HON·Honeywell International Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

16.8% 40th pct

Below its peak

-20.2%

vs 200-day average

-10.1%

Up days (1y)

50%

Honeywell International Inc. is currently running 16.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HON's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 40th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 18.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HON is trading -20.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.0%, and the deepest was -41.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -10.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 5th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HON closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, HON finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of +2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.3% on average, its weakest September at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HON has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 52 of 3,268 sessions (1.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.2% and -9.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, HON moved an average of 0.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.1% and a largest of -0.4%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HON's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.