DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

ALB·Albemarle Corporation

$126.23
-5.93 (-4.49%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$127.25+1.02 (+0.81%)
High
$132.71
Open
$126.90
Market Cap
16.06B
52W High
$221.00
Low
$122.45
P. Close
$126.23
P/E
71.66
52W Low
$71.25
Fwd P/E
11.70
DailyIQ Est.
$183.26
Inst. Ownership
68.5%
Short Interest
8.11%
Days to Cover
4.2
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Albemarle’s most recent analyst update, issued 6 hours ago, keeps the stock on a Hold rating with a flat long‑term net‑income outlook and no new catalysts, implying that the market is not yet pricing in any immediate upside or downside. This lack of fresh upside material means the next 1–10 trading days will likely see the share price largely reflect the current lithium‑price environment rather than company‑specific news. Earlier this week, a sector‑wide shift rewarded profitable lithium producers over speculative names, lifting Albemarle’s valuation relative to peers and suggesting that earnings‑driven momentum could sustain the current rally. The company’s Q2 2026 earnings jump and raised full‑year guidance for net sales and lithium volumes reinforce the narrative that Albemarle can maintain profitability amid price swings, but the upside remains contingent on a rebound in lithium demand. Meanwhile, liquidity of $3.2 billion and a 1.2 % dividend yield provide a cushion that could support shareholder returns if lithium prices recover. Recent price‑target cuts from JPMorgan and Scotiabank to $140 and $190 respectively, driven by commodity‑price volatility, signal that valuation pressure may intensify if lithium prices stay low. The company’s focus on low‑cost assets and brownfield opportunities, highlighted by RBC, offers a potential margin‑expansion lever that could offset some commodity risk. In the short term, traders should watch for the next earnings release and any updates on lithium‑price trends, as well as any guidance revisions that might clarify whether Albemarle’s cost‑cutting and expansion plans will translate into sustained margin growth.
Earnings Summary
Albemarle Corporation is a global specialty chemicals producer focused on lithium compounds for energy storage, bromine‑based chemicals, and clean‑fuel catalysts, operating in the basic‑materials sector. In Q2 2026, Albemarle reported revenue of $1.743 billion, up 31% YoY from $1.309 billion in Q1 2026, and EPS of $3.75 versus an estimate of $3.27, marking a beat; Q1 2026 EPS of $2.95 beat the $1.31 estimate. Revenue growth accelerated from $1.309 billion in Q1 2026 to $1.743 billion in Q2 2026, while EPS growth outpaced revenue, reflecting improved margins. Historically, Albemarle has experienced a YoY revenue growth of 10–15% over the past three years, with EPS turning positive in Q1 2026 after a period of losses, and the company has consistently beat EPS estimates in recent quarters. Recent news highlights a sector shift rewarding profitable lithium producers, a JPMorgan downgrade due to falling lithium prices, and a sharp rebound in Q2 2026 profitability driven by higher lithium prices and robust specialties volumes; the company also raised full‑year guidance and maintained a strong liquidity position. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to confirm whether Albemarle can sustain its margin expansion amid volatile lithium pricing, monitor lithium price movements and supply‑chain updates such as the Greenbushes plant status, and observe any regulatory developments that could impact lithium extraction or battery production.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.57$-0.07$1.44$2.94$4.44Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.50 - -
Q2'26$3.27$3.75+14.7%
Q1'26$1.31$2.95+124.6%
Q4'25$0.10$-0.53-621.0%
Q3'25$-0.88$-0.19+78.3%
Q2'25$-0.81$0.11+113.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.2B$1.4B$1.5B$1.7B$1.8BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.5B - -
Q2'26$1.6B$1.7B+7.7%
Q1'26$1.3B$1.4B+8.5%
Q4'25$1.4B$1.4B+5.7%
Q3'25 - $1.3B -
Q2'25 - $1.3B -

Market Data

ALB Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$127.25+$1.02 (0.8%)
Market cap
16.06B
P/E ratio
71.7
Day range
$122.45 – $132.71
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$172.56 (+35.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+78.6% off low · -42.4% from high
$71.25$221.00
Price $127.25 DailyIQ Est. $183.26

Albemarle Corporation is consolidating: price is in the lower half of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What ALB's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
46.7% 69th pct
Below its peak
-59.5%
vs 200-day average
-16.1%
Up days (1y)
53%

Albemarle Corporation is currently running 46.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ALB's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 69th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 38.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ALB is trading -59.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.4%, and the deepest was -60.4% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -16.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ALB closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ALB finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.4% and an average of +1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.9% on average, its weakest March at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ALB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 231 of 3,267 sessions (7.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.3% and -21.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ALB moved an average of 3.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.5% and a largest of -6.1%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ALB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ALB's sector?

Albemarle Corporation sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 3rd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#3 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
40

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ALB?

CallsPuts

For Albemarle Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-04, 13 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.41), with at-the-money implied volatility around 209.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±35.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $90.83–$192.41.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-04)
1.41
ATM implied volatility
209.4%
Total open interest
5,680
Expected move by 2026-09-04
±35.9% ($90.83–$192.41)

ALB Competitive Positioning

Albemarle Corporation (ALB) is tracked alongside these names in Specialty Chemicals on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.