INTC·Intel Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

55.8% 87th pct

Below its peak

-27.1%

vs 200-day average

+18.5%

Up days (1y)

52%

Intel Corporation is currently running 55.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against INTC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 30.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

INTC is trading -27.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.5%, and the deepest was -62.0% in 2024. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +18.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 81st percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year INTC closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, INTC finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +2.1% and an average of +1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been September at +7.7% on average, its weakest July at -3.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: INTC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 93 of 3,274 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.5% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, INTC moved an average of 8.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -8.3% and a largest of -12.5%.

All figures computed from 3,275 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against INTC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.