EL|Analyst Targets
EL|Company Info
EL|Insider Trading
EL|Fundamentals
EL|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $1.24 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $0.52 | $0.72 | +38.0% |
| Q4'26 | $0.32 | $0.39 | +22.1% |
| Q3'26 | $0.35 | $0.91 | +158.7% |
| Q2'26 | $0.86 | $0.89 | +3.9% |
| Q4'25 | $0.18 | $0.32 | +81.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $4.6B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $3.8B | $3.7B | -1.3% |
| Q4'26 | $3.6B | $3.6B | -0.6% |
| Q3'26 | $3.5B | $3.7B | +4.6% |
| Q2'26 | $4.3B | $4.2B | -2.6% |
| Q4'25 | $4.2B | $3.5B | -17.4% |
EL|Monthly Returns
Market Data
EL Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 40.60B
- P/E ratio
- 110.3
- Day range
- $105.00 – $110.93
- News sentiment
- 57/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $113.98 (+3.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 39 analysts
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is consolidating: price is in the upper part of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into EL?
At today's price, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 18.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 9.11% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -4.2% a year, so the market is asking for 22.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis EL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 18.7%
- Growth trend
- -4.2%
- Growth gap
- +22.9 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 9.11%
- Beta
- 1.25
Behaviour On Record
What EL's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 43.9% 84th pct
- Below its peak
- -69.8%
- vs 200-day average
- +22.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 50%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is currently running 43.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 84th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.9%.
EL is trading -69.8% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.5%, and the deepest was -63.3% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +22.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 90th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year EL closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, EL finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.0% and an average of +4.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest March at -3.2%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: EL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 118 of 3,268 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.3% and -11.7%.
Across the last 5 dated reports on file, EL moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 5 times, with a median move of +0.6% and a largest of +4.3%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of EL's sector?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 73
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect EL to earn?
Analysts expect The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. to earn $3.33 per share in the fiscal year ending Jun 2027 and $5.23 in the fiscal year ending Jun 2030, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EL?
Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. to Overweight on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $126 (from $108). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Barclays: Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Enhanced its global value chain agility and efficiency with the opening of its Hainan Fulfillment Center in July 2026 and investment in advanced water infrastructure at its Oevel manufacturing campus in Belgium, announced in October 2026
New this quarter - 2
Greater increase in the first half compared to the second due to: (i) more new product launches earlier in fiscal 2027, (ii) an increase in travel retail shipments reflecting retail trend improvements entering fiscal 2027 and (iii) a lower base of travel retail shipments in the first half of fiscal 2026 relative to the second half
New this quarter - 3
The Ordinary net sales increased, reflecting targeted expanded consumer reach, along with growth in existing distribution supported by key activations, by the success of its Glycolic Acid 7% Exfoliating Toner and the launch of Lacto‑PDRN 4% + B9 Eye Cream.
New this quarter
Peers
EL peers
Household & Personal ProductsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about EL?
EL rose 18.3% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 32 and 94 from Oct 6 to Nov 5, then dropped to 46 on Nov 6.
- Oct 15 +5.9%same day: The Estée Lauder Companies Announces BEAUTY&YOU India 2026 Winners and Marks Five Years of Advancing Indian Beauty Entrepreneurship
- Nov 2 -7.0%same day: The Estée Lauder Companies Reports Fiscal 2027 First Quarter Results
- Nov 4 +6.6%same day: The Estée Lauder Companies Announces Fiscal 2030 Ambition at Its Capital Markets Experience: China Ecosystem Immersion Event
Technical analysis
How strong is EL's momentum right now?
On the daily chart EL ranks at the 37th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling EL?
110 of the 202 tracked managers added to EL in their latest 13F and 90 trimmed. Together they own 55.3% of the company, worth $16.3B. Bank of America and BlackRock alone hold 11.5%.
- 1Bank of America Corp5.78%$1.7B positionAdded 53.5% last quarter
- 2BlackRock, Inc.5.67%$1.6B positionAdded 12.3% last quarter
- $1.3B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- $977.6M positionAdded 2.0% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp3.14%$911.3M positionTrimmed 2.1% last quarter
- 6FMR LLC (Fidelity)2.90%$840.5M positionTrimmed 41.2% last quarter
- $711.4M positionAdded 13.6% last quarter
- $523.9M positionAdded 0.1% last quarter
- 9Invesco Ltd.1.60%$462.6M positionAdded 12.5% last quarter
- 10Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.41%$482.1M positionTrimmed 10.7% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading EL?
8 members of Congress disclosed 15 EL trades between Feb 19, 2014 and Sep 28, 2026: 8 buys and 7 sells, about $378.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has EL done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, EL returned +27.5%. Of the 14 related stocks and ETFs, none did better.
- 1ELThis stockup 27.5%
- 2TGTTarget Corporationup 21.5%−5.9 pts
- 3KOThe Coca-Cola Companyup 21.1%−6.4 pts
- 4MNSTMonster Beverage Corporationup 19.6%−7.8 pts
- 5PMPhilip Morris International Inc.up 16.7%−10.7 pts
- 6CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.up 15.6%−11.8 pts
- 7PGThe Procter & Gamble Companyup 12.2%−15.3 pts
- 8CLColgate-Palmolive Companyup 9.8%−17.6 pts
- 15PEPPepsiCo, Inc.down 9.4%−36.9 pts