DOW·Dow Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

32.3% 57th pct

Below its peak

-57.7%

vs 200-day average

-5.0%

Up days (1y)

48%

Dow Inc. is currently running 32.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DOW's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 57th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 29.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DOW is trading -57.7% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -36.4%, and the deepest was -56.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -5.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 40th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year DOW closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 8 years of records, DOW finished the month higher 2 of 8 times, with a median return of -4.0% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.0% on average, its weakest June at -5.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DOW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 49 of 1,883 sessions (2.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.1% and -9.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, DOW moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.1% and a largest of -3.9%.

All figures computed from 1,884 daily closes between 2019-03-20 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DOW's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.