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Last updated3 minutes ago

AVY·Avery Dennison Corporation

$167.71
-3.38 (-1.98%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$168.27+0.56 (+0.33%)
High
$171.50
Open
$171.50
Market Cap
13.08B
52W High
$199.54
Low
$167.65
P. Close
$167.71
P/E
18.56
52W Low
$152.42
Fwd P/E
15.12
DailyIQ Est.
$205.42
Inst. Ownership
48.7%
Short Interest
3.42%
Days to Cover
2.1
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
Insider activity on September 16 saw SVP & CIO Nicholas Colisto sell 3,886 shares of AVY, a modest $663 k transaction that may signal a short‑term confidence shift and could prompt traders to reassess near‑term earnings expectations. The sale is likely to influence short‑term volatility, so watch for any commentary from senior management in the upcoming earnings release that could clarify the company’s strategic direction. A week later, AVY announced a high‑value category investor showcase on September 23, which will highlight its eco‑friendly packaging and labeling portfolio; the event is a routine investor‑relations activity but could provide fresh insight into product demand trends. The showcase’s focus on high‑value categories suggests the firm is positioning itself to capture margin‑sensitive markets, so monitor the session’s Q&A for any hints of new product launches or pricing power. In Q2, AVY beat revenue estimates with $2.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.89, reinforcing its earnings strength amid macro‑headwinds; this beat supports a modest upward revision of price targets and signals that the company’s cost‑efficient scale is holding. The earnings call emphasized accelerated organic growth, strong free cash flow, and a reaffirmed full‑year outlook despite expected inventory destocking, indicating that the firm is managing supply‑chain pressures while maintaining profitability. These developments together suggest that AVY’s near‑term outlook remains solid, but traders should watch for any changes in guidance or cost‑control initiatives that could affect valuation. Finally, keep an eye on the next earnings release and the investor showcase replay for updates on high‑value category demand and any strategic adjustments that may emerge.
Earnings Summary
Avery Dennison Corporation is a global materials science and digital identification solutions provider, delivering pressure‑sensitive label materials, performance tapes, and specialty adhesives across diverse industries such as apparel, retail, pharmaceuticals, and automotive. Operating within the consumer cyclical packaging sector, the company leverages RFID technology and sustainable packaging to enhance brand visibility and operational efficiency. In the last two quarters, Q1 2026 revenue fell to $2.298 billion from $2.250 billion in Q4 2025, while Q2 2026 revenue surged to $2.463 billion, reflecting a 6.4% YoY increase and a 6.3% sequential rise. EPS mirrored this pattern: Q1 2026 EPS of $2.47 was slightly below the $2.52 estimate, whereas Q2 2026 EPS of $2.89 exceeded the $2.49 estimate by 16%, driven largely by the Intelligent Labels platform. The company has consistently beat earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with EPS beats in three of those periods and revenue beats in two. Historically, Avery Dennison has maintained steady YoY revenue growth, averaging 4–5% annually, while occasionally missing EPS estimates during periods of raw‑material cost pressure. Recent news highlights a $482.6 million share buyback and a $1.00 quarterly dividend, underscoring confidence in cash flow. The Q2 2026 earnings call emphasized accelerated organic sales growth and pricing power, though management cautioned that customer destocking and rising material costs could temper near‑term momentum. Investors should watch for updates on raw‑material hedging, inventory destocking, and the next earnings guidance to gauge whether the bullish sentiment will sustain or if implied volatility spikes translate into a sharp move.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.24$2.42$2.61$2.79$2.97Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.33 - -
Q2'26$2.49$2.89+15.9%
Q1'26$2.52$2.47-2.0%
Q4'25$2.42$2.45+1.1%
Q3'25$2.33$2.37+1.9%
Q2'25$2.39$2.42+1.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.2B$2.3B$2.3B$2.4B$2.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.3B - -
Q2'26$2.3B$2.5B+6.2%
Q1'26$2.3B$2.3B-1.2%
Q4'25$2.3B$2.3B-1.6%
Q3'25 - $2.2B -
Q2'25 - $2.2B -

Market Data

AVY Stock Snapshot

HOLD45/100
$168.27+$0.56 (0.3%)
Market cap
13.08B
P/E ratio
18.6
Day range
$167.65 – $171.50
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$201.80 (+19.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 19 analysts
52-week range+10.4% off low · -15.7% from high
$152.42$199.54
Price $168.27 DailyIQ Est. $205.42

Neither side has the upper hand on AVY right now, and the indicator set reflects that. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into AVY?

FAIR

At today's price, Avery Dennison Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 2.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.01% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.6% a year, so the market is asking for 2.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis AVY looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
2.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
5.6%
Growth gap
-2.7 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.01%
Beta
0.66

Behaviour On Record

What AVY's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
18.4% 39th pct
Below its peak
-26.9%
vs 200-day average
-3.1%
Up days (1y)
48%

Avery Dennison Corporation is currently running 18.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AVY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 20.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AVY is trading -26.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.7%, and the deepest was -42.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -3.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 27th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year AVY closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, AVY finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.4% and an average of -1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.8% on average, its weakest September at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AVY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 95 of 3,268 sessions (2.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.5% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, AVY moved an average of 1.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.1% and a largest of -2.8%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AVY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AVY's sector?

Avery Dennison Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AVY?

CallsPuts

For Avery Dennison Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.40), with at-the-money implied volatility around 47.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±11.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $161.76–$205.62.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.40
ATM implied volatility
47.8%
Total open interest
932
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±11.9% ($161.76–$205.62)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AVY?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Avery Dennison Corporation to Buy on Jul 31, 2026 with a price target of $225 (from $218). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
UBSBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 31, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$218 → $225
Jul 31, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$184 → $186
Jul 31, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$185 → $190
Jul 15, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$221 → $209
Jul 14, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$202 → $210
Jul 9, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$185 → $184
Apr 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$190 → $185
Apr 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$205 → $185
Apr 29, 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratedBuy$223 → $221
Apr 15, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$233 → $223
Apr 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$201 → $190
Apr 10, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$226 → $222

AVY Competitive Positioning

Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) is tracked alongside these names in Packaging & Containers on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.