DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

HON·Honeywell International Inc.

$209.61
+1.98 (+0.95%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$209.80+0.19 (+0.09%)
High
$210.00
Open
$207.06
Market Cap
65.81B
52W High
$260.48
Low
$206.38
P. Close
$209.61
P/E
7.63
52W Low
$195.76
Fwd P/E
20.99
DailyIQ Est.
$272.38
Inst. Ownership
7.0%
Short Interest
1.68%
Days to Cover
1.6
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
32
BEARISH
Honeywell’s CEO and CFO will speak at the Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference on September 15, a routine investor outreach that does not signal a change in guidance or performance. The company’s recent spin‑off of its Aerospace unit has prompted Morgan Stanley to lift its price target to $250 and upgrade its outlook, citing a higher‑margin industrial and defense focus and increased R&D spending at 4.5 % of sales. That upgrade comes after the firm’s own equal‑weight rating was maintained, suggesting analysts view the post‑spinoff structure as a neutral catalyst for near‑term earnings. Meanwhile, Honeywell’s earnings guidance for the year has been revised downward, with a projected 61.9 % drop in quarterly EPS to $2.15 and a 51.1 % decline in revenue, underscoring a sharp contraction in operating performance. The company’s Q2 results beat expectations, with a $20 B backlog that supports revenue stability, but the guidance cut signals that the upside may be limited in the next 1–10 trading days. Process Automation revenue fell 1 % YoY in Q2 2026, reflecting weaker aftermarket sales and project delays, which could dampen short‑term growth expectations. Leadership changes in the Process Technology and Building Automation divisions, effective October 1, may bring renewed focus on automation and building solutions, but the market remains uncertain about the impact of these appointments. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the revised guidance and any commentary on cost control or strategic initiatives, while monitoring the conference presentations for updates on revenue outlook and capital allocation.
Earnings Summary
Honeywell International, a diversified technology and manufacturing conglomerate headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, operates across aerospace, industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability segments, serving a global customer base with critical components and services. In the most recent quarter, Q2 2026, the company reported EPS of $1.95 versus an estimate of $4.86, a significant miss, and revenue of $5.19 billion against an estimate of $9.60 billion, marking a sharp contraction from the $10.35 billion revenue reported in Q2 2025. Compared to the prior two quarters, Q1 2026 saw EPS of $2.45 beating the $2.35 estimate and revenue of $9.14 billion versus an estimate of $9.39 billion, a modest decline. The pattern shows a recent acceleration in revenue decline and EPS misses, with the company beating estimates in only one of the last four quarters. Historically, Honeywell has maintained double‑digit YoY revenue growth through 2025, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in earlier periods; however, the last two quarters reveal a reversal, with revenue falling 5.5% YoY in Q4 2025 and EPS falling 0.5% YoY in Q1 2026. Recent news highlights a downgrade to Strong Sell by Zacks following negative earnings‑estimate revisions and a spin‑off of its Aerospace unit, which prompted a price target lift to $250 by Morgan Stanley but also a downward revision of guidance, signaling a potential contraction in operating performance. Investors should watch the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release for confirmation of the revised guidance, any commentary on cost control or strategic initiatives, and the impact of the Aerospace spin‑off on future revenue streams, as these factors will be key to assessing whether the company can reverse its recent decline.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.51$2.46$3.41$4.35$5.30Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.17 - -
Q2'26$4.86$1.95-59.9%
Q1'26$2.35$2.45+4.5%
Q4'25$2.57$2.59+1.0%
Q3'25$2.57$2.82+9.9%
Q2'25$2.66$2.75+3.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.3B$6.0B$7.7B$9.5B$11.2BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.1B - -
Q2'26$9.6B$5.2B-46.0%
Q1'26$9.4B$9.1B-2.7%
Q4'25$10.0B$9.8B-2.0%
Q3'25 - $10.4B -
Q2'25 - $10.4B -

Market Data

HON Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$209.80+$0.19 (0.1%)
Market cap
65.81B
P/E ratio
7.6
Day range
$206.38 – $210.00
News sentiment
32/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$264.32 (+26.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 33 analysts
52-week range+7.2% off low · -19.5% from high
$195.76$260.48
Price $209.80 DailyIQ Est. $272.38

HON is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into HON?

RICH

At today's price, Honeywell International Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 6.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.16% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.3% a year, so the market is asking for 3.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis HON looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
6.1%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.3%
Growth gap
+3.8 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
7.16%
Beta
0.85

Behaviour On Record

What HON's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.3% 89th pct
Below its peak
-20.1%
vs 200-day average
-9.6%
Up days (1y)
50%

Honeywell International Inc. is currently running 28.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HON's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 89th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 18.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HON is trading -20.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.0%, and the deepest was -41.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -9.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 5th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HON closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, HON finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.4% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.3% on average, its weakest September at -1.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HON has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 52 of 3,268 sessions (1.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.2% and -9.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, HON moved an average of 0.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.1% and a largest of -0.4%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HON's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of HON's sector?

Honeywell International Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for HON?

CallsPuts

For Honeywell International Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-11, 6 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.92), with at-the-money implied volatility around 26.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $201.37–$214.91.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-11)
1.92
ATM implied volatility
26.2%
Total open interest
1,373
Expected move by 2026-09-11
±3.3% ($201.37–$214.91)

HON Competitive Positioning

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) is tracked alongside these names in Conglomerates on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.