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PG·The Procter & Gamble Company

$146.33
-1.22 (-0.83%)
After Hours
High
$147.65
Open
$146.44
Market Cap
341.48B
52W High
$167.25
Low
$145.49
P. Close
$146.33
P/E
21.28
52W Low
$137.62
Fwd P/E
19.94
DailyIQ Est.
$162.40
Inst. Ownership
21.7%
Short Interest
1.21%
Days to Cover
2.8
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Procter & Gamble’s shares are currently trading at a 21.8‑times forward P/E that some analysts view as a premium, even as the company’s five‑year return of 16.4% underscores its long‑term cash‑flow resilience. The valuation debate is intensified by a discounted‑cash‑flow model that suggests the stock may be overvalued, prompting investors to weigh the firm’s robust earnings against the premium priced into the shares. In the past eight hours, PG announced a highly successful predictive‑targeting campaign for Cascade Platinum Plus that lifted marketing outcomes 2.3‑fold and drove 71% higher spend per buyer, validating Walmart’s Sam’s Club Connect platform and demonstrating PG’s ability to extract incremental value from first‑party data. This tactical win is unlikely to shift fundamentals but signals that PG is sharpening its media spend efficiency, which could modestly improve operating margins over the next few weeks. The broader context is that PG’s diversified staples lineup and 70‑year dividend‑growth streak position it as a defensive play amid a cooling consumer‑spending environment, offering a buffer against discretionary demand cuts. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will watch whether the company’s cash‑flow generation continues to support its high payout ratio and whether the valuation premium holds as earnings guidance remains unchanged. Key watch items include any revision to free‑cash‑flow projections, the persistence of the predictive‑targeting gains, and any macro‑economic data that could test the defensive nature of PG’s portfolio. If earnings guidance stays flat, the premium may tighten; if PG can sustain or improve its cash‑flow profile, the stock could retain its valuation buffer.
Earnings Summary
Procter & Gamble is a global leader in consumer packaged goods, offering a broad portfolio of household and personal care brands that benefit from strong brand equity and extensive distribution. Operating in the consumer defensive sector, PG has historically leveraged its scale to maintain stable earnings even amid shifting consumer preferences. In the most recent quarters, PG reported Q4 2024 EPS of $1.88 versus an estimate of $1.86, and Q1 2025 EPS of $1.54 versus $1.53, both beating expectations. Revenue, however, fell from $21.88 billion in Q4 2024 to $19.78 billion in Q1 2025, a decline that reflects seasonal demand softness and inventory adjustments. The company rebounded in Q2 2025 with EPS of $1.48 against $1.42 and revenue of $20.89 billion, and again in Q3 2025 with EPS of $1.99 versus $1.90 and revenue of $22.39 billion, indicating a gradual recovery in top‑line growth. Historically, PG has posted YoY revenue growth of 1–3 % in recent years, with EPS consistently beating estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, underscoring disciplined cost management. The latest news highlights PG’s CFO announcing an AI‑driven analytics initiative and a Supply Chain 3.0 overhaul aimed at cutting costs and accelerating product time‑to‑market; management also plans a strategic acquisition of Thorne to boost innovation. These operational changes are expected to improve margin profiles and earnings consistency, and investors should watch for early signs of cost savings and inventory turnover improvements in the next earnings release. Key watch points include the pace of the AI rollout, any progress on the Thorne acquisition, and how supply‑chain efficiencies translate into operating expense reductions, as these factors will shape PG’s earnings trajectory in the coming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.34$1.52$1.71$1.89$2.08Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.89 - -
Q4'26$1.92$1.43-25.6%
Q3'26$1.56$1.59+2.2%
Q3'25$1.90$1.99+4.9%
Q2'25$1.42$1.48+4.1%
Q1'25$1.53$1.54+0.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$19.2B$20.4B$21.6B$22.8B$24.0BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$23.4B - -
Q4'26$22.0B$21.2B-3.7%
Q3'26$20.5B$21.2B+3.5%
Q3'25 - $22.4B -
Q2'25 - $20.9B -
Q1'25 - $19.8B -

Market Data

PG Stock Snapshot

BUY68/100
$146.50+$0.17 (0.1%)
Market cap
341.48B
P/E ratio
21.3
Day range
$145.49 – $147.65
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$160.61 (+9.6%)
Consensus
Hold · 38 analysts
52-week range+6.5% off low · -12.4% from high
$137.62$167.25
Price $146.50 DailyIQ Est. $162.40

The setup on The Procter & Gamble Company is the constructive kind - confirmation across timeframes, not one lone indicator. At this size, moves are driven by index flows and macro positioning as much as by company news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into PG?

FAIR

At today's price, The Procter & Gamble Company needs to grow free cash flow about 2.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.79% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.1% a year, so the market is asking for 0.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis PG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
2.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.1%
Growth gap
+0.3 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.79%
Beta
0.43

Behaviour On Record

What PG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
13.4% 39th pct
Below its peak
-18.2%
vs 200-day average
-0.3%
Up days (1y)
49%

The Procter & Gamble Company is currently running 13.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 14.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PG is trading -18.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -12.1%, and the deepest was -25.6% in 2015. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -0.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 37th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year PG closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, PG finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.4% and an average of -1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +2.3% on average, its weakest May at -1.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 17 of 3,267 sessions (0.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.0% and -6.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of PG's sector?

The Procter & Gamble Company sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for PG?

CallsPuts

For The Procter & Gamble Company's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.47), with at-the-money implied volatility around 13.3%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.47
ATM implied volatility
13.3%
Total open interest
105,840

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PG?

Argus Research most recently downgraded The Procter & Gamble Company to Hold on Aug 7, 2026. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Argus ResearchHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
2
Net rating momentum
-2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 7, 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeBuy → Hold-
Jul 30, 2026HSBCDowngradeBuy → Hold$182 → $149
Jul 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$181 → $170
Jul 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$146 → $152
Jul 16, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$164 → $162
Jul 10, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$170 → $166
Jun 11, 2026BernsteinInitiatedMarket Perform$156
Apr 27, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$166 → $172
Apr 27, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$142 → $150
Apr 27, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$158 → $164
Apr 27, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$170 → $162
Apr 17, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$165 → $162

PG Competitive Positioning

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) is tracked alongside these names in Household & Personal Products on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.