MO|Analyst Targets
MO|Company Info
MO|Insider Trading
MO|Fundamentals
MO|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.42 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.55 | $1.52 | -2.0% |
| Q2'26 | $1.50 | $1.48 | -1.2% |
| Q1'26 | $1.47 | $1.32 | -10.3% |
| Q4'25 | $1.36 | $1.30 | -4.2% |
| Q3'25 | $1.45 | $1.45 | +0.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $5.3B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $5.5B | $5.4B | -0.5% |
| Q2'26 | $5.5B | $5.4B | -2.7% |
| Q1'26 | $5.3B | $4.8B | -10.1% |
| Q4'25 | $5.2B | $5.1B | -2.1% |
| Q3'25 | - | $5.3B | - |
MO|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MO Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 132.08B
- P/E ratio
- 16.3
- Day range
- $75.68 – $78.10
- News sentiment
- 58/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $73.45 (-3.0%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 23 analysts
Altria Group, Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting in the upper part of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MO?
At today's price, Altria Group, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -7.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.00% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -2.6% a year, so the market is asking for 4.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis MO looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -7.1%
- Growth trend
- -2.6%
- Growth gap
- -4.5 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.00%
- Beta
- 0.30
Behaviour On Record
What MO's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 26.9% 83rd pct
- Below its peak
- 0.0%
- vs 200-day average
- +13.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 54%
Altria Group, Inc. is currently running 26.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 83rd percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 18.5%.
MO is at its running peak. Across 13 full years on file its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.0%, with the deepest at -37.0% in 2020.
Price sits +13.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 90th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year MO closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, MO finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.9% and an average of +1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +3.5% on average, its weakest September at -3.4%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 23 of 3,268 sessions (0.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.7% and -5.9%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, MO moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 4 of those 4 times, with a median move of +1.7% and a largest of +3.3%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MO's sector?
Altria Group, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 73
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect MO to earn?
Analysts expect Altria Group, Inc. to earn $5.70 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $6.09 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MO?
Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on Altria Group, Inc. to Underweight on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $60 (from $58). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Barclays: Underweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Altria Group, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
In August, we announced our 61 st dividend increase in 57 years, and our Board of Directors (Board) recently authorized a $1 billion expansion of our existing share repurchase program.”
New this quarter - 2
In August, our Board increased our regular quarterly dividend by 4.7%, marking the 61 st increase in the past 57 years.
New this quarter - 3
“Altria delivered strong financial performance in the third quarter, growing adjusted diluted earnings per share by 4.8%, while continuing to invest in our Vision and building on our foundation for the future,” said Sal Mancuso, Altria’s Chief Executive Officer.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
MO peers & ETF holders
TobaccoMarket cap · today
- MOYou're here$132.1B-1.98%
- PMPhilip Morris International Inc.$316.6B-0.33%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about MO?
MO rose 11.1% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 30 and 74 from Oct 7 to Oct 21, then jumped to 68 on Oct 22.
- Oct 8 +2.8%
- Oct 22 +3.0%same day: Altria (MO) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
- Oct 29 +5.5%same day: Altria: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
Technical analysis
How strong is MO's momentum right now?
On the daily chart MO ranks at the 68th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling MO?
98 of the 198 tracked managers added to MO in their latest 13F and 94 trimmed. Together they own 52.5% of the company, worth $65.8B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 13.5%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.7.23%$9.1B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
- $7.8B positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp4.02%$5.1B positionTrimmed 2.2% last quarter
- $4.3B positionAdded 8.9% last quarter
- $4.2B positionAdded 128.4% last quarter
- $3.4B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
- $2.4B positionTrimmed 4.2% last quarter
- 8GQG Partners LLC1.44%$1.8B positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
- 9Morgan Stanley1.30%$1.6B positionTrimmed 7.2% last quarter
- 10Ameriprise Financial Inc1.26%$1.6B positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading MO?
3 members of Congress disclosed 4 MO trades between Jan 31, 2014 and Mar 27, 2026: 2 buys and 2 sells, about $32.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has MO done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, MO returned +8.5%. Of the 14 related stocks and ETFs, 9 did better, led by EL at +23.3%.
- 1ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.up 23.3%+14.8 pts
- 2TGTTarget Corporationup 19.7%+11.3 pts
- 3KOThe Coca-Cola Companyup 18.5%+10.0 pts
- 4MNSTMonster Beverage Corporationup 17.3%+8.8 pts
- 5CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.up 17.2%+8.8 pts
- 6PMPhilip Morris International Inc.up 16.1%+7.6 pts
- 7PGThe Procter & Gamble Companyup 11.0%+2.6 pts
- 8CLColgate-Palmolive Companyup 10.1%+1.6 pts
- 10MOThis stockup 8.5%
- 15PEPPepsiCo, Inc.down 10.5%−19.0 pts
