37 (+0.63%)
Pre-Market
High
$59.75
Open
$59.75
Market Cap
15.77B
52W High
$68.56
Low
$58.88
P. Close
$59.56
P/E
16.65
52W Low
$44.83
Fwd P/E
13.17
DailyIQ Est.
$73.37
Inst. Ownership
41.7%
Short Interest
3.00%
Days to Cover
3.8
Div. Yield
1.35%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 1
Technical Score (1D)
55
BULLISH
News Sentiment
30
BEARISH
On Oct 13, RBC lowered its price target for Ball Corp. to $73 from $77 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflected concerns about the company’s earnings outlook and potential margin pressure. The rating remained positive, indicating that the brokerage still believes Ball Corp. will outperform the market. The target cut signaled a more cautious view of near‑term upside.
LOW TARGET
$63 +7.0%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$72 +22.0%
12 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$79 +34.2%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$63.00 - $79.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/11/5/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$73.37 (+24.6%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Packaging & Containers
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
BALL
Description
Ball Corporation is a leading provider of sustainable aluminum packaging solutions, primarily serving the global beverage industry. The company's core business revolves around the production and distribution of aluminum beverage containers, catering to a diverse range of beverage types, including soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks. Beyond beverage cans, Ball also manufactures and sells a variety of aluminum packaging products, such as aerosol containers, recloseable bottles, and aluminum cups, extending its reach into personal care and household product markets. Headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, and established in 1880, Ball Corporation leverages its long-standing industry experience and innovative manufacturing capabilities to maintain a strong competitive position in the packaging sector across the United States, Brazil, and international markets.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
14,435 shares
$914K
Glew MandySVP and President, EMEA
Option Exercise2,015 shares2026-08-25
Glew MandySVP and President, EMEA
Option Exercise1,788 shares2026-08-25
Glew MandySVP and President, EMEA
Option Exercise2,278 shares2026-08-25
Glew MandySVP and President, EMEA
Sell5,626 shares2026-08-25
Glew MandySVP and President, EMEA
Option Exercise2,015 shares2026-08-25
70/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
13.5%
Net Margin
7.0%
Revenue CAGR
3.9%
Current Ratio
1.11x
Debt / Equity
1.29x
Return on Equity
16.9%
Earnings Summary
Ball Corporation, a leading provider of sustainable aluminum packaging solutions headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, serves the global beverage industry and broader personal care and household product markets through its aluminum beverage containers, aerosol containers, and recloseable bottles. In Q4 2025, the company posted EPS of $0.91 versus an estimate of $0.8517 and revenue of $3.347 billion against an estimate of $3.308 billion, indicating a modest revenue increase and an EPS beat; the preceding quarter, Q3 2025, reported EPS of $1.02 versus an estimate of $1.0217 and revenue of $3.379 billion, showing a slight revenue decline but a near‑flat EPS performance. Over the last two quarters, revenue has risen from $3.338 billion in Q3 2025 to $3.347 billion in Q4 2025, while EPS has moved from $1.02 to $0.91, reflecting a slight earnings dip despite stable top‑line growth. Historically, Ball has experienced a modest 2.3% CAGR in sales over five years, with recent guidance showing revenue growth from $3.607 billion in Q1 2026 to $3.997 billion in Q2 2026, suggesting a gradual upward trajectory; however, gross margins have been slipping, indicating pressure on unit economics. Recent news includes UBS reducing its price target to $63 from $66, signaling a modest valuation reassessment, and an October 2 report of accelerated growth in the South American beverage packaging segment, coupled with new dividend and share repurchase plans, highlighting shareholder‑friendly initiatives.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.82$0.89$0.96$1.03$1.10Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.07 - -
Q2'26$1.00$1.03+2.9%
Q1'26$1.00$0.94-6.2%
Q4'25$0.85$0.91+6.8%
Q3'25$1.02$1.02-0.2%
Q2'25$0.87$0.90+3.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.2B$3.4B$3.7B$3.9B$4.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.8B - -
Q2'26$3.8B$4.0B+5.6%
Q1'26$3.6B$3.6B-0.7%
Q4'25$3.3B$3.3B+1.2%
Q3'25 - $3.4B -
Q2'25 - $3.3B -

Market Data

BALL Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL55/100
$58.88−$0.52 (0.9%)
Market cap
15.77B
P/E ratio
16.6
Day range
$58.88 – $59.75
News sentiment
30/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$71.86 (+22.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 24 analysts
52-week range+31.3% off low · -14.1% from high
$44.83$68.56
Price $58.88 DailyIQ Est. $73.37

The setup on Ball Corporation is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BALL?

RICH

At today's price, Ball Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 6.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.84% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 0.8% a year, so the market is asking for 5.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BALL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
6.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
0.8%
Growth gap
+5.3 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.84%
Beta
0.61

Behaviour On Record

What BALL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
19.0% 34th pct
Below its peak
-39.2%
vs 200-day average
-1.1%
Up days (1y)
53%

Ball Corporation is currently running 19.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BALL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BALL is trading -39.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.5%, and the deepest was -50.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -1.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year BALL closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 7 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, BALL finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.8% and an average of +0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.4% on average, its weakest September at -2.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BALL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 68 of 3,267 sessions (2.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.0% and -10.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BALL moved an average of 2.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.3% and a largest of +4.3%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BALL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BALL's sector?

Ball Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BALL?

CallsPuts

For Ball Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.21), with at-the-money implied volatility around 3.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $59.17–$59.44.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.21
ATM implied volatility
3.1%
Total open interest
2,135
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.2% ($59.17–$59.44)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BALL?

