DailyIQ
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MDGL·Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc.

$460.38
+8.26 (+1.83%)
High
$471.50
Open
$454.37
Market Cap
10.48B
52W High
$615.00
Low
$452.29
P. Close
$460.38
P/E
-
52W Low
$380.00
Fwd P/E
46.97
DailyIQ Est.
$730.99
Inst. Ownership
47.7%
Short Interest
10.34%
Days to Cover
9.8
Technical Score (1D)
69
BULLISH
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
MDGL sits near neutral at 69 with a BUY read and moderate trend strength - enough structure to trade ranges, not enough for strong trend bets. Sentiment at 53 is diverging from that middling backdrop. $490.62 is the upside trigger; $452.88 is the downside trigger. The longer MDGL sits between $452.88 and $490.62 without resolving, the more energy tends to build for whichever direction eventually wins out. That's not a reason to anticipate the break - it's a reason to have orders ready on both sides so the reaction, whenever it comes, doesn't get missed entirely.
LOW TARGET
$543 +17.9%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$682 +48.2%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$962 +109.0%
18 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$543.00 - $962.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/16/2/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$730.99 (+58.8%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
15,789 shares
$8.5M
Sibold William JohnPresident and CEO
Sell120 shares2026-09-11
Sibold William JohnPresident and CEO
Sell761 shares2026-09-11
Sibold William JohnPresident and CEO
Sell1,539 shares2026-09-11
Sibold William JohnPresident and CEO
Sell1,202 shares2026-09-11
Sibold William JohnPresident and CEO
Sell368 shares2026-09-11
47/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✕Negative operating cash flow
Net Margin
-30.1%
Revenue CAGR
165.3%
Current Ratio
4.01x
Debt / Equity
0.56x
Return on Equity
-47.8%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-5.54$-4.28$-3.02$-1.76$-0.51Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-1.09 - -
Q3'25$-1.99$-4.96-148.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$268M$309M$350M$391M$432MQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$413M - -
Q3'25 - $287M -

Market Data

MDGL Stock Snapshot

BULLISH69/100
$460.38+$8.26 (1.8%)
Market cap
10.48B
Day range
$452.29 – $471.50
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$682.11 (+48.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 26 analysts
52-week range+21.2% off low · -25.1% from high
$380.00$615.00
Price $460.38 DailyIQ Est. $730.99

Price is in the lower half of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MDGL's sector?

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc. sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Biotechnology industry group, MDGL ranks 9th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91
Industry rank
#9 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MDGL?

CallsPuts

For Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.48), with at-the-money implied volatility around 60.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $440.67–$481.41.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.48
ATM implied volatility
60.5%
Total open interest
2,884
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.4% ($440.67–$481.41)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MDGL?

Citigroup most recently initiated coverage on Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc. to Buy on Sep 23, 2026 with a price target of $725. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 23, 2026CitigroupInitiatedBuy$725
Aug 4, 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform → Outperform$605
Aug 3, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$964 → $962
Jul 29, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedBuy$578 → $587
Jul 27, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$685
Jun 11, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedNeutral$550 → $542
May 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$640 → $709
May 7, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedBuy$587 → $578
May 7, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$652 → $649
May 6, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratedBuy$620
Feb 20, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedNeutral$570 → $529
Jan 28, 2026BarclaysInitiatedOverweight$964

