UNP·Union Pacific Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

18.0% 33rd pct

Below its peak

-1.2%

vs 200-day average

+13.0%

Up days (1y)

54%

Union Pacific Corporation is currently running 18.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against UNP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 33rd percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 21.0%.

UNP is trading -1.2% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.2%, and the deepest was -39.1% in 2015. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +13.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 83rd percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year UNP closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, UNP finished the month higher 11 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.0% and an average of +5.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.5% on average, its weakest March at -1.5%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: UNP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 62 of 3,268 sessions (1.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.5% and -6.0%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, UNP moved an average of 1.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 4 times, with a median move of -1.2% and a largest of -1.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against UNP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.