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DCI·Donaldson Company Inc.

$90.11
+0.92 (+1.03%)
Pre-Market
High
$90.02
Open
$90.02
Market Cap
10.26B
52W High
$112.84
Low
$90.02
P. Close
$90.11
P/E
22.60
52W Low
$79.42
Fwd P/E
18.56
DailyIQ Est.
$102.01
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
2.76%
Days to Cover
5.1
Technical Score (1D)
68
BULLISH
News Sentiment
69
BULLISH
On the 1D view, DCI scores 68 out of 100 with a BUY signal and firm momentum. The trend bias is bullish, and price action is constructive - conditions that typically favor continuation over mean reversion. Sentiment at 69 is aligned with the price structure, removing a common source of friction that can stall trending stocks. The neutral range RSI reading further supports the view that this setup hasn't been pushed to extremes. Going forward, a sustained move above $93.62 would be the next confirmation that buyers are still in control. If the stock pulls back, the area around $86.42 is where trend-followers would look to re-engage before the next potential leg higher. Position sizing in setups like this usually comes down to how much room there is before $93.62 - the tighter that gap, the more a trader is paying up for confirmation rather than buying ahead of it. With moderate trend structure and firm momentum both intact, scaling in on strength rather than waiting for a full pullback to $86.42 is a defensible approach as long as risk is sized to that lower level.
LOW TARGET
$79 -12.2%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$100 +11.5%
8 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$123 +36.6%
4 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$79.00 - $123.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
3/2/7/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$102.01 (+13.3%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
61,644 shares
$5.5M
Becker Amy CChief Legal Officer
Award/Grant14,800 shares2026-10-01
CEBULLA ANDREW J.Corporate Controller
Award/Grant4,624 shares2026-10-01
DeVincke Darcy JChief Human Resources Officer
Award/Grant10,400 shares2026-10-01
Driesen Bart C.President
Award/Grant12,800 shares2026-10-01
Lewis Richard BrentPresident
Award/Grant84,200 shares2026-10-01
71/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
34.6%
Net Margin
11.7%
Revenue CAGR
4.4%
Current Ratio
2.08x
Debt / Equity
0.75x
Return on Equity
25.7%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.00$1.04$1.08$1.13$1.17Q2'25Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.03$1.15+11.7%
Q2'25$1.02$1.03+1.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$969M$994M$1.0B$1.0B$1.1BQ2'25Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.1B$1.1B+0.7%
Q2'25 - $981M -

Market Data

DCI Stock Snapshot

BULLISH68/100
$90.02−$0.09 (0.1%)
Market cap
10.26B
P/E ratio
22.6
Day range
$90.02 – $90.02
News sentiment
69/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$100.40 (+11.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 14 analysts
52-week range+13.3% off low · -20.2% from high
$79.42$112.84
Price $90.02 DailyIQ Est. $102.01

Donaldson Company Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting in the lower half of its 52-week range. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into DCI?

RICH

At today's price, Donaldson Company Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 13.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.60% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 4.8% a year, so the market is asking for 9.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis DCI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
13.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
4.8%
Growth gap
+9.0 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.60%
Beta
0.83

Behaviour On Record

What DCI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
13.3% 12th pct
Below its peak
-19.9%
vs 200-day average
-2.2%
Up days (1y)
52%

Donaldson Company Inc. is currently running 13.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DCI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 12th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 20.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DCI is trading -19.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.9%, and the deepest was -42.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year DCI closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, DCI finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.3% and an average of +2.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.2% on average, its weakest March at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DCI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 102 of 3,267 sessions (3.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.4% and -12.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DCI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DCI's sector?

Donaldson Company Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DCI?

CallsPuts

For Donaldson Company Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.24), with at-the-money implied volatility around 6.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±1.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $86.46–$88.18.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.24
ATM implied volatility
6.3%
Total open interest
759
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±1.0% ($86.46–$88.18)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DCI?

Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Donaldson Company Inc. to Equal-Weight on Sep 29, 2026 with a price target of $95 (from $91). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Morgan Stanley — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$91 → $95
Aug 27, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$105 → $110
Aug 19, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$95 → $105
Jun 4, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$96 → $91
Mar 30, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$104 → $95
Mar 9, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$93 → $91
Feb 27, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$110 → $104
Feb 3, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$120 → $123
Jan 9, 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold → Buy$92 → $120
Dec 5, 2025StifelMaintainedHold$90 → $96
Dec 5, 2025BairdMaintainedOutperform$96 → $100
Dec 3, 2025BairdMaintainedOutperform$85 → $96

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

69/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Morgan Stanley analyst Angel Castillo upgraded Donaldson (DCI) to an Equal‑Weight rating and lifted the price target from $91 to $95. The upgrade reflects confidence in DCI’s earnings outlook and its competitive positioning in the data‑center infrastructure market. The firm cited improved margin dynamics and a robust order backlog as key drivers for the higher valuation. This move signals a positive outlook for DCI’s near‑term financial performance.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company’s stock was evaluated on September 27 as potentially undervalued by 16% when measured against its durable cash flow. Analysts noted the firm’s 60.9% total return over five years and steady cash inflows from filtration and aftermarket products. The discounted cash flow model suggested a higher intrinsic value than the then‑trading price of $87.41. The valuation gap was highlighted as a buying opportunity for investors seeking value in a stable cash‑generating business.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company reported fiscal 2026 fourth‑quarter adjusted earnings and revenue that surpassed analyst expectations, driven by higher volumes, stronger pricing, and a favorable product mix. The company issued a fiscal 2027 outlook forecasting sales growth across its industrial, mobile, and life‑sciences segments. It also announced a share‑repurchase program targeting approximately 1% of its shares, signaling confidence in its valuation and future cash flow.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company (DCI) reported fourth‑quarter fiscal 2026 results that exceeded analyst expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.15 versus a consensus of $1.12. Revenue rose 8.0% to $1.06 billion, surpassing the $1.04 billion consensus by 1.5%. The company benefited from higher volume, pricing power, and a favorable product mix across all regions, driving growth in North America, EMEA, LATAM, and APAC.
What did this article say?
Donaldson (DCI) has reduced its share count through consistent buybacks, boosting EPS growth relative to net income. The company’s replacement‑parts revenue continues to fund these buybacks, while dividends remain steady. Management projects the share‑count decline to taper in fiscal 2027, potentially stabilizing EPS growth. The stock trades 20% below its 52‑week high, offering a pullback target for value‑oriented investors.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) participated in Morgan Stanley’s 14th Annual Laguna Conference, where CFO Brad Pogalz and IR head Sarika Dhadwal addressed analysts. The company reiterated its focus on expanding high‑margin specialty filtration products and emphasized ongoing investment in R&D to support long‑term growth. DCI confirmed its guidance for the fiscal year, noting that recent product launches are expected to lift revenue in the second half. The presentation also touched on supply‑chain resilience and cost‑control initiatives that should help maintain profitability margins. Overall, the briefing reinforced DCI’s steady trajectory without signaling any immediate material change.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Industrial (DCI) is under scrutiny for its modest long‑term revenue growth of 6.4% CAGR, below the industrials benchmark, and for weak constant‑currency expansion that signals soft demand. The company’s stock has underperformed the S&P 500 over the past six months, reflecting investor caution. Analysts highlight these factors as potential risks to portfolio exposure and suggest alternative holdings.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company’s CEO, Richard B. Lewis, has been appointed to the board of Graco Inc., a move that broadens DCI’s strategic reach within the manufacturing sector. The appointment signals DCI’s continued leadership presence in related industries and may enhance cross‑company collaboration. While the decision does not directly alter DCI’s financials, it reflects confidence in the company’s executive team and could strengthen its market positioning. The appointment also underscores DCI’s reputation as a sought‑after partner in the filtration and manufacturing space.
What did this article say?
On September 10, Donaldson Chairman Tod E. Carpenter exercised a sizable block of company stock options, selling roughly $1.48 million of shares. The transaction was disclosed via a Form 4 filing and represents a significant insider sell. While the move may signal a short‑term bearish view, it does not necessarily indicate a long‑term shift in company fundamentals.
What did this article say?
Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) participated in the Jefferies Global Industrials Conference on September 9, 2026, where senior management outlined the company’s strategic priorities and operational outlook. The presentation emphasized continued investment in filtration technology, expansion into emerging markets, and a focus on cost discipline. While the remarks reinforced existing guidance, no new financial targets or material catalysts were disclosed, suggesting a steady, non‑surprising update for investors.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

68
BULLISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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