MOH·Molina Healthcare, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

37.5% 66th pct

Below its peak

-58.4%

vs 200-day average

+14.9%

Up days (1y)

53%

Molina Healthcare, Inc. is currently running 37.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MOH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 66th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 31.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MOH is trading -58.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.6%, and the deepest was -62.1% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +14.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 68th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MOH closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MOH finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.0% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +3.7% on average, its weakest October at -1.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MOH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 138 of 3,267 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.6% and -19.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, MOH moved an average of 7.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +10.5% and a largest of +12.3%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MOH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.