DailyIQ
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Sector:Basic MaterialsAll sectors
Last updated 1 hour ago

DOW·Dow Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$29.16
Open
$28.78
Market Cap
20.98B
52W High
$42.74
Low
$28.51
P. Close
$29.03
P/E
-
52W Low
$20.40
Fwd P/E
14.59
DailyIQ Est.
$37.89
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Dow shares slipped, lagging the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, while the Basic Materials sector fell sharply and the Dow index rose only modestly. The move is largely a short‑term reaction to sector weakness, but investors are focused on the company’s upcoming earnings on July 23, 2026, where analysts project a 404.76 % jump in EPS to $1.28 and revenue growth of 18.82 % to $12.01 billion. If the earnings report confirms the upside, it could lift the stock and offset the current volatility, but the market remains cautious amid recent analyst downgrades. UBS cut its price target from $37 to $29 a day and a half ago, citing margin pressure and weaker demand, while BMO trimmed its target to $33 from $46, both signaling a more bearish near‑term view. RBC Capital’s latest downgrade to Sector Perform and a price target reduction to $28 further underscore concerns about polyethylene price volatility and the impact of the Alberta petrochemicals project on cash flow. These analyst actions suggest that traders should watch the earnings release for guidance on margins, raw‑material costs, and the status of the Alberta cracker spend. In addition, the recent long‑term partnership with Univar to distribute Decarbia low‑carbon products could provide a new revenue stream, but its execution timeline remains unclear. The combination of potential earnings upside, analyst pessimism, and a strategic low‑carbon push creates a mixed outlook that could swing the stock in the next 1–10 trading days. Therefore, keep a close eye on the July 23 earnings announcement, any updates on polyethylene pricing, and the progress of the Univar distribution rollout, as these will be the key catalysts moving forward.
Earnings Summary
Dow Inc. is a global materials science leader delivering essential products across packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer goods, operating through plastics, industrial intermediates, and performance materials segments that serve construction, automotive, and packaging markets worldwide. In the last two quarters, Dow’s revenue rose from $9.46 billion in Q4 2025 to $9.79 billion in Q1 2026, while earnings per share improved from a loss of $0.34 to $0.14, beating analyst expectations in both periods; the company also beat estimates in Q1 2025 and Q3 2025 but missed in Q4 2024 and Q2 2025, indicating a mixed but improving earnings trajectory. Historically, Dow has shown a gradual decline in revenue from $10.41 billion in Q4 2024 to $9.79 billion in Q1 2026, yet EPS has trended upward from a loss of $0.47 in Q4 2025 to $0.14 in Q1 2026, with the company beating estimates in three of the last five quarters. Recent analyst commentary highlights concerns over polyethylene price volatility, margin pressure, and the Alberta petrochemicals project, all of which could strain cash flow; shares have slipped amid these worries, and UBS, BMO, and RBC have lowered price targets. Forward‑looking watch points for investors include monitoring guidance on raw‑material costs, production volumes, and any regulatory impacts that could affect margins, as well as tracking polyethylene price movements, the Decarbia partnership timeline, and updates on the Alberta cracker spend, all of which will shape Dow’s near‑term profitability and valuation. Additionally, the company’s recent focus on sustainability initiatives and low‑carbon product development could influence future demand dynamics, though the impact on short‑term earnings remains uncertain. Investors should also keep an eye on the timing of the company’s capital allocation decisions, particularly any potential divestitures or strategic acquisitions that could alter the balance sheet.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.73$-0.17$0.39$0.95$1.51Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.25 - -
Q1'26$-0.29$-0.14+51.9%
Q4'25$-0.47$-0.34+27.5%
Q3'25$-0.30$-0.19+36.8%
Q2'25$-0.16$-0.42-156.3%
Q1'25$-0.01$0.02+249.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$9.1B$9.9B$10.8B$11.6B$12.5BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$12.1B - -
Q1'26$9.7B$9.8B+1.3%
Q4'25$9.6B$9.5B-1.0%
Q3'25 - $10.0B -
Q2'25 - $10.1B -
Q1'25 - $10.4B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

DOW Stock Snapshot

DOW is currently trading at $29.00, giving Dow Inc. a market cap of 20.98B. Today's range spans $28.51–$29.16, with shares opening at $28.78 and moving down $0.03 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 56/100.

Over the past year DOW has traded between $20.40 and $42.74 - the current price is +42.2% off the 52-week low and -32.1% from the high. 25 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $37.44 (range $28.00–$48.00), implying upside of +29.1%.

DOW sits at $29.00 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) with a HOLD technical read (36/100) and neutral sentiment (56/100). The 20.98B market cap in Basic Materials makes this a name that institutional coverage maintains even through neutral phases - which means any catalyst shift will be quickly priced in. Annual range: $20.40–$42.74.

Portfolio construction in Basic Materials often uses large-cap names like DOW as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 36/100 (HOLD) at $29.00 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) and neutral sentiment (56/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $20.40–$42.74 annual range rather than a directional bet.