DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated2 minutes ago

CHD·Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

$98.56
-0.03 (-0.03%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$98.58+0.02 (+0.02%)
High
$99.11
Open
$97.94
Market Cap
23.40B
52W High
$106.04
Low
$97.72
P. Close
$98.56
P/E
31.42
52W Low
$80.75
Fwd P/E
24.29
DailyIQ Est.
$106.71
Inst. Ownership
43.8%
Short Interest
4.55%
Days to Cover
6.1
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
The most recent filing shows Executive Vice President Carlos G. Linares exercised 15,375 options at a $50.28 strike and sold the shares at roughly $102, leaving a net position of 4,924 shares; the transaction was routine and did not alter the company’s ownership structure or fundamentals. This routine conversion of derivatives, occurring at market close, suggests no immediate change in management sentiment and should not affect short‑term pricing dynamics. A slightly older Form 4 from August 25 shows Chief Human Resources Officer Rene Hemsley sold 5,000 shares for $511,275, reducing her direct holdings to 9,503; the modest divestiture likewise does not signal a shift in insider confidence. Together, these insider sales indicate that senior executives are maintaining their positions while converting options, a pattern that has historically been neutral for the next 1–10 trading days. On the earnings side, Q2 2026 results revealed organic sales growth of 5.8% driven by a 4.3% volume increase and a 1.5% positive price‑mix effect, while adjusted gross margin rose to 45.4% thanks to productivity gains and higher‑margin acquisitions. Global e‑commerce sales expanded 22.7%, now representing 25.5% of total consumer sales, underscoring a shift toward digital channels that could sustain revenue momentum. The company’s Q3 guidance for adjusted EPS of $0.89 falls below analyst consensus, hinting at a potential slowdown in earnings momentum that could weigh on the stock in the near term. Analysts remain largely neutral, with UBS lifting the price target to $107, Citigroup to $105, and Deutsche Bank to $112, all while maintaining buy or hold ratings; these modest target increases reflect confidence in steady earnings but also caution about broader market volatility and competitive pressures. The consensus view is that CHD’s brand strength and cost discipline should support continued revenue growth, but margin compression risks and consumer demand shifts remain key watch items. Therefore, traders should monitor the upcoming Q3 earnings release for any revision to guidance, keep an eye on margin performance, and watch for any further insider activity that could signal changing sentiment.
Earnings Summary
Church & Dwight is a consumer staples company that develops, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of household and personal care products, including well‑known brands such as ARM & HAMMER, TROJAN, and OXICLEAN, and also operates a specialty products division that supplies animal feed additives and cleaning solutions. The firm operates in the household and personal products sector, a defensive niche that benefits from steady demand for essential goods. In the most recent two quarters, Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, the company posted EPS of $0.86 and $0.95 respectively, both beating analyst estimates of $0.93 and $0.95, while revenue rose to $1.644 billion and $1.469 billion, a 5.5% and 1.3% YoY increase; this contrasts with Q3 2025 EPS of $0.81 versus an estimate of $0.74 and revenue of $1.586 billion, indicating a slight deceleration in revenue growth but continued EPS strength. Over the past four quarters, CHD has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, with EPS beats in three of the last four quarters and revenue growth that has remained positive, though the pace has moderated from a 7.8% rise in Q2 2025 to a 1.3% rise in Q1 2026. Historically, the company has shown a steady YoY revenue trajectory, with organic sales growth of 5.8% in Q2 2026 driven by volume and price‑mix gains, and a margin expansion to 45.4% supported by productivity initiatives and higher‑margin acquisitions, underscoring a pattern of disciplined cost control even as commodity costs rise. Recent news highlights that global e‑commerce sales grew 22.7% in Q2 2026, now representing 25.5% of total consumer sales, suggesting a distribution shift that could sustain volume gains; analysts have raised price targets while maintaining neutral or hold ratings, reflecting confidence in steady earnings but caution about market volatility. Investors should watch for the Q3 2026 earnings release to confirm whether the company can sustain the 5.8% organic growth and whether the margin expansion holds, as this will determine whether the upgraded price targets remain justified, and monitor any updates on cost‑control initiatives and the specialty products segment, which has historically been a growth engine for CHD.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.70$0.77$0.85$0.92$0.99Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.90 - -
Q2'26$0.91$0.89-1.7%
Q1'26$0.95$0.95-0.3%
Q4'25$0.93$0.86-7.2%
Q3'25$0.74$0.81+9.9%
Q2'25$0.86$0.94+9.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.4B$1.5B$1.5B$1.6B$1.7BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.6B - -
Q2'26$1.5B$1.5B+0.8%
Q1'26$1.5B$1.5B-1.6%
Q4'25$1.5B$1.6B+13.0%
Q3'25 - $1.6B -
Q2'25 - $1.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

CHD Stock Snapshot

HOLD45/100
$98.58+$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
23.40B
P/E ratio
31.4
Day range
$97.72 – $99.11
News sentiment
51/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$105.37 (+6.9%)
Consensus
Hold · 27 analysts
52-week range+22.1% off low · -7.0% from high
$80.75$106.04
Price $98.58 DailyIQ Est. $106.71

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. is consolidating: price is in the upper part of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CHD?

CHEAP

At today's price, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 1.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.25% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.3% a year, so the market is asking for 7.2 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CHD looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
1.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
8.3%
Growth gap
-7.2 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
6.25%
Beta
0.35

Behaviour On Record

What CHD's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
21.0% 65th pct
Below its peak
-14.3%
vs 200-day average
+4.0%
Up days (1y)
50%

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. is currently running 21.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CHD's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 17.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CHD is trading -14.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.6%, and the deepest was -32.7% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 52nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year CHD closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CHD finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of -2.6%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +2.3% on average, its weakest September at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CHD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 64 of 3,268 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.3% and -9.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CHD moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.1% and a largest of -3.3%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CHD's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CHD's sector?

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CHD?

CallsPuts

For Church & Dwight Co., Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 21 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.44), with at-the-money implied volatility around 30.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $94.33–$106.33.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.44
ATM implied volatility
30.3%
Total open interest
3,179
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±6.0% ($94.33–$106.33)

CHD Competitive Positioning

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD) is tracked alongside these names in Household & Personal Products on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

CHD is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.