ETF holders

ETFs holding MDGL

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

53/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals released a secondary analysis of its Phase 3 MAESTRO‑NASH trial, showing Rezdiffra's liver benefits were consistent across common MASH genetic risk variants. The genetics data refined investors' view of risk and potential for the drug. Share price had fallen 9.86% over 30 days and 17.87% year‑to‑date, but the company’s 1‑year total shareholder return remained 11.62% and its 5‑year return approached six times the initial investment.
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported a 500% increase in share price over the past five years, prompting analysts to question whether the current valuation aligns with the company’s sales base. Fresh data from the MAESTRO‑NASH trial analysis for Rezdiffra was cited as potentially supporting expectations for the drug’s revenue potential. The article highlighted that the stock trades at a discount relative to its long‑term performance, raising concerns about the sustainability of its market value.
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported that a secondary analysis of its Phase 3 MAESTRO‑NASH trial showed Rezdiffra (resmetirom) improved fibrosis, MASH resolution, liver fat, and biomarker levels across patients regardless of common genetic risk variants. The drug’s thyroid hormone receptor‑beta mechanism appeared unaffected by PNPLA3, HSD17B13, TM6SF2, MTARC1, and MBOAT7 variants, suggesting broad applicability. This consistent efficacy across genetically diverse groups strengthens Madrigal’s long‑term MASH market opportunity and supports a positive investment narrative.
What did this article say?
On October 6, 2026, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals released a secondary analysis of its Phase 3 MAESTRO‑NASH trial in the Journal of Hepatology. The study showed that Rezdiffra (resmetirom) consistently improved liver histology and MRI‑PDFF measurements across common genetic risk variants linked to metabolic dysfunction‑associated steatohepatitis. The findings reinforce the drug’s broad efficacy profile and support its ongoing development for MASH. This data strengthens the company’s clinical positioning and may enhance investor confidence in the product’s market potential.
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) announced on Oct 6 that it had published the results of a pre‑specified secondary analysis from its Phase 3 MAESTRO‑NASH study in the Journal of Hepatology. The analysis examined how patients with metabolic dysfunction‑associated steatohepatitis (MASH) responded to the drug Rezdiffra. The publication provides additional clinical data on the drug’s efficacy and safety profile but does not report new efficacy endpoints or a change in company guidance. The study’s findings are intended to support ongoing regulatory submissions and inform clinicians and patients about Rezdiffra’s therapeutic potential. No immediate financial impact or guidance revision was disclosed by MDGL at the time of release.
What did this article say?
Goldman Sachs analyst Andrea Newkirk reinstated a Buy rating on Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) on September 24, citing the company’s strong pipeline and favorable market outlook. The firm also announced a $704 price target, reflecting confidence in MDGL’s growth prospects. This upgrade signals a positive shift in analyst sentiment and may influence investor perception of the stock’s upside potential.
What did this article say?
Citigroup analyst Eric Joseph announced a new coverage of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) on September 23, assigning a Buy rating. The bank also set a high price target of $725 per share, signaling strong confidence in the company’s growth prospects. This coverage upgrade is expected to influence investor sentiment and could attract additional capital into MDGL’s stock. The announcement reflects Citigroup’s assessment of MDGL’s competitive positioning and potential upside.
What did this article say?
Citigroup has upgraded Madrigal Pharmaceuticals to a buy rating, citing confidence in the company’s pipeline and financial outlook. The brokerage set a $725 price target, well above the current market level, reflecting expectations of robust revenue growth from its flagship therapies. This upgrade is likely to attract additional institutional interest and could lift the stock’s valuation multiple.
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) announced it granted equity inducement awards to 27 new non‑executive employees on September 1 and 14, 2026 under its 2025 Inducement Plan. The awards were approved by the independent Compensation Committee in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4). This routine HR action is a standard part of the company’s talent‑acquisition strategy and does not signal any material change in financial performance or strategic direction.
What did this article say?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) has secured FDA approval for its first drug, Rezdiffra, targeting metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). Despite a 7% year‑to‑date decline, institutional investors remain heavily invested, owning over 95% of the float. The first‑mover advantage and the drug’s unique positioning in a rapidly evolving metabolic market are driving confidence. Competition from GLP‑1 and dual agonists is noted, but Rezdiffra’s accelerated approval gives MDGL a strong foothold. The market is pricing in potential pricing pressure, yet institutional support suggests a bullish outlook.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

69
BULLISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $5.93B combined position · 11 adding, 14 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell1,808,8947.80%$1.05B2026-01-29
Janus Henderson Group plc▲ Buy2,018,6478.71%$1.05B2026-05-18
Paulson & Co. Inc.▼ Sell1,340,0205.78%$719.52M2026-08-14
BlackRock, Inc.▼ Sell1,200,7705.18%$644.75M2026-08-07
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy825,7143.56%$443.37M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy507,2332.19%$272.36M2026-09-02
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell374,8801.62%$201.34M2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell356,2011.54%$191.26M2026-08-13
William Blair Investment Management, LLC▼ Sell324,1231.40%$174.04M2026-08-12
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell301,4351.30%$161.86M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell246,2801.06%$132.24M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy213,8860.92%$114.85M2026-08-12
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership▲ Buy210,2050.91%$112.87M2026-08-13
AllianceBernstein L.P.▲ Buy189,4580.82%$99.18M2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy148,6100.64%$79.80M2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell139,0090.60%$74.64M2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▼ Sell137,0290.59%$73.58M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell134,0360.58%$71.97M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy101,8590.44%$54.69M2026-08-13
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell98,5100.43%$52.89M2026-08-13
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy81,1960.35%$43.60M2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell79,0110.34%$42.42M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▼ Sell45,9420.20%$24.67M2026-08-13
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy37,2550.16%$20.00M2026-08-03
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy35,0710.15%$18.83M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:555.6K sh bought ($297.47M)999.7K sh sold ($536.82M)net -444.1K sh (−$239.35M)