IP·International Paper Company

Realized volatility (21d)

30.8% 71st pct

Below its peak

-51.1%

vs 200-day average

-15.9%

Up days (1y)

45%

International Paper Company is currently running 30.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against IP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 71st percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 24.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

IP is trading -51.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.7%, and the deepest was -42.3% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -15.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 12th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year IP closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, IP finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.4% and an average of +0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: IP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 100 of 3,267 sessions (3.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.7% and -9.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, IP moved an average of 5.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +4.2% and a largest of +5.6%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against IP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.