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Last updated3 minutes ago

KMB·Kimberly-Clark Corporation

$97.85
-0.34 (-0.35%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$98.20+0.35 (+0.36%)
High
$98.76
Open
$97.51
Market Cap
32.63B
52W High
$126.55
Low
$97.25
P. Close
$97.85
P/E
16.69
52W Low
$92.42
Fwd P/E
13.08
DailyIQ Est.
$118.61
Inst. Ownership
52.2%
Short Interest
15.08%
Days to Cover
16.7
Technical Score (1D)
5
SELL
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
BNP Paribas has cut its price target for Kimberly‑Clark to $101 from $111, a move that reflects a reassessment of the company’s earnings outlook and competitive positioning while keeping a neutral rating. The downgrade signals that analysts now see a modest headwind to KMB’s valuation, even though the firm remains overweight relative to the broader consensus. This adjustment is likely to temper short‑term upside expectations as traders recalibrate their models around a lower target. The change also highlights that KMB’s cost structure and margin pressures may be tighter than previously thought, which could weigh on earnings in the next few quarters. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for any confirmation of the revised earnings outlook and for updates on cost‑control initiatives. Pay particular attention to any commentary on raw material costs and pricing power, as these factors directly influence the company’s margin trajectory. Additionally, monitor any shifts in the competitive landscape, such as new entrants or regulatory changes that could affect KMB’s market share. Finally, keep an eye on broader consumer discretionary sentiment, as shifts in household spending can impact demand for Kimberly‑Clark’s core products over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Kimberly‑Clark Corporation is a consumer staples firm that designs, manufactures, and distributes personal care products such as Huggies, Kleenex, and Kotex, operating through North America, International Personal Care, and International Family Care and Professional segments. The company’s products are sold through supermarkets, drugstores, online channels, and direct business sales, positioning it firmly within the household and personal products sector. In the most recent quarters, KMB’s earnings per share rose from $1.5 in Q4 2024 to $1.93 in Q1 2025, and then to $1.92 in Q2 2025, while revenue fell from $4.93 billion to $4.84 billion and then to $4.16 billion, indicating a deceleration in top‑line growth despite continued EPS growth. The company beat estimates in Q1 2025 and Q2 2025 but missed in Q4 2024 and Q3 2025, showing a mixed pattern of earnings performance. Historically, KMB has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with revenue consistently above analyst expectations in the past four quarters, even as EPS has fluctuated. The company’s recent news highlights a BNP Paribas downgrade of its price target to $101, citing tighter cost structures and margin pressures, and a divestiture of EU assets to facilitate its Kenvue acquisition, both of which could influence short‑term profitability and integration costs. Investors should watch for any updates on raw material cost management and pricing power in the next earnings release, as well as regulatory developments surrounding the Kenvue deal, which could affect the company’s cost base and margin trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.54$1.69$1.84$1.99$2.14Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.61 - -
Q2'26$2.03$1.80-11.5%
Q1'26$2.07$1.97-4.9%
Q4'25$1.83$1.86+1.7%
Q3'25$1.75$1.82+3.9%
Q2'25$1.66$1.92+16.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.1B$4.1B$4.2B$4.2B$4.3BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.2B - -
Q2'26$4.3B$4.2B-1.7%
Q1'26$4.3B$4.2B-2.1%
Q4'25$4.1B$4.1B-1.2%
Q3'25 - $4.2B -
Q2'25 - $4.2B -

Market Data

KMB Stock Snapshot

SELL5/100
$98.20+$0.35 (0.4%)
Market cap
32.63B
P/E ratio
16.7
Day range
$97.25 – $98.76
News sentiment
43/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$117.00 (+19.1%)
Consensus
Hold · 22 analysts
52-week range+6.3% off low · -22.4% from high
$92.42$126.55
Price $98.20 DailyIQ Est. $118.61

The signals on KMB lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Defensive tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into KMB?

FAIR

At today's price, Kimberly-Clark Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -1.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.14% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.3% a year, so the market is asking for 2.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis KMB looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
-1.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
1.3%
Growth gap
-2.5 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.14%
Beta
0.40

Behaviour On Record

What KMB's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
22.5% 77th pct
Below its peak
-38.4%
vs 200-day average
-5.0%
Up days (1y)
47%

Kimberly-Clark Corporation is currently running 22.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against KMB's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 16.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

KMB is trading -38.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.7%, and the deepest was -32.3% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -5.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 25th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year KMB closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, KMB finished the month higher 2 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.5% and an average of -3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.0% on average, its weakest September at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: KMB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 35 of 3,268 sessions (1.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.0% and -9.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, KMB moved an average of 1.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.3% and a largest of -2.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against KMB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of KMB's sector?

Kimberly-Clark Corporation sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for KMB?

CallsPuts

For Kimberly-Clark Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 24.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $94.49–$103.93.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.19
ATM implied volatility
24.7%
Total open interest
3,231
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.8% ($94.49–$103.93)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KMB?

Piper Sandler most recently reiterated its rating on Kimberly-Clark Corporation to Overweight on Sep 11, 2026 with a price target of $118 (from $121). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Piper SandlerOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 11, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$121 → $118
Sep 10, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$110 → $105
Aug 5, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$115 → $116
Aug 5, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$96 → $104
Jul 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$101 → $115
Jul 16, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$106 → $115
Jul 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$100 → $110
Jun 17, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$115 → $121
Apr 29, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$105 → $106
Apr 14, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$105 → $99
Apr 10, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$130 → $120
Apr 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$110 → $100

KMB Competitive Positioning

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is tracked alongside these names in Household & Personal Products on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.