BALL|Analyst Targets
BALL|Company Info
BALL|Insider Trading
BALL|Fundamentals
BALL|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.07 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.00 | $1.03 | +2.9% |
| Q1'26 | $1.00 | $0.94 | -6.2% |
| Q4'25 | $0.85 | $0.91 | +6.8% |
| Q3'25 | $1.02 | $1.02 | -0.2% |
| Q2'25 | $0.87 | $0.90 | +3.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $3.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $3.8B | $4.0B | +5.6% |
| Q1'26 | $3.6B | $3.6B | -0.7% |
| Q4'25 | $3.3B | $3.3B | +1.2% |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.4B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $3.3B | - |
BALL|Monthly Returns
Market Data
BALL Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 15.77B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Day range
- $58.88 – $59.75
- News sentiment
- 30/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $71.86 (+22.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 24 analysts
The setup on Ball Corporation is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into BALL?
At today's price, Ball Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 6.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.84% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 0.8% a year, so the market is asking for 5.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BALL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 6.0%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 0.8%
- Growth gap
- +5.3 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.84%
- Beta
- 0.61
Behaviour On Record
What BALL's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 19.0% 34th pct
- Below its peak
- -39.2%
- vs 200-day average
- -1.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Ball Corporation is currently running 19.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BALL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 22.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
BALL is trading -39.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.5%, and the deepest was -50.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -1.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year BALL closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 7 sessions into a rising streak.
On October specifically: over 13 years of records, BALL finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.8% and an average of +0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.4% on average, its weakest September at -2.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: BALL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 68 of 3,267 sessions (2.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.0% and -10.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BALL moved an average of 2.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.3% and a largest of +4.3%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BALL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of BALL's sector?
Ball Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 55
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BALL?
RBC Capital most recently reiterated its rating on Ball Corporation to Outperform on Oct 13, 2026 with a price target of $73 (from $77). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- RBC Capital — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Peers & ETF holders
BALL peers & ETF holders
Packaging & ContainersMarket cap · today
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | ▼ Sell | 31,479,669 | 11.86% | $1.67B | 2026-01-29 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | ▼ Sell | 21,009,466 | 7.91% | $1.31B | 2026-08-07 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | ▲ Buy | 7,411,580 | 2.79% | $460.39M | 2026-08-12 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | ▼ Sell | 7,096,160 | 2.67% | $441.09M | 2026-08-12 |
| Morgan Stanley | ▼ Sell | 6,889,505 | 2.59% | $429.91M | 2026-08-13 |
| FMR LLC (Fidelity) | ▲ Buy | 6,434,199 | 2.42% | $401.49M | 2026-08-13 |
| Invesco Ltd. | ▲ Buy | 5,040,521 | 1.90% | $314.53M | 2026-08-14 |
| Millennium Management LLC | ▲ Buy | 4,170,550 | 1.57% | $260.24M | 2026-08-14 |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | ▲ Buy | 3,688,946 | 1.39% | $226.76M | 2026-08-14 |
| Norges Bank | ▼ Sell | 3,294,376 | 1.24% | $205.57M | 2026-08-12 |
| Northern Trust Corp | ▼ Sell | 2,619,334 | 0.99% | $163.45M | 2026-08-13 |
| Bank of America Corp | ▲ Buy | 2,572,217 | 0.97% | $160.51M | 2026-08-14 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 1,817,500 | 0.68% | $113.41M | 2026-08-14 |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | ▼ Sell | 1,145,513 | 0.43% | $71.48M | 2026-08-14 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | ▲ Buy | 772,448 | 0.29% | $48.20M | 2026-08-14 |
| Wells Fargo & Company | ▲ Buy | 746,643 | 0.28% | $46.59M | 2026-08-14 |
| Janus Henderson Group plc | ▼ Sell | 767,269 | 0.29% | $45.35M | 2026-05-18 |
| Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | ▲ Buy | 683,072 | 0.26% | $42.62M | 2026-08-14 |
| Citigroup Inc | ▲ Buy | 592,527 | 0.22% | $36.97M | 2026-08-03 |
| Neuberger Berman Group LLC | ▼ Sell | 347,618 | 0.13% | $21.69M | 2026-08-13 |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | ▲ Buy | 326,783 | 0.12% | $20.39M | 2026-09-02 |
| Gotham Asset Management, LLC | ▼ Sell | 295,840 | 0.11% | $18.46M | 2026-08-14 |
| Man Group plc | ▼ Sell | 243,874 | 0.09% | $15.22M | 2026-08-14 |
| AllianceBernstein L.P. | ▼ Sell | 257,380 | 0.10% | $15.21M | 2026-08-14 |
| Prudential Financial Inc | ▼ Sell | 176,869 | 0.07% | $11.04M | 2026-08-12 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▼ Sell | $15K - $50K | 2025-05-12 | 2025-06-22 |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▼ Sell | $15K - $50K | 2025-05-08 | 2025-06-22 |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▲ Buy | $15K - $50K | 2025-04-07 | 2025-05-08 |
| Julie Johnson | House | TX32 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-04-01 | 2025-05-14 |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▲ Buy | $15K - $50K | 2025-03-05 | 2025-04-11 |
| Ron Wyden | Senate | OR | ▼ Sell | $15K - $50K | 2022-11-11 | 2023-05-15 |