DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 1 hour ago

EL·The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$91.19
Open
$90.85
Market Cap
33.25B
52W High
$121.64
Low
$89.50
P. Close
$90.87
P/E
-
52W Low
$64.83
Fwd P/E
28.46
Mean Target
$95.43
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Estée Lauder (EL) had explored a potential combination with Spanish beauty group Puig, according to Puig's executive chairman. These discussions were one of two approaches Puig received, with Kering also having engaged in talks for a licensing agreement. Puig emphasized that the company is not for sale and that any potential merger would require alignment on governance, leadership, and valuation. This news suggests EL is actively seeking strategic growth avenues in a competitive beauty market. Investors will be watching for any further developments regarding EL's M&A strategy and its ability to secure partnerships that enhance its portfolio.
Earnings Summary
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is a global leader in the prestige beauty market, offering a wide array of skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products under well-known brands like Estée Lauder and Clinique. Operating within the Consumer Defensive sector's Household & Personal Products industry, the company's performance is influenced by consumer spending trends and global market dynamics. Recent quarterly performance shows a mixed picture; for Q2 2026, Estée Lauder reported EPS of $0.89 on revenue of $4.229 billion, a significant increase from Q2 2025's EPS of $0.09 on revenue of $3.408 billion. However, Q3 2026 saw EPS of $0.91 on revenue of $3.712 billion, which followed a strong Q4 2025 where EPS was $0.62 on revenue of $4.004 billion. The company has demonstrated a tendency to beat EPS estimates, achieving this in Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, and Q3 2026, while Q2 2026 also saw an actual EPS of $0.89 against an estimate of $0.857. Historically, Estée Lauder has shown year-over-year revenue growth, with EPS figures also trending upwards in recent periods, though specific quarters have seen fluctuations. Recent news indicates a minority investment in luxury skincare brand 111SKIN, alongside caution from analysts at RBC Capital Markets, Jefferies, and TD Cowen, who have lowered price targets, citing valuation concerns and potential near-term challenges. Despite these headwinds, the company is reportedly benefiting from a recovery in the Chinese beauty market. Investors will be watching for management's commentary on sales drivers, particularly the impact of the China market rebound, and how strategic investments and potential margin pressures from tariffs and input costs will shape future performance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.03$0.23$0.50$0.77$1.03Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$0.83 - -
Q3'26$0.35$0.91+158.7%
Q2'26$0.86$0.89+3.9%
Q3'25$0.18$0.32+81.9%
Q2'25$0.09$0.09+1.1%
Q1'25$0.31$0.65+108.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.3B$3.6B$3.9B$4.2B$4.5BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$4.2B - -
Q3'26$3.5B$3.7B+4.6%
Q2'26$4.3B$4.2B-2.6%
Q3'25 - $3.5B -
Q2'25 - $3.4B -
Q1'25 - $3.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

EL Stock Snapshot

EL is currently trading at $90.03, giving The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. a market cap of 33.25B. Today's range spans $89.50–$91.19, with shares opening at $90.85 and moving down $0.84 (0.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 59/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year EL has traded between $64.83 and $121.64 - the current price is +38.9% off the 52-week low and -26.0% from the high. 35 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $95.43 (range $70.00–$125.00), implying upside of +6.0%.

Systematic models flag EL as a hold in the current environment - large-cap, Consumer Defensive, 33.25B market cap, 59/100 (HOLD), sentiment bullish at 70/100. Price: $90.03 (in the middle of its 52-week range). Quant strategies at this size tier typically shift allocation toward higher-momentum names during neutral phases, but maintain a base position given the structural liquidity that prevents disorderly exits. Annual range: $64.83–$121.64.

Portfolio construction in Consumer Defensive often uses large-cap names like EL as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 59/100 (HOLD) at $90.03 (in the middle of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (70/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $64.83–$121.64 annual range rather than a directional bet.