RBC Capital most recently reiterated its rating on Ball Corporation to Outperform on Oct 13, 2026 with a price target of $73 (from $77). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
RBC Capital — Outperform
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 13, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$77 → $73
Oct 5, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$66 → $63
Sep 18, 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$65
Aug 5, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$65 → $66
Aug 5, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$71 → $72
Aug 5, 2026JP MorganDowngradeOverweight → Neutral$60 → $65
Jul 14, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$70 → $73
Jul 9, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$75 → $77
Jul 9, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$73 → $72
May 18, 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$60
May 6, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$66 → $64
May 6, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$70 → $71

Peers & ETF holders

BALL peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

30/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
RBC lowered its price target for Ball Corp. to $73 from $77 while keeping an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s earnings outlook and potential margin pressure. The rating suggests the brokerage still believes Ball Corp. will outperform the market, but the target cut signals a more cautious view of near‑term upside.
What did this article say?
RBC Capital’s analyst Arun Viswanathan reduced Ball’s price target from $77 to $73 while keeping an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers. The move signals a modest negative view on Ball’s near‑term upside potential.
What did this article say?
Ball Corporation scheduled its third‑quarter 2026 earnings announcement for November 3, 2026, with a conference call set for 6:30 a.m. Mountain Time. The company will release its financial results before market open and provide a webcast link for investors. A replay and transcript will be posted on Ball’s website within 48 hours. This event is a routine quarterly update with no immediate impact on guidance or performance expectations.
What did this article say?
UBS analyst Joshua Spector reduced Ball’s price target from $66 to $63 while keeping a neutral stance. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s recent earnings and competitive pressures in the gaming industry. The adjustment signals a modest negative view on Ball’s near‑term valuation prospects.
What did this article say?
UBS reduced its price target for BALL from $66 to $63 while keeping a neutral rating. The downgrade reflects a modest reassessment of the company’s valuation. Analysts cited in the report noted BALL’s average rating remains overweight with a mean target of $73.31. The adjustment signals a slight headwind for the stock but does not indicate a fundamental shift in the business outlook.
What did this article say?
Ball Corporation continued to dominate the aluminum beverage can market in 2026, shipping approximately 54 billion containers and capturing about 41 % of the North and Central American market. The company’s focus on cans, after divesting its aerospace unit, has kept revenue stable, with a $158 million contribution from its aerosol line in Q2. Ball’s long‑term dividend history and consistent earnings support its reputation as a resilient packaging provider. The article underscores the company’s ability to weather economic cycles due to the essential nature of packaging demand.
What did this article say?
Ball Corporation reported accelerated growth in its South American beverage packaging segment, citing increased demand for niche packaging solutions. The company reinforced its shareholder value strategy with new dividend declarations and share repurchase plans. Analysts noted that the combination of regional expansion and shareholder-friendly actions positions BALL for continued upside. The focus on targeted marketing and product differentiation was highlighted as a key driver of the company’s recent performance.
What did this article say?
Analysts noted that BALL, along with Perimeter Solutions and Silgan Holdings, was oversold in September, with relative strength index values near or below 30. The assessment suggested that the low valuation could present a buying opportunity for investors. The commentary implied a potential rebound as the market corrects the undervaluation. No immediate catalysts were cited, but the technical signal was considered a positive driver for the near term.
What did this article say?
Ball’s stock has been flat since March 2026, trading near $60 with a modest 2.9% return, while the S&P 500 outperformed by 18%. Analysts highlight a sluggish 2.3% CAGR in sales over the past five years and deteriorating gross margins, signaling weak unit economics for an industrials firm. The commentary suggests caution for investors, recommending alternative holdings over BALL.
What did this article say?
JP Morgan has upgraded Ball Corporation to an Overweight rating from Neutral, reflecting confidence in the company’s growth prospects. The bank cited robust demand for aerospace and defense components, improved margin dynamics, and a solid earnings outlook as key drivers. This upgrade is expected to influence investor sentiment and could support Ball’s share price in the near term. The upgrade also positions Ball favorably against peers in the aerospace and industrials sectors.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

55
NEUTRAL
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $6.55B combined position · 12 adding, 13 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell31,479,66911.86%$1.67B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▼ Sell21,009,4667.91%$1.31B2026-08-07
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy7,411,5802.79%$460.39M2026-08-12
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell7,096,1602.67%$441.09M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell6,889,5052.59%$429.91M2026-08-13
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy6,434,1992.42%$401.49M2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy5,040,5211.90%$314.53M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy4,170,5501.57%$260.24M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy3,688,9461.39%$226.76M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell3,294,3761.24%$205.57M2026-08-12
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell2,619,3340.99%$163.45M2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy2,572,2170.97%$160.51M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy1,817,5000.68%$113.41M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell1,145,5130.43%$71.48M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy772,4480.29%$48.20M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy746,6430.28%$46.59M2026-08-14
Janus Henderson Group plc▼ Sell767,2690.29%$45.35M2026-05-18
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy683,0720.26%$42.62M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy592,5270.22%$36.97M2026-08-03
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell347,6180.13%$21.69M2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy326,7830.12%$20.39M2026-09-02
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell295,8400.11%$18.46M2026-08-14
Man Group plc▼ Sell243,8740.09%$15.22M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell257,3800.10%$15.21M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell176,8690.07%$11.04M2026-08-12
Q2 2026 flow:5.72M sh bought ($356.71M)2.53M sh sold ($157.50M)net +3.19M sh (+$199.21M)
Congressional Trading Activity
6 disclosed trades · ~$170.5K est. traded value · 2 buys, 4 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-05-122025-06-22
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-05-082025-06-22
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-04-072025-05-08
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-012025-05-14
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-03-052025-04-11
Ron WydenSenateOR▼ Sell$15K - $50K2022-11-112023-05